2663 Ashlawn Dr · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come tour this spacious brick home in an established Montgomery neighborhood, offering over 2,300 square feet and a layout that’s increasingly hard to find. The home features multiple living areas, including a formal living room with fireplace, a separate dining room, and a large den that opens into a sunroom overlooking the backyard. With 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a dedicated laundry area, the footprint is there for both comfortable living and future improvements. Original hardwood floors run through much of the home, and the overall structure and layout provide a strong foundation for renovation. The kitchen, bathrooms, and finishes are dated, and the property will require updates, making it a clear opportunity for a buyer looking to add value. Situated on a large lot with mature trees and a private backyard, the setting adds to the long-term appeal. This is a straightforward value-add property—ideal for investors or buyers willing to put in the work and capitalize on the space and layout already in place. Priced with condition in mind.
Key facts
- Large den
- Separate dining room
- Brick home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.53%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,868
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -33.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2746 Fairmont Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 2,095 (-4%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $79 | 84 |
| 2722 Fairmont Rd | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,125 (-3%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $38 | 82 |
| 2722 Oxford Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,166 (-1%) | 7mo | $189,500 | $87 | 80 |
| 3858 Antoinette Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,168 (-1%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $58 | 63 |
| 2721 S Colonial Dr | 0.30mi | 3/3.0 | 2,464 (+13%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $75 | 59 |
| 2454 Hawthorn