3918 S Main St · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very Charming Home * Great Location * Hardwood Floors * Mint Condition Thruout * 13x18 Fam Rm W/ Gas Fireplace & Builtin Bookshlvs * New A/C-Furn-Hwh * Seller Is In Process Of Painting Outside * Leaving Fridge, Washer & Dryer * Move-In Cond * Sellers Want Quick Offer * Sq Ft Per Tax Rolls.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1969
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Ranch-style; Faces east
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Metal fencing; Shed(s); Paved road with public maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first level)
- Flooring: Carpet in family room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath; Shower-only bath present
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Concrete, unfinished basement; Family room fireplace with gas starter; Formal dining area
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on main level and in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sycamore Hills Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 543 students, 55% FRL); Truman High (math 18% / reading 34%, grade F, #430 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,662 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3918 S Main St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,281 (0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $144 | 95 |
| 3721 S Pleasant St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,272 (-1%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $157 | 75 |
| 13510 E 41st Ter S | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-6%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $166 | 71 |
| 13713 E 41st St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (+7%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 12805 E 40th Ter S | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+3%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $129 | 60 |
| 14224 E 36th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+2%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $181 | 54 |
| 14507 E 39th Ter S | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,162 (-9%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $194 | 49 |
| 14405 E 36th Ter S | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,409 (+10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $160 | 45 |
| 3601 S Hocker Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-7%) | 11mo | $169,900 | $142 | 44 |
| 4213 S Delaware Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,136 (-11%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $185 | 39 |
| 12621 E 41st Ter S | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (+9%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $178 | 39 |
| 12809 E Bowen St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-10%) | 8mo | $174,900 | $152 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-13,578
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $20,628
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64055
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,772 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $303 | -5% $250 | +0% $198 | +5% $146 | +10% $93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $128 | +0% $198 | +5% $268 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $245 | base $198 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13511 E 41st Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,530 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3936 S Pleasant St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4232 S Liberty St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,525 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14216 E 37th Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 8d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 14220 E 36th St S Independence, MO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,826 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3501 S Osage St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3501 S Osage St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14405 E 37th St S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3610 S Pope Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,725 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15001 E 39th Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $1,811 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12701 E 47th Terrace Ct S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1597 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 12817 E 47th St S Independence, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,193 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 15403 E 43rd Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $2,046 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3605 S Stayton Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,631 | $1.51 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15312 E 48th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-21$185,000 Active
-
2026-05-20historical $185,000
-
1999-06-15soldstatus 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Very Charming Home * Great Location * Hardwood Floors * Mint Condition Thruout * 13x18 Fam Rm W/ Gas Fireplace & Builtin Bookshlvs * New A/C-Furn-Hwh * Seller Is In Process Of Painting Outside * Leaving Fridge, Washer & Dryer * Move-In Cond * Sellers Want Quick Offer * Sq Ft Per Tax Rolls.
-
1999-06-15soldstatus
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Very Charming Home * Great Location * Hardwood Floors * Mint Condition Thruout * 13x18 Fam Rm W/ Gas Fireplace & Builtin Bookshlvs * New A/C-Furn-Hwh * Seller Is In Process Of Painting Outside * Leaving Fridge, Washer & Dryer * Move-In Cond * Sellers Want Quick Offer * Sq Ft Per Tax Rolls.
-
1999-03-31$89,300 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Very Charming Home * Great Location * Hardwood Floors * Mint Condition Thruout * 13x18 Fam Rm W/ Gas Fireplace & Builtin Bookshlvs * New A/C-Furn-Hwh * Seller Is In Process Of Painting Outside * Leaving Fridge, Washer & Dryer * Move-In Cond * Sellers Want Quick Offer * Sq Ft Per Tax Rolls.
-
1987-04-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,850
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,701
- − Management
- −$1,701
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$662
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$159
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence 30
- NCES district ID
- 2915480
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,843
- Composite
- 27.04/100
- National rank
- #7054
- State rank
- #252 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,960
- Household income
- $62,439
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1404.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.54%
- Current HPI
- 245.3636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.09%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+107.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-06-15 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-03-31 Listed $89,300 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-04-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,850 · -12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…