15741 Finch Ave · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in condition best describes this well kept Ranch. Perfect location to walk to train, schools,and bus. Park/play ground right at the corner. Large 3 bedroom with updated Full bath. Full unfinished basement. Detached garage with alley access. Easy to show. Call listing agent with notice.
Key facts
- Deep 124 foot lot
- Updated bath
- Garden potential
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; Directions: Exit I-294 and head east onto W 159th St, turn left on Finch Ave; property will be on the right
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 6300
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level — 11 x 18, vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Bedroom (main level) — 9 x 12, carpet; Bedroom (main level) — 9 x 9, carpet; Additional bedroom listed
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $140k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.92%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15533 Vincennes Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $83 | 69 |
| 635 E 155th Pl | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-1%) | 15mo | $128,000 | $124 | 62 |
| 15709 Lexington Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,040 (0%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $111 | 61 |
| 16019 Myrtle Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-3%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $69 | 59 |
| 736 E 155th Pl | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 15316 4th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (-7%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $36 | 54 |
| 16005 Lowe Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (+7%) | 15mo | $167,000 | $150 | 48 |
| 523 E 152nd St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 942 (-9%) | 3mo | $16,000 | $17 | 42 |
| 16320 Carse Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (+8%) | 15mo | $92,900 | $83 | 42 |
| 360 E 163rd St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,101 (+6%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $168 | 42 |
| 16314 Finch Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (+11%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $172 | 39 |
| 15243 3rd Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (+14%) | 12mo | $40,000 | $34 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $97,043
- Equity at exit
- $126,123
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.88×
- Total profit
- $269,835
- Equity at exit
- $271,989
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$370 /mo · $4,443/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $403 | -5% $364 | +0% $324 | +5% $285 | +10% $245 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $250 | +0% $324 | +5% $399 | +10% $473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $395 | -0.5pp $360 | base $324 | +0.5pp $288 | +1.0pp $251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $140,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $144,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $144,000
-
2026-04-17price $148,000
-
2026-03-27price $153,000
-
2026-02-27price $158,000
-
2026-01-30price $163,000
-
2026-01-09price $168,000
-
2025-12-05price $173,000
-
2025-11-07price $178,000
-
2025-10-16$184,000 Active
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2022-02-11price $1,375
-
2013-01-23soldstatus $43,000 Closed Sale 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Move in condition best describes this well kept Ranch. Perfect location to walk to train, schools,and bus. Park/play ground right at the corner. Large 3 bedroom with updated Full bath. Full unfinished basement. Detached garage with alley access. Easy to show. Call listing agent with notice.
-
2013-01-04status Pending 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Move in condition best describes this well kept Ranch. Perfect location to walk to train, schools,and bus. Park/play ground right at the corner. Large 3 bedroom with updated Full bath. Full unfinished basement. Detached garage with alley access. Easy to show. Call listing agent with notice.
-
2012-09-28price $46,500 Price Change 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Move in condition best describes this well kept Ranch. Perfect location to walk to train, schools,and bus. Park/play ground right at the corner. Large 3 bedroom with updated Full bath. Full unfinished basement. Detached garage with alley access. Easy to show. Call listing agent with notice.
-
2012-09-07$56,500 New 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Move in condition best describes this well kept Ranch. Perfect location to walk to train, schools,and bus. Park/play ground right at the corner. Large 3 bedroom with updated Full bath. Full unfinished basement. Detached garage with alley access. Easy to show. Call listing agent with notice.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,443 · $370/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,443 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$4,443
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$460
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,431/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+154.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $144,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $148,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $153,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $158,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $163,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $168,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $173,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $178,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Listed $184,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-11 Price Changed $1,375 RENT.
- 2013-01-23 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-04 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-28 Price Changed $46,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-07 Listed $56,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+18.2%/yrLatest (2023): $4,443 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…