123 Gamma Cir · Roland, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$156,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The wait is over! This charming, newly remodeled ranch-style home is located in a quiet neighborhood perfect for families or evening walks with your dog. Updates include a new roof, new HVAC system, new flooring, new light fixtures and ceiling fans, and fresh paint throughout. The kitchen features beautiful granite countertops, a new electric range, new dishwasher, and new garbage disposal. Both the full and half baths have new vanities and commodes. The home offers three spacious bedrooms with room for king or queen beds, plus a large laundry/mud room with extra storage, ready for a washer and electric dryer. Enjoy the huge backyard with mature trees and a large wood deck, perfect for rela
Key facts
- New ceiling fans
- New flooring
- New paint
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Concrete parking; 1 covered parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Built on slab
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Covered patio; Back yard fencing; Chain link fence; Shingle roof; Cul-de-sac lot; City lot; Paved road; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Disposal
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Pantry; Storage; Tile counters; Double-pane windows; Storm windows; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-226/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (25.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.7% in Roland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#229 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Roland (town): math 18% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #182 of 270 in OK (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roland Es (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 427 students, 0% FRL); Roland Ms (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #288 of 345 statewide, top 86%, 195 students, 0% FRL); Roland Hs (math 2% / reading 34%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 323 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Sequoyah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Sequoyah County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 372 days — a 12% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 372 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.52%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,738
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 Loop West | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-1%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $133 | 80 |
| 104 Math Ln | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,305 (-4%) | 5mo | $92,400 | $71 | 79 |
| 104 Commanche Loop | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,345 (-1%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $152 | 76 |
| 107 S Circle A Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-4%) | 9mo | $163,000 | $125 | 76 |
| 403 Woodland Hills Blvd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+3%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $79 | 75 |
| 125 Math Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (-4%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $57 | 74 |
| 105 N Circle B | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+11%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $99 | 73 |
| 205 Adirondack Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-9%) | 7mo | $156,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 110 S Circle A | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+14%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $128 | 62 |
| 136 Stone Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+6%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 101 Choctaw Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,526 (+12%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $134 | 55 |
| 101 Hollow Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,181 (-13%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $92 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $12,443
- Equity at exit
- $65,030
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $52,534
- Equity at exit
- $96,122
Cash invested: $43,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74954
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $680/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $-19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $70 | -5% $26 | +0% $-19 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-111 | -5% $-65 | +0% $-19 | +5% $27 | +10% $74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $60 | -0.5pp $21 | base $-19 | +0.5pp $-60 | +1.0pp $-101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,225
- Closing costs
- $4,707
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Loop W Roland, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $1,250 | $0.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 512 Carson Rd Roland, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $156,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $156,900 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $156,900 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $156,900 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $156,900 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $156,900 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $156,900 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $156,900 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $156,900 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $156,900 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $156,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $156,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 350 DOM
-
2025-12-02price $159,900
-
2025-08-02price $164,500
-
2025-06-09$169,500 Active
-
2025-01-13price $165,000
-
2024-11-27$169,000 Active
-
2017-09-27soldstatus $500,000
-
2014-09-04soldstatus $54,000
-
2006-11-13soldstatus $77,500
-
2006-03-14soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $680 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,412 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$732/yr (+$61/mo · 107.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,789
- − Property taxes
- −$680
- − Insurance
- −$784
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,125
- − Management
- −$1,125
- − Depreciation
- −$4,564
- Taxable loss
- −$3,003
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$721
- After-tax cash flow
- $494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roland
- NCES district ID
- 4026310
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,345
- Composite
- 16.28/100
- National rank
- #9216
- State rank
- #182 of 270 in OK
Livability — Roland
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #15893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roland, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,066
Population outlook (Sequoyah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,398 people
- By 2030
- 38,215 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 35,625 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 32,943 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 27,805 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 23,311 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Two or more races 13% Native American 13% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sequoyah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.5) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -61.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.5 2020: R+59.0 2016: R+54.2 2012: R+39.1 2008: R+36.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Current HPI
- 207.654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+299.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $159,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-08-02 Price Changed $164,500 WRVBOR
- 2025-06-09 Listed $169,500 WRVBOR
- 2025-01-13 Price Changed $165,000 WRVBOR
- 2024-11-27 Listed $169,000 WRVBOR
- 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
- 2014-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2006-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2006-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $680 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…