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14270 Hickory Links Ct #2125
D Composite 40.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

14270 Hickory Links Ct #2125 · Fort Myers, FL 33912
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,243 sqft · Condo public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1996 $1562/mo HOA · 49% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GOLF, GOLF GOLF!! Just grab your iron and GO. This beautiful, financially sound, gated golfing community is waiting for you. Sip your wine and dine at Olde Hickory's restaurant and bar, after you play a few rounds. This golf course was designed by Ron Garl and is perfect for all handicapped levels, Great golf association for men and women. You can choose from 6 Tee boxes. May thru October reciprocal Golf priviledges are offered at numerous clubs in the area. Pickleball, Tennis, and swimming are just a few other fun activities to enjoy here when you are not in your 2 bedroom, 2 bath fully furnished Veranda. Back screen lanai overlooks Ron Garl designed golf course. All contents in condo stay for your enjoyment. * Quarterly dues are obtained for necessary pool service, landscaping, pest control, water, maintenance of the common areas, dryer vent cleaning, cleaning, AC drain lines and other operating costs. Reserves are included in the maintenance fees.

Key facts

  • Guest wing
  • Bamboo flooring
  • $1,562 HOA

Tags

BAMBOO FLOORINGUPDATED PRIMARY SUITEGUEST WINGSOPHISTICATED DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community features: golf, gated, tennis courts, street lights; Pool: community
  • Financial info: Community of 128 units
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (quarterly fees); Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, pickleball, pool, putting greens, restaurant, spa/hot tub, tennis courts and management; Association covers management, cable TV, golf, insurance, internet, irrigation water, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, pest control, recreation facilities, reserve fund, sewer, street lights, security, trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; 1 covered garage space
  • Security: Gated community with security gate and guard; Security provided by association
  • Utilities: Public water (assessment paid); Public sewer (assessment paid); Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: 2-story property; Entry level: 2; Faces east; Resale property
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Lanai and screened porch; Porch; Sprinkler/irrigation (automatic); Zero lot line; Private road with private maintenance; West exposure; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: Guest quarters
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Furnished; Breakfast bar and breakfast area; High ceilings; Living/dining room; Pantry; Separate shower (shower only); Cable TV and high-speed internet available; Window treatments; Split bedrooms; Single hung and sliding windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (19.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.3% in Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in FL, #383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Heights Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 1,109 students, 38% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 3→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,454 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
4.98%
Cash-on-cash
-4.68%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.2%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-46,973
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-63.5%
Equity multiple
-0.57×
Total profit
$-78,526
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33912

Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,184 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,624/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$1,562
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$669
Net cashflow
$-196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,431
Max offer price $144,454
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-94 -5% $-145 +0% $-196 +5% $-246 +10% $-297
Rent -10% $-447 -5% $-321 +0% $-196 +5% $-70 +10% $56
Rate -1.0pp $-105 -0.5pp $-150 base $-196 +0.5pp $-242 +1.0pp $-289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14290 Hickory Links Ct #1915 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1243 $4,000 $3.22 25d 1 0.09mi
14320 Bristol Bay Pl Unit 1546395P Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1097 $4,032 $3.68 17d 1 0.43mi
14571 Legends Blvd N Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1132 $2,175 $1.92 25d 2 0.57mi
8500 Legends Blvd #305 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1096 $3,500 $3.19 25d 1 0.65mi
14122 Danpark Loop Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1209 $1,800 $1.49 3d 1 0.68mi
14571 Legends Blvd N #106 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1095 $2,500 $2.28 5d 1 0.79mi
13681 Admiral Ct Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1363 $2,250 $1.65 25d 1 1.35mi
15091 Bagpipe Way #101 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $7,000 $6.25 25d 1 1.43mi
14179 Georgian Cir Fort Myers, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 887 $1,575 $1.77 5d 10 1.47mi
15121 Bagpipe Way #202 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1110 $7,400 $6.67 12d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,562 · $18,744/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingpoolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    price $179,000
  2. 2026-02-27
    listed $192,000 Active
  3. 2021-05-28
    soldstatus $170,000
  4. 2021-05-25
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    GOLF, GOLF GOLF!! Just grab your iron and GO. This beautiful, financially sound, gated golfing community is waiting for you. Sip your wine and dine at Olde Hickory's restaurant and bar, after you play a few rounds. This golf course was designed by Ron Garl and is perfect for all handicapped levels, Great golf association for men and women. You can choose from 6 Tee boxes. May thru October reciprocal Golf priviledges are offered at numerous clubs in the area. Pickleball, Tennis, and swimming are just a few other fun activities to enjoy here when you are not in your 2 bedroom, 2 bath fully furnished Veranda. Back screen lanai overlooks Ron Garl designed golf course. All contents in condo stay for your enjoyment. * Quarterly dues are obtained for necessary pool service, landscaping, pest control, water, maintenance of the common areas, dryer vent cleaning, cleaning, AC drain lines and other operating costs. Reserves are included in the maintenance fees.

