505 Marquette Dr · Rochester Hills, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is one of the nicest homes you will find in the community. This home is 1216 sq ft with 3 Bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The primary suite has an en-suite and a large walk in closet. Built in 2013, this home features tall ceilings, plenty of day light, luxury vinyl plank floors and a open concept kitchen. Outside you will enjoy being at the back of the park with woods behind. Shed and equipment included. Located near Rochester's downtown, parks, M-59, Yates cider mill. It also featured award winning Rochester Community Schools. Lot rent is 796/m and covers the ground maintenance, water, club house, pool and snow removal. You will love living here. Financing options available. Reach out
Key facts
- Woods behind
- Open concept kitchen
- En-suite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 3.2% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Rochester Community School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #21 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.97%
- DSCR
- 4.11
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $306,250
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -77.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840 John R Rd | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,183 (-3%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $211 | 54 |
| 466 Driftwood Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+14%) | 20mo | $262,000 | $190 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $58,976
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 71.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.90×
- Total profit
- $135,206
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48307
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,059 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $1,143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1880 E Avon Rd Rochester Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $4,470 | $3.45 | 1d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1090 Academy Dr Rochester Hills, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,385 | $1.52 | 1d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1908 Flagstone Cir Rochester, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 430 Baldwin Ave #75 Rochester, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 440 Baldwin Ave Rochester, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 701 Green Cir Rochester, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1133 | $2,612 | $2.30 | 1d | 48 | 1.19mi |
| 480 Baldwin Ave #20 Rochester, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1401 S Rochester Rd Rochester Hills, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $2,600 | $2.54 | 1d | 7 | 1.46mi |
| 1401 S Rochester Rd Rochester Hills, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $2,250 | $2.23 | 43d | 4 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-03-24historical
-
2026-03-24historical
-
2026-02-18$70,000 Active
-
2026-02-18$70,000 Active
-
2026-02-18$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,977
- − Management
- −$1,977
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $13,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,215
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with modern updates and a good location. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior trim and cleaning the gutters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2629940
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,242
- Composite
- 58.53/100
- National rank
- #994
- State rank
- #21 of 540 in MI
Livability — Rochester Hills
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #3163
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester Hills, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,714
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,714
- Household income
- $106,576
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 926.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Asian 14% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Spanish 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -339.13%
- Current HPI
- 188.8794
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…