7 Pecan Pass Trce · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472

$268,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · Land · 75 Days on market

Built 2025 10,170 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.5/30.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.6/10.0
• DSCR +0.7/10.0

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. This gorgeous brand-new home located in SE Ocala is the ideal escape from the hustle and bustle of city life! With an open floor plan, pleasing neutral colors and vinyl plank flooring throughout, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has all the charm and comfort any family could desire. Showcasing shaker style cabinets with quartz counter tops in the kitchen, a washer/dryer hook up in the inside laundry for added convenience, plus a stainless-steel appliance package, this home is sure to impress. Enjoy your time in the neighborhood while nearby shopping, dining, medical centers and natural springs keep life exciting. Plus, its location near pr

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Washer dryer hook up
• Granite counter tops

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• SHAKER STYLE CABINETS
• GRANITE COUNTER TOPS
• WASHER DRYER HOOK UP
• LOCATION NEAR PRISTINE RIVERS
• OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $268k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-458 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (24.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (34.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $177k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Greenway Elementary School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,744 of 2,144 statewide, top 82%, 736 students, 67% FRL); Fort King Middle School (math 37% / reading 35%, grade F, #410 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 1,092 students, 71% FRL); Forest High School (math 36% / reading 54%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 2,325 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $18k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $176,505 (34.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.66% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.24%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.32%
• DSCR: 0.67
• GRM: 12.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.56×
• Total profit: $42,293
• Equity at exit: $167,335

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.85×
• Total profit: $138,729
• Equity at exit: $302,473

Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34472

• Home prices YoY: 2.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 683
• Price-to-rent: 12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,765 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,405
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$335 /mo · $4,020/yr
• Insurance: −$112
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$371
• Net cashflow: $-458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,344

Max offer price $201,770

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-272	-5% $-365	+0% $-458	+5% $-550	+10% $-643
Rent	-10% $-597	-5% $-527	+0% $-458	+5% $-388	+10% $-318
Rate	-1.0pp $-323	-0.5pp $-390	base $-458	+0.5pp $-527	+1.0pp $-598

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $67,000
• Closing costs: $8,040
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
19 Pecan Pass Ter Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1368	$1,750	$1.28	23d	1	0.12mi
5614 Pecan Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1337	$1,595	$1.19	23d	1	0.13mi
36 Pecan Run Crse Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1188	$1,850	$1.56	15d	1	0.42mi
13 Redwood Trace Ln Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1337	$1,595	$1.19	23d	1	0.50mi
96 Redwood Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1188	$1,650	$1.39	15d	1	0.50mi
106 Redwood Track Crse Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1412	$1,675	$1.19	15d	1	0.63mi
45 Redwood Run Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1435	$1,695	$1.18	23d	1	0.75mi
9 Teak Way Dr Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1352	$1,800	$1.33	15d	1	0.83mi
9 Banyan Course Run Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1345	$1,599	$1.19	23d	1	0.89mi
62 Teak Loop Ocala, FL	3.0	1.0	1018	$1,450	$1.42	15d	1	0.89mi
6688 Cherry Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1270	$1,950	$1.54	15d	1	0.97mi
6875 SE 52nd St Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1624	$1,750	$1.08	23d	1	1.21mi
1503 Peachtree Ln Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1152	$1,450	$1.26	23d	1	1.38mi
5370 SE 30th Pl Unit Greenfields C Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,150	$1.15	23d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-25
   status Active
3. 2026-01-29
   status Pending
4. 2026-01-05
   price $268,000
5. 2025-12-05
   listed $269,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,181
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,012
• − Property taxes: −$4,020
• − Insurance: −$1,340
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,694
• − Management: −$1,694
• − Depreciation: −$7,796
• Taxable loss: −$10,377
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,490
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,002/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion
• NCES district ID: 1201260
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,015
• Composite: 35.61/100
• National rank: #4890
• State rank: #61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #527
• US rank: #9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Silver Springs Shores, FL
• County: Marion County · 315,796 people
• City population: 34,665
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• Population (ZIP): 35,851
• Household income: $64,208
• Rent vs Own: 19.9% rent · 80.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 365,905 people
• By 2030: 376,768 · +3.0%
• By 2040: 396,555 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 412,723 · +12.8%
• By 2075: 446,090 · +21.9%
• By 2100: 436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.93%
• Current HPI: 255.0714
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.17%
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-0.4% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-25 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-05 Price Changed $268,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-05 Listed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $427 · +49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.