  5. 2021-05-12
    status Pending 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    GOLF, GOLF GOLF!! Just grab your iron and GO. This beautiful, financially sound, gated golfing community is waiting for you. Sip your wine and dine at Olde Hickory's restaurant and bar, after you play a few rounds. This golf course was designed by Ron Garl and is perfect for all handicapped levels, Great golf association for men and women. You can choose from 6 Tee boxes. May thru October reciprocal Golf priviledges are offered at numerous clubs in the area. Pickleball, Tennis, and swimming are just a few other fun activities to enjoy here when you are not in your 2 bedroom, 2 bath fully furnished Veranda. Back screen lanai overlooks Ron Garl designed golf course. All contents in condo stay for your enjoyment. * Quarterly dues are obtained for necessary pool service, landscaping, pest control, water, maintenance of the common areas, dryer vent cleaning, cleaning, AC drain lines and other operating costs. Reserves are included in the maintenance fees.

  6. 2021-05-04
    listed $149,500 Active 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    GOLF, GOLF GOLF!! Just grab your iron and GO. This beautiful, financially sound, gated golfing community is waiting for you. Sip your wine and dine at Olde Hickory's restaurant and bar, after you play a few rounds. This golf course was designed by Ron Garl and is perfect for all handicapped levels, Great golf association for men and women. You can choose from 6 Tee boxes. May thru October reciprocal Golf priviledges are offered at numerous clubs in the area. Pickleball, Tennis, and swimming are just a few other fun activities to enjoy here when you are not in your 2 bedroom, 2 bath fully furnished Veranda. Back screen lanai overlooks Ron Garl designed golf course. All contents in condo stay for your enjoyment. * Quarterly dues are obtained for necessary pool service, landscaping, pest control, water, maintenance of the common areas, dryer vent cleaning, cleaning, AC drain lines and other operating costs. Reserves are included in the maintenance fees.

  7. 2021-02-01
    historical
  8. 2020-12-04
    price $129,900
  9. 2020-10-14
    price $137,500
  10. 2020-10-01
    price $139,500
  11. 2020-09-22
    price $144,500
  12. 2020-09-11
    price $147,500
  13. 2020-09-11
    listed $144,500 Active
  14. 2019-06-18
    historical
  15. 2019-03-06
    price $134,999
  16. 2019-01-18
    listed $136,500 Active
  17. 2018-10-25
    historical
  18. 2018-07-07
    price $136,500
  19. 2018-04-29
    listed $139,000 Active
  20. 2018-03-08
    historical
  21. 2017-12-06
    price $139,900
  22. 2017-10-24
    price $147,900
  23. 2017-07-05
    listed $149,900 Active
  24. 2017-02-02
    soldstatus $126,500
  25. 2017-02-01
    price $126,500
  26. 2017-01-31
    soldstatus $126,500 Sold
  27. 2017-01-29
    price $134,900
  28. 2017-01-22
    status Pending
  29. 2017-01-09
    listed $134,900 Active
  30. 2016-07-26
    historical
  31. 2016-05-03
    listed $135,900 Active
  32. 2016-04-06
    historical
  33. 2015-11-04
    listed $138,900 Active
  34. 2012-07-02
    soldstatus $110,000
  35. 2012-06-26
    price $121,500
  36. 2012-06-25
    soldstatus $110,000
  37. 2002-05-06
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,624 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,624 · $135/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 3 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,203
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,624
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,056
− Management
−$3,056
− HOA
−$18,744
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$4,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,058
After-tax cash flow
$-1,289/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Myers

Score
86/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
278,598
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,533
Household income
$103,194
Rent vs Own
12.7% rent · 87.3% own
Severe rent burden
292.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.73%
Current HPI
226.7102
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.7% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $179,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $192,000 FORTMLS
  • 2021-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-25 Sold (MLS) $170,000 FORTMLS
  • 2021-05-12 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2021-05-04 Listed $149,500 FORTMLS
  • 2021-02-01 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2020-12-04 Price Changed $129,900 FORTMLS
  • 2020-10-14 Price Changed $137,500 FORTMLS
  • 2020-10-01 Price Changed $139,500 FORTMLS
  • 2020-09-22 Price Changed $144,500 FORTMLS
  • 2020-09-11 Price Changed $147,500 FORTMLS
  • 2020-09-11 Listed $144,500 FORTMLS
  • 2019-06-18 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2019-03-06 Price Changed $134,999 FORTMLS
  • 2019-01-18 Listed $136,500 FORTMLS
  • 2018-10-25 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2018-07-07 Price Changed $136,500 FORTMLS
  • 2018-04-29 Listed $139,000 FORTMLS
  • 2018-03-08 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2017-12-06 Price Changed $139,900 FORTMLS
  • 2017-10-24 Price Changed $147,900 FORTMLS
  • 2017-07-05 Listed $149,900 FORTMLS
  • 2017-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $126,500 Public Records
  • 2017-02-01 Price Changed $126,500 FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-31 Sold (MLS) $126,500 FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-29 Price Changed $134,900 FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-22 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-09 Listed $134,900 FORTMLS
  • 2016-07-26 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2016-05-03 Listed $135,900 FORTMLS
  • 2016-04-06 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2015-11-04 Listed $138,900 FORTMLS
  • 2012-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2012-06-26 Price Changed $121,500 FORTMLS
  • 2012-06-25 Sold (MLS) $110,000 FORTMLS
  • 2002-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,624 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…