712 Spencer St · Riverton, WY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $400 – $4,352
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- One car garage
- Off street parking
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence (Residential property); Subdivision: SPENCERSUB
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Accessible entrance; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (5.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Riverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#79 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Fremont County School District #25 (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #36 of 41 in WY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fremont County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.84%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $236,544
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 N 12th St E | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+7%) | 1mo | $156,042 | $81 | 54 |
| 410 Spruce St | 0.53mi | 4/1.8 (-1) | 1,728 (-4%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 312 E Sunset Drive Dr | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,950 (+9%) | 8mo | $289,000 | $148 | 47 |
| 208 Cascade St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+7%) | 12mo | $249,000 | $130 | 46 |
| 1305 E Sunset Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,956 (+9%) | 13mo | $254,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 910 E Pershing Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,974 (+10%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $119 | 43 |
| 922 Sierra Dr | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 | 2,016 (+12%) | 7mo | $289,000 | $143 | 43 |
| 1407 Mary Anne Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-9%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $141 | 40 |
| 1401 Mary Anne Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-4%) | 21mo | $275,000 | $159 | 39 |
| 1209 Mary Anne Dr | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 | 1,968 (+10%) | 16mo | $258,000 | $131 | 38 |
| 1310 Rose Marie Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.8 (-1) | 2,016 (+12%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $104 | 37 |
| 1420 Wyoma St | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,560 (-13%) | 9mo | $206,000 | $132 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-12,088
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,141
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82501
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,515 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $877/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $309 | -5% $263 | +0% $218 | +5% $173 | +10% $128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $158 | +0% $218 | +5% $278 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $259 | base $218 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $160,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $160,000
-
2025-09-29$180,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $877 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$99/yr (+$8/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone D · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$877
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,455
- − Management
- −$1,455
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$21
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fremont County School District #25
- NCES district ID
- 5605220
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,564
- Composite
- 36.71/100
- National rank
- #4596
- State rank
- #36 of 41 in WY
Livability — Riverton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #12716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverton, WY
- County
- Fremont County · 19,413 people
- City population
- 19,413
- Metro
- Riverton, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,413
- Household income
- $60,449
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 304.0
Population outlook (Fremont County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,368 people
- By 2030
- 38,412 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 36,224 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 34,314 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 30,353 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 25,821 · -34.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Native American 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fremont
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.4% · R 67.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.8 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.60%
- Current HPI
- 139.0105
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Riverton, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-11.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $160,000 WMLS
- 2025-09-29 Listed $180,000 WMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $877 · -19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…