104 Crestwood Dr · Starkville, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 47.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property represents an excellent opportunity for both first-time buyers and investors, offering one of the most affordable three-bedroom homes currently available in the area. Priced competitively, it provides exceptional value while sitting on a spacious one-acre lot that allows for future flexibility and outdoor use. The home has been significantly updated in 2022, including a new roof, a fully replaced heating and air conditioning system, and new flooring throughout, which enhances both efficiency and long-term reliability. The fenced-in backyard adds additional functionality for pet owners or outdoor enjoyment. Located just outside the city limits, the property offers a balance of
Key facts
- One acre lot
- Fenced in backyard
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.2% in Starkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#54 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Oktibbeha County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oktibbeha County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.42%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,852
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $43,303
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39759
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,728 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $457 | +0% $413 | +5% $369 | +10% $325 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $345 | +0% $413 | +5% $481 | +10% $550 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $491 | -0.5pp $453 | base $413 | +0.5pp $373 | +1.0pp $332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Player Ln Starkville, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $2,160 | $2.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract
-
2026-05-12$155,000 Active
-
2022-06-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$326/yr (+$27/mo · 36.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $2,557
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Starkville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #8611
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Oktibbeha County · 42,783 people
- City population
- 42,783
- Metro
- Starkville, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,783
- Household income
- $46,398
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3648.0
Population outlook (Oktibbeha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,451 people
- By 2030
- 59,182 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 66,259 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 73,899 · +33.3%
- By 2075
- 96,183 · +73.5%
- By 2100
- 111,630 · +101.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 37% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oktibbeha
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 49.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.3pp no change · 2008: 0.0pp · 2024: -0.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.3 2020: D+6.5 2016: D+1.1 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+0.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.72%
- Current HPI
- 151.1722
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Starkville, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $155,000 FSBO.com
- 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…