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5510 Back Bay Bnd
B- Composite 66.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

5510 Back Bay Bnd · North Fort Myers, FL 33917
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Condo public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1973 $342/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This fully Furnished and Turnkey Home is available today! Grab your belongings and move right in to this 55 and Older Gulf Access Community and enjoy the Florida Lifestyle today! This home has 2 Bedrooms/ 2 Baths and comes fully remodeled in 2023. Nice open floorpan with light and bright kitchen, new floors, New A/C System, New Roof, elegant finishes and upgraded bathroom all done during the remodel. The exterior has an enclosed porch in the front and a 2 Car Carport to the side with Storage Shed and Laundry area! This place will need nothing to be done as this seller handled it all!! This property is located in the desirable Gulf Access Community of Old Bridge Village. Old Bridge Village i

Key facts

  • 2 car carport
  • Fully remodeled
  • Laundry area

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDENCLOSED PORCH2 CAR CARPORTSTORAGE SHEDLAUNDRY AREA81 SLIP MARINA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets not allowed
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $342 monthly fee; HOA covers legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, security and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, park, playground, picnic area, barbecue, tennis courts, pickleball, boat dock/boat ramp/boat slip, and on-site management; Approximately 700 units in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered spaces; Driveway (paved)
  • Security: Gated community; Community management
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home with vinyl siding; One story; Resale property; Faces north; Entry at level 1
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Storage; Community pool; Irregular lot; South exposure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Florida room; Great room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Open living/dining area; Separate shower; Shower only; Cable TV; Window treatments; Single-hung windows; Shutters; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (18.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $77k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,162 (18.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.53%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.9%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-26,286
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-33,297
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $870/yr
Insurance
$48
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$342
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,888
Max offer price $94,162
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-52 -5% $-85 +0% $-117 +5% $-150 +10% $-182
Rent -10% $-255 -5% $-186 +0% $-117 +5% $-49 +10% $20
Rate -1.0pp $-60 -0.5pp $-88 base $-117 +0.5pp $-147 +1.0pp $-177

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1056 Old Bridge Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 0.21mi
257 Poe Ave North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $1,175 $1.35 5d 1 0.33mi
7050 Nantucket Cir #6 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $3,000 $3.16 18d 1 0.49mi
7050 Nantucket Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $3,000 $3.16 25d 1 0.49mi
5713 Foxlake Dr #5 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 830 $1,400 $1.69 21d 1 0.51mi
1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1013 $1,550 $1.53 5d 1 0.59mi
1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1013 $1,575 $1.55 25d 1 0.59mi
5707 Foxlake Dr #2 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,500 $1.35 25d 1 0.59mi
15427 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1021 $3,200 $3.13 25d 1 0.67mi
15610 Crystal Lake Dr #101 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 998 $1,900 $1.90 25d 1 0.77mi
15610 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 968 $1,850 $1.91 25d 1 0.77mi
69 E Mariana Ave Unit B North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 5d 1 0.99mi
1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 852 $1,275 $1.50 25d 1 1.05mi
1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 852 $1,250 $1.47 5d 1 1.05mi
137 Lantern Pl North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 580 $975 $1.68 4d 1 1.10mi
137 Lantern Pl Unit A North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,200 $1.11 4d 1 1.10mi
112 Crescent Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 980 $1,700 $1.73 25d 1 1.11mi
21 Crescent Lake Dr Unit 21 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 25d 1 1.13mi
234 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $895 $1.04 16d 1 1.21mi
226 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $899 $1.00 25d 1 1.23mi
121 Coachlight Ln North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 552 $795 $1.44 25d 1 1.23mi
1846 Powell Dr Unit 28 North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 5d 1 1.25mi
1526 Wood Rd North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 912 $1,500 $1.64 5d 1 1.25mi
106 Gaslight Ave North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,400 $1.33 5d 1 1.26mi
280 Flame Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 980 $1,350 $1.38 5d 1 1.27mi
7306 Coon Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 13d 1 1.28mi
249 Fireball Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.5 624 $1,350 $2.16 5d 1 1.35mi
92 Oak St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1008 $2,000 $1.98 5d 1 1.42mi
947 Strongbox Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 25d 1 1.42mi
3225 E Riverside Dr Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 560 $1,800 $3.21 25d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$342 · $4,104/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $114,900 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $114,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $124,900 Active
  16. 2024-01-01
    historical
  17. 2023-11-02
    price $169,900
  18. 2023-10-30
    price $159,898
  19. 2023-08-02
    price $159,900
  20. 2023-07-10
    price $164,750
  21. 2023-06-08
    status Active
  22. 2023-05-28
    status Pending
  23. 2023-04-28
    price $164,900
  24. 2023-04-13
    listed $174,900 Active
  25. 2022-12-13
    historical
  26. 2022-12-02
    price $49,000
  27. 2022-11-19
    listed $58,000 Active
  28. 2019-11-07
    soldstatus $77,000 Closed
  29. 2019-11-05
    status Pending
  30. 2019-11-02
    historical
  31. 2019-10-17
    status Pending
  32. 2019-09-18
    status Pending
  33. 2019-08-02
    listed $79,900 Active
  34. 2002-07-19
    soldstatus $30,000,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$870 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$954 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 9.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,871
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$870
− Insurance
−$5,693
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,670
− Management
−$1,670
− HOA
−$4,104
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable loss
−$2,913
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$699
After-tax cash flow
$-710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $124,900 FORTMLS
  • 2024-01-01 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2023-11-02 Price Changed $169,900 FORTMLS
  • 2023-10-30 Price Changed $159,898 FORTMLS
  • 2023-08-02 Price Changed $159,900 FORTMLS
  • 2023-07-10 Price Changed $164,750 FORTMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2023-05-28 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2023-04-28 Price Changed $164,900 FORTMLS
  • 2023-04-13 Listed $174,900 FORTMLS
  • 2022-12-13 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2022-12-02 Price Changed $49,000 FORTMLS
  • 2022-11-19 Listed $58,000 FORTMLS
  • 2019-11-07 Sold (MLS) $77,000 FORTMLS
  • 2019-11-05 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2019-11-02 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2019-10-17 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2019-09-18 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2019-08-02 Listed $79,900 FORTMLS
  • 2002-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $30,000,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $870 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…