Duplex
221 N Main St · Petal, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Office / Residential duplex Unique opportunity. Front of the building is the office / clinic formally a dentist office. Specialty plumbing in the exam rooms. The back of the building is a totally renovated 3bed / 2bath apartment, open floor plan, covered porch, (check out pictures) ideal for someone fresh out of dental school, live at work!! Office side could be converted into a 4 bed, 1 full bath, 2 half bath apartment, It already has a kitchen! Also, entered as a commercial office MLS#142524.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Totally renovated
- Open floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/2ba + 1×4bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $134/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $251k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Petal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#18 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Petal School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #2 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,832/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 199% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 398 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 398 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.03%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-29,089
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-3,201
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39465
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 18.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$356 /mo · $4,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$595
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 2 | $1,321 |
| 1× unit | 4 | 1 | $1,512 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,832 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 W 2nd Ave Unit C Petal, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $575 | — | 20d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 120 E First Ave Petal, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $995 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 201 Rosewood Dr Petal, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,200 | — | 20d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 106 Hickory Dr Petal, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | — | $1,850 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 523 E Fifth Ave Petal, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 801 Ogilsvie St Petal, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | $1,800 | — | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $285,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $285,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $285,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $285,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2025-11-20status Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Office / Residential duplex Unique opportunity. Front of the building is the office / clinic formally a dentist office. Specialty plumbing in the exam rooms. The back of the building is a totally renovated 3bed / 2bath apartment, open floor plan, covered porch, (check out pictures) ideal for someone fresh out of dental school, live at work!! Office side could be converted into a 4 bed, 1 full bath, 2 half bath apartment, It already has a kitchen! Also, entered as a commercial office MLS#142524.
-
2025-05-15$285,000 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Office / Residential duplex Unique opportunity. Front of the building is the office / clinic formally a dentist office. Specialty plumbing in the exam rooms. The back of the building is a totally renovated 3bed / 2bath apartment, open floor plan, covered porch, (check out pictures) ideal for someone fresh out of dental school, live at work!! Office side could be converted into a 4 bed, 1 full bath, 2 half bath apartment, It already has a kitchen! Also, entered as a commercial office MLS#142524.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,275
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,719
- − Management
- −$2,719
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$1,409
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$338
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A well-maintained, recently renovated apartment with good curb appeal and updated interiors, ideal for rental or resale.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petal School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803530
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,872
- Composite
- 52.97/100
- National rank
- #1526
- State rank
- #2 of 130 in MS
Livability — Petal
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #5565
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petal, MS
- County
- Forrest County · 65,413 people
- City population
- 22,882
- Metro
- Hattiesburg, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,882
- Household income
- $74,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 199.0
Population outlook (Forrest County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 79,264 people
- By 2030
- 80,822 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 82,979 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 84,324 · +6.4%
- By 2075
- 84,942 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 80,616 · +1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 13% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Forrest
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.9) · D 40.3% · R 58.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -17.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+11.7 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.97%
- Current HPI
- 158.6021
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hattiesburg, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-20 Relisted — HAAR
- 2025-05-15 Listed $285,000 HAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…