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712 Spencer St
C Composite 58.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

712 Spencer St · Riverton, WY 82501
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 263 Days on market
Built 1945 0.32 ac lot Est $237k · 32% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • One car garage
  • Off street parking
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW FLOORINGNEW PAINTNEW ROOFDOUBLE LOTONE CAR GARAGEOFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence (Residential property); Subdivision: SPENCERSUB
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Riverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#79 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Fremont County School District #25 (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #36 of 41 in WY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fremont County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.84%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$236,544
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
810 N 12th St E 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (+7%) 1mo $156,042 $81 54
410 Spruce St 0.53mi 4/1.8 (-1) 1,728 (-4%) 14mo $255,000 $148 52
312 E Sunset Drive Dr 0.48mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,950 (+9%) 8mo $289,000 $148 47
208 Cascade St 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (+7%) 12mo $249,000 $130 46
1305 E Sunset Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,956 (+9%) 13mo $254,000 $130 44
910 E Pershing Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,974 (+10%) 6mo $235,000 $119 43
922 Sierra Dr 0.65mi 5/2.0 2,016 (+12%) 7mo $289,000 $143 43
1407 Mary Anne Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (-9%) 8mo $230,000 $141 40
1401 Mary Anne Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (-4%) 21mo $275,000 $159 39
1209 Mary Anne Dr 0.67mi 5/2.0 1,968 (+10%) 16mo $258,000 $131 38
1310 Rose Marie Dr 0.58mi 4/2.8 (-1) 2,016 (+12%) 9mo $210,000 $104 37
1420 Wyoma St 0.62mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,560 (-13%) 9mo $206,000 $132 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-12,088
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$7,141
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82501

Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,515 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $877/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,239
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $309 -5% $263 +0% $218 +5% $173 +10% $128
Rent -10% $98 -5% $158 +0% $218 +5% $278 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $299 -0.5pp $259 base $218 +0.5pp $177 +1.0pp $135

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 263 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 262 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 261 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 260 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 259 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 257 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $160,000 Active 256 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 253 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 252 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 251 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 249 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 247 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 246 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 245 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 244 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 243 DOM
  17. 2026-03-25
    price $160,000
  18. 2025-09-29
    listed $180,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$877 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$976 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$99/yr (+$8/mo · 11.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone D · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,181
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$877
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,455
− Management
−$1,455
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$21
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5
After-tax cash flow
$2,623/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fremont County School District #25
NCES district ID
5605220
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,564
Composite
36.71/100
National rank
#4596
State rank
#36 of 41 in WY

Livability — Riverton

Score
65/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#12716

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverton, WY
County
Fremont County · 19,413 people
City population
19,413
Metro
Riverton, WY
Population (ZIP)
19,413
Household income
$60,449
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
304.0

Population outlook (Fremont County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,368 people
By 2030
38,412 · -2.4%
By 2040
36,224 · -8.0%
By 2050
34,314 · -12.8%
By 2075
30,353 · -22.9%
By 2100
25,821 · -34.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Native American 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fremont

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.4% · R 67.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.8 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.60%
Current HPI
139.0105
Rent YoY
Metro
Riverton, WY
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $160,000 WMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $180,000 WMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $877 · -19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…