6005 Lake Ruth Dr W · Dundee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordability meets convenience meets move-in ready. Welcome to 6005 Lake Ruth Drive W in the quiet Central Florida town of Dundee, where small-town charm and an easy lifestyle come together with this beautifully updated 4 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a spacious 1/4 acre lot with no HOA restrictions. Step inside and discover an inviting great room design with high ceilings, tile flooring flowing throughout the main living areas, modern lighting, and a stylish fireplace that creates a warm focal point for gathering with family and friends. The open layout creates an easy flow for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers a functional design with custom touches, breakfast
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1995
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.25 acre (about 80 x 135); Zoning compatible; Living area and building area reported from public records
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No HOA; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; Garage faces side; Driveway; Garage dimensions approximately 19 x 21
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Home faces east; Completed condition; Homestead-exempt
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Sliding doors; Paved road access; Located in county (non-municipal)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Decorative fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($544/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#638 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alta Vista Elementary School (math 35% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 769 students, 60% FRL); Haines City Senior High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,700 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 149 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $250k implies a 247% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.78%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $138,867
- Equity at exit
- $225,130
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.81×
- Total profit
- $406,422
- Equity at exit
- $485,501
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33838
- Home prices YoY
- 17.6%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,928 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $760/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $187 | -5% $116 | +0% $45 | +5% $-25 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-31 | +0% $45 | +5% $122 | +10% $198 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $171 | -0.5pp $109 | base $45 | +0.5pp $-19 | +1.0pp $-85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1378 Legatto Loop Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 604 Lime Ave Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1694 | $2,400 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 217 Betty Ave S Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 702 Lemon Ave Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2163 Mandarin Loop Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $2,049 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2912 poppy ave, Lake Hamilton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,925 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 391 Sol Vista Dr Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1768 | $1,950 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 403 Sol Vista Dr Dundee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-31status $249,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$249,900 Active
-
2013-02-27soldstatus $72,000
-
2011-12-31historical
-
2011-11-01$68,900
-
2011-09-19historical
-
2011-01-27$79,900
-
2007-03-15soldstatus $180,000
-
2007-02-22soldstatus $180,000
-
2006-07-24$170,000
-
2005-03-17soldstatus $125,000
-
2005-03-16soldstatus $125,000
-
2005-01-23$125,000
-
1995-06-05soldstatus $89,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $760 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,074 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,314/yr (+$109/mo · 172.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$760
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,851
- − Management
- −$1,851
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$3,841
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$922
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dundee
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #638
- US rank
- #12542
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundee, FL
- City population
- 5,431
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,431
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 47%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 54.34%
- Current HPI
- 363.9764
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+179.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-01 Listed $68,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-27 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-22 Sold (MLS) $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-24 Listed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-16 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-23 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $89,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $760 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…