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3335 State St
C+ Composite 60.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

3335 State St · Hope Mills, NC 28306
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Manufactured public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1995 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Double-wide with large detached garage/workshop off Camden Road. Close to the heart of Hope Mills & Millstone movie theater. Large front porch and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. Living room and den, eat-in kitchen. Take a look today. REDUCED!! Double-wide with large detached garage/workshop off Camden Road. Close to the heart of Hope Mills, Millstone movie theater. Large front porch and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. Living room and den, eat-in kitchen. Take a look today

Key facts

  • Roof 2022
  • Large front porch
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

DETACHED GARAGELARGE FRONT PORCHREAR DECKEAT-IN KITCHENROOF 2022HVAC 2022

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 covered/garage space)
  • Utilities: Well / spring water source; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered front porch; Patio; Fenced back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Ceiling fans; Other heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings and blinds; Factory-built fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: C Wayne Collier Elementary (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,073 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 526 students, 99% FRL); South View Middle (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 661 students, 99% FRL); South View High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,502 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 55% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 401 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $145k implies a 524% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.83%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,575
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,493
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28306

Home prices YoY
-17.7%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
401
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,642 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,317/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1514 Aristo Pl Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 13d 1 0.53mi
3511 Birchfield Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1270 $1,685 $1.33 13d 5 0.53mi
3506 Shipstone Pl Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1280 $1,380 $1.08 13d 3 0.59mi
3541 Rittenour Dr Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,825 $1.18 13d 1 0.67mi
3462 Marty Cir Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 23d 1 0.77mi
2935 Chillingworth Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,750 $1.25 13d 1 0.77mi
3636 Metric Dr Hope Mills, NC 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,400 $1.27 13d 1 0.85mi
3332 Kenmont Ln Unit E Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,150 $1.05 23d 1 1.02mi
5959 Rehoboth Rd Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1667 $1,795 $1.08 13d 1 1.03mi
6258 Stoney Point Loop Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1799 $2,300 $1.28 13d 1 1.03mi
3766 Colonial Cv Hope Mills, NC 3.0 1.5 1475 $1,445 $0.98 13d 1 1.29mi
2517 Forest Lodge Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1670 $1,800 $1.08 23d 1 1.33mi
2579 Gotts Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 21d 1 1.45mi
5629 Thackeray Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,725 $1.12 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-03-28
    price $145,000
  17. 2026-03-24
    price $150,000
  18. 2026-03-04
    listed $175,000 Active
  19. 2019-07-27
    listed $95,000
  20. 2019-04-23
    soldstatus $23,250 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    Double-wide with large detached garage/workshop off Camden Road. Close to the heart of Hope Mills & Millstone movie theater. Large front porch and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. Living room and den, eat-in kitchen. Take a look today. REDUCED!! Double-wide with large detached garage/workshop off Camden Road. Close to the heart of Hope Mills, Millstone movie theater. Large front porch and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. Living room and den, eat-in kitchen. Take a look today

  21. 2018-08-21
    listed $29,900 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    Double-wide with large detached garage/workshop off Camden Road. Close to the heart of Hope Mills & Millstone movie theater. Large front porch and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. Living room and den, eat-in kitchen. Take a look today. REDUCED!! Double-wide with large detached garage/workshop off Camden Road. Close to the heart of Hope Mills, Millstone movie theater. Large front porch and rear deck for relaxing or entertaining. Living room and den, eat-in kitchen. Take a look today

  22. 1998-12-16
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,317 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,317 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,701
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,317
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,576
− Management
−$1,576
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$520
After-tax cash flow
$3,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hope Mills

Score
67/100
State rank
#234
US rank
#10761

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
39,196
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
43,042
Household income
$67,544
Rent vs Own
34.3% rent · 65.7% own
Severe rent burden
1386.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.69%
Current HPI
239.7281
Rent YoY
▲ 0.90%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1350.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $145,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $150,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $175,000 LPRMLS
  • 2019-07-27 Listed $95,000 LPRMLS
  • 2019-04-23 Sold (MLS) $23,250 LPRMLS
  • 2018-08-21 Listed $29,900 LPRMLS
  • 1998-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,317 · +79.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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