187 Alton Lynch Cir · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Car port
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Legacy Elementary School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 631 students, 29% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 29% / reading 66%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 1,003 students, 31% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 203 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.86%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,212
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- 55.86%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166 Alton Lynch Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (0%) | 6mo | $36,500 | $29 | 85 |
| 6500 Landsmere Ln | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+1%) | 20mo | $197,500 | $152 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $22,917
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 40.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $51,720
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35757
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,788 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$72 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$445
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $566
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $607 | -5% $586 | +0% $566 | +5% $546 | +10% $526 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $496 | +0% $566 | +5% $637 | +10% $708 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $596 | -0.5pp $581 | base $566 | +0.5pp $551 | +1.0pp $536 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177 Sagebrook Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1826 | $1,695 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 106 Crab Orchard Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 409 Summer Cove Cir NW Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1010 Elliston Pl NW Madison, AL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $1,825 | $1.74 | 15d | 19 | 1.00mi |
| 1826 Rushing Wood Dr NW Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 267 Nance Rd Madison, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $1,599 | $1.52 | 15d | 30 | 1.14mi |
| 4095 Lawsons Ridge Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,691 | $1.64 | 15d | 12 | 1.21mi |
| 100 Edison Ave NW Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,820 | $1.77 | 15d | 26 | 1.22mi |
| 113 Suffolk Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 196 Jeff Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1200 | $1,729 | $1.44 | 15d | 21 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $445 · $5,340/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $58,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-01-15status Active 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.
-
2025-12-30status Pending 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.
-
2025-12-20$58,000 Active 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.
-
2024-11-29$69,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,716
- − Management
- −$1,716
- − HOA
- −$5,340
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $6,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,580
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This 2012 mobile home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Carport roof — The carport roof appears to have some wear and tear.
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are dated and could be replaced or updated.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures may need updating for a more modern look.
- Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration on the siding may be addressed with a fresh coat of paint.
- Minor Carport flooring — The carport flooring could be replaced with a more durable material for better curb appeal.
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas could be trimmed and landscaped to improve curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets and countertops — Updating the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures and flooring — Updating the bathrooms will improve both resale and rental value.
- Both Paint exterior siding and trim — Painting the exterior will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace worn flooring in living areas — Replacing the flooring will improve the living spaces and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace carport roof and flooring — Updating the carport will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Carport roof · The carport roof appears to have some wear and tear. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · The cabinets are dated and could be replaced or updated. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures may need updating for a more modern look. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior siding · Some discoloration on the siding may be addressed with a fresh coat of paint. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Carport flooring · The carport flooring could be replaced with a more durable material for better curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown areas could be trimmed and landscaped to improve curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $3,000–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets and countertops — Updating the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures and flooring — Updating the bathrooms will improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Paint exterior siding and trim — Painting the exterior will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring in living areas — Replacing the flooring will improve the living spaces and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace carport roof and flooring — Updating the carport will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,529
- Household income
- $106,175
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 242.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 26% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.04%
- Current HPI
- 269.7329
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-17.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — VMLS
- 2025-12-30 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $58,000 VMLS
- 2024-11-29 Listed $69,990 SAARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…