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187 Alton Lynch Cir
B Composite 70.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,000

187 Alton Lynch Cir · Huntsville, AL 35757
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 147 Days on market
Built 2012 Average condition $45/sqft · 56% above area $445/mo HOA · 25% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Car port
  • Parking

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHCAR PORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Legacy Elementary School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 631 students, 29% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 29% / reading 66%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 1,003 students, 31% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 203 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.08%
Cap rate
18.01%
Cash-on-cash
41.86%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$37,212
List price
$58,000
Delta
55.86%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
166 Alton Lynch Cir 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,280 (0%) 6mo $36,500 $29 85
6500 Landsmere Ln 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (+1%) 20mo $197,500 $152 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$22,917
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
40.0%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$51,720
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35757

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,788 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax est. 1.5%
$72 /mo · $870/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$445
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$566

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,071
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $607 -5% $586 +0% $566 +5% $546 +10% $526
Rent -10% $425 -5% $496 +0% $566 +5% $637 +10% $708
Rate -1.0pp $596 -0.5pp $581 base $566 +0.5pp $551 +1.0pp $536

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
177 Sagebrook Dr Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 1826 $1,695 $0.93 45d 1 0.45mi
106 Crab Orchard Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1675 $1,750 $1.04 45d 1 0.68mi
409 Summer Cove Cir NW Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,795 $1.20 45d 1 0.76mi
1010 Elliston Pl NW Madison, AL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $1,825 $1.74 15d 19 1.00mi
1826 Rushing Wood Dr NW Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1491 $1,800 $1.21 25d 1 1.00mi
267 Nance Rd Madison, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $1,599 $1.52 15d 30 1.14mi
4095 Lawsons Ridge Dr Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,691 $1.64 15d 12 1.21mi
100 Edison Ave NW Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,820 $1.77 15d 26 1.22mi
113 Suffolk Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,800 $1.24 45d 1 1.28mi
196 Jeff Rd NW Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1200 $1,729 $1.44 15d 21 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$445 · $5,340/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 147 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,000 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-01-15
    status Active 184-char remark
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.

  4. 2025-12-30
    status Pending 184-char remark
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.

  5. 2025-12-20
    listed $58,000 Active 184-char remark
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Charming 2012 Mobile Home for Sale! This well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home features a covered front porch along with a car port. Seller is not responsible for any moving expenses.

  6. 2024-11-29
    listed $69,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,452
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$870
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,716
− Management
−$1,716
− HOA
−$5,340
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$6,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,580
After-tax cash flow
$5,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2012 mobile home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Carport roof — The carport roof appears to have some wear and tear.
  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are dated and could be replaced or updated.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures may need updating for a more modern look.
  • Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration on the siding may be addressed with a fresh coat of paint.
  • Minor Carport flooring — The carport flooring could be replaced with a more durable material for better curb appeal.
  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas could be trimmed and landscaped to improve curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets and countertops — Updating the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures and flooring — Updating the bathrooms will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Paint exterior siding and trim — Painting the exterior will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace worn flooring in living areas — Replacing the flooring will improve the living spaces and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace carport roof and flooring — Updating the carport will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Carport roof · The carport roof appears to have some wear and tear. Minor $500–3,000
Kitchen cabinets · The cabinets are dated and could be replaced or updated. Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures may need updating for a more modern look. Minor $500–3,000
Exterior siding · Some discoloration on the siding may be addressed with a fresh coat of paint. Minor $500–3,000
Carport flooring · The carport flooring could be replaced with a more durable material for better curb appeal. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Overgrown areas could be trimmed and landscaped to improve curb appeal. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $3,000–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets and countertops — Updating the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures and flooring — Updating the bathrooms will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Paint exterior siding and trim — Painting the exterior will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace worn flooring in living areas — Replacing the flooring will improve the living spaces and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Landscaping and curb appeal improvements will increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace carport roof and flooring — Updating the carport will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,529
Household income
$106,175
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
242.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 26% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.04%
Current HPI
269.7329
Rent YoY
▲ 0.69%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted VMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Pending VMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $58,000 VMLS
  • 2024-11-29 Listed $69,990 SAARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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