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531 Miller St Duplex
B Composite 73.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$59,000

531 Miller St · Youngstown, OH 44502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,630 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1932 4,748 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.

Key facts

  • Roof done
  • City approved
  • 4,748 sq ft lot

Tags

UPSTAIRS UNIT RENT READYBASEMENT BACK WALL REBUILTCITY APPROVEDROOF DONE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story wood-sided home; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Built per public records (year built source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Lot recorded as 0.109 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Full basement with sump pump; Total of 8 rooms; Property listed in fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $689/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
  • Cap rate 34.3% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,223/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $59k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.77%
Cap rate
34.31%
Cash-on-cash
100.08%
DSCR
5.45
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.52×
Total profit
$91,141
Equity at exit
$22,561
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.49×
Total profit
$206,390
Equity at exit
$31,952

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44502

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,223 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $534/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$1,378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $479
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,411 -5% $1,394 +0% $1,378 +5% $1,361 +10% $1,344
Rent -10% $1,202 -5% $1,290 +0% $1,378 +5% $1,466 +10% $1,553
Rate -1.0pp $1,407 -0.5pp $1,393 base $1,378 +0.5pp $1,362 +1.0pp $1,347

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
512 E Philadelphia Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $899 $0.75 22d 1 0.24mi
540 Cameron Ave Youngstown, OH 4.0 2.0 1780 $1,300 $0.73 22d 1 0.37mi
236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH 4.0 1.5 1488 $1,195 $0.80 22d 1 0.71mi
3446 Ambert Ave Youngstown, OH 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $59,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-28
    listed $59,000 Active
  7. 2020-02-10
    historical 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.

  8. 2020-02-10
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.

  9. 2020-02-10
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.

  10. 2020-01-13
    historical Contingent 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.

  11. 2019-12-23
    listed $21,900 Active 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.

  12. 2008-09-29
    soldstatus $11,000
  13. 2008-08-19
    listed $12,900
  14. 2006-07-28
    soldstatus $56,000
  15. 1999-09-15
    listed $21,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$534 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$727 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$193/yr (+$16/mo · 36.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,676
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$534
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,134
− Management
−$2,134
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$16,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,974
After-tax cash flow
$12,559/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning County · 84,956 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
Population (ZIP)
9,594
Household income
$31,170
Rent vs Own
51.2% rent · 48.8% own
Severe rent burden
566.0

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 35% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.78%
Current HPI
246.2163
Rent YoY
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $59,000 MLSNOW
  • 2020-02-10 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2020-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-10 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLSNOW
  • 2020-01-13 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2019-12-23 Listed $21,900 MLSNOW
  • 2008-09-29 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MLSNOW
  • 2008-08-19 Listed $12,900 MLSNOW
  • 2006-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 1999-09-15 Listed $21,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $534 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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