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1133 Elmore St
B+ Composite 77.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1133 Elmore St · Borger, TX 79007
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,894 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1952 8,160 sqft lot $63/sqft · 40% below area Est $190k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

Key facts

  • Two living areas
  • Covered patio
  • 8,160 sq ft lot

Tags

TWO LIVING AREASCOVERED PATIOLARGE ATTACHED CARPORTVALUABLE ADDITIONAL SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#268 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
  • Borger ISD (town): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #348 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Hutchinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.00%
Cap rate
35.64%
Cash-on-cash
104.80%
DSCR
5.66
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,900
List price
$120,000
Delta
-36.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1121 Elmore St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,667 (-12%) 2mo $189,900 $114 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.99×
Total profit
$167,533
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.51×
Total profit
$386,899
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79007

Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,141/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,008
Net cashflow
$2,934

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,086
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
900 Nelson St Borger, TX 3.0 2.0 2440 $4,800 $1.97 20d 1 0.55mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  2. 2026-04-16
    status Active 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  3. 2026-04-10
    historical Active Under Contract 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  4. 2026-03-20
    price $120,000 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  5. 2026-02-04
    price $125,000 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  6. 2026-01-16
    price $130,000 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  7. 2025-12-19
    listed $135,000 Active 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a versatile layout with two living areas, perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The basement offers valuable additional space for storage, hobbies, or future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests, while the large attached carport provides convenient, protected parking. The home also features a newer roof less than a year old, offering added peace of mind. With comfortable indoor spaces and great functionality, this home offers plenty of potential to fit a variety of lifestyles.

  8. 2020-12-09
    soldstatus
  9. 2020-11-05
    soldstatus 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Great family home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, large family room, living room, basement, nice kitchen with built ins, large covered patio, central heat and air, att. storage building, attached carport. Great condition.

  10. 2020-08-10
    listed $69,900 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Great family home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, large family room, living room, basement, nice kitchen with built ins, large covered patio, central heat and air, att. storage building, attached carport. Great condition.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,141 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,196 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 2.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$57,600
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,141
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,608
− Management
−$4,608
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$35,431
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,503
After-tax cash flow
$26,709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Borger ISD
NCES district ID
4810890
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,714
Composite
35.66/100
National rank
#4879
State rank
#348 of 826 in TX

Livability — Borger

Score
72/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#6266

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Borger, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,927

Population outlook (Hutchinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,274 people
By 2030
21,089 · -0.9%
By 2040
20,938 · -1.6%
By 2050
20,999 · -1.3%
By 2075
21,433 · +0.7%
By 2100
21,243 · -0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 19% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Hutchinson

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.2) · D 11.1% · R 88.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.9pp · 2024: -77.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.2 2020: R+76.6 2016: R+76.1 2012: R+72.7 2008: R+68.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.35%
Current HPI
114.1111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending AARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted AARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $120,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $125,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $130,000 AARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $135,000 AARMLS
  • 2020-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-11-05 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2020-08-10 Listed $69,900 AARMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,141 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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