2184 Stove Dr · Newton, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a fixer-upper or investment property, don’t miss this opportunity. Tree lined front yard gives you privacy for sitting on the covered front porch. Property includes a new roof in 2025 and outbuilding for storage. Cash transactions only. Sold AS IS
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New roof
- 0.48 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-40
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 3 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured singlewide home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Aluminum exterior; Aluminum roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Front porch; Rear porch; Level, private, wooded lot; Outbuilding on the property; Gravel and paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Exhaust hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Split bedroom layout; Mud room
- Laundry & utility: Mud room (laundry features)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.9% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#77 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Catawba County Schools (rural): math 54% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #54 of 178 in NC (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Balls Creek Elementary (math 65% / reading 51%, grade C+, #236 of 1,410 statewide, top 17%, 679 students, 57% FRL); Bandys High (math 72% / reading 72%, grade B+, #107 of 535 statewide, top 21%, 864 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Catawba County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 2,016 units permitted in Catawba County in 2024 (255 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Catawba County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.89%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $20,580
- Equity at exit
- $14,746
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $65,123
- Equity at exit
- $8,551
Cash invested: $27,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28658
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,592 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $643 | -5% $609 | +0% $574 | +5% $540 | +10% $506 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $449 | -5% $511 | +0% $574 | +5% $637 | +10% $700 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $624 | -0.5pp $600 | base $574 | +0.5pp $549 | +1.0pp $523 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,725
- Closing costs
- $2,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $98,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $98,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-07$98,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,540
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,529
- − Management
- −$1,529
- − Depreciation
- −$2,877
- Taxable income
- $5,654
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,357
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Catawba County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700690
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▲ 9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,180
- Composite
- 44.71/100
- National rank
- #2754
- State rank
- #54 of 178 in NC
Livability — Newton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #5536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,681
Population outlook (Catawba County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 156,513 people
- By 2030
- 155,267 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 151,110 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 145,524 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 134,047 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 119,424 · -23.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Catawba
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.0) · D 30.6% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.0 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.85%
- Current HPI
- 262.8541
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $98,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2024): $74 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…