Duplex
531 Miller St · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.
Key facts
- Roof done
- City approved
- 4,748 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story wood-sided home; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Built per public records (year built source: public records)
- Exterior features: Lot recorded as 0.109 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Full basement with sump pump; Total of 8 rooms; Property listed in fixer condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $689/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Cap rate 34.3% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,223/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $59k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 100.08%
- DSCR
- 5.45
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.52×
- Total profit
- $91,141
- Equity at exit
- $22,561
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.49×
- Total profit
- $206,390
- Equity at exit
- $31,952
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44502
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,223 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $534/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $1,378
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,411 | -5% $1,394 | +0% $1,378 | +5% $1,361 | +10% $1,344 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,202 | -5% $1,290 | +0% $1,378 | +5% $1,466 | +10% $1,553 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,407 | -0.5pp $1,393 | base $1,378 | +0.5pp $1,362 | +1.0pp $1,347 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,222 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,111 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,111 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,223 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 E Philadelphia Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $899 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 540 Cameron Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3446 Ambert Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $59,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$59,000 Active
-
2020-02-10historical 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.
-
2020-02-10soldstatus $25,000 Closed 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.
-
2020-02-10soldstatus $45,000
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.
-
2020-01-13historical Contingent 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.
-
2019-12-23$21,900 Active 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Quality built Duplex! Great tenants that pay their rent and maintain property! Upstairs tenant has lived there for 5 years, the upstairs tenants moved in on 09/01/19. Very nice tenant that keeps the property clean, hardwood floors, some new windows, large rooms. The downstairs tenant pay $400 in rent plus gas and electric, owner pays water. The upstairs tenant pays $450 plus electric. The electric is separate between units but the gas operates off of a single furnace and hot water tank. 2 blocks from Park! Bus line at South Ave. approx. 1/2 block. This street is only abut 2 1/2 blocks long, so not a lot of traffic. Sidewalk community. Lots of amenities like stores, restaurants, laundromat near. 3 minutes to downtown Youngstown and the College! 2 minutes to the 680 Expressway.
-
2008-09-29soldstatus $11,000
-
2008-08-19$12,900
-
2006-07-28soldstatus $56,000
-
1999-09-15$21,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $534 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $727 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$193/yr (+$16/mo · 36.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$534
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,134
- − Management
- −$2,134
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $16,558
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,974
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,559/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,594
- Household income
- $31,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 566.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 35% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Current HPI
- 246.2163
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+169.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $59,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-02-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-10 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-01-13 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2019-12-23 Listed $21,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-09-29 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-08-19 Listed $12,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1999-09-15 Listed $21,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $534 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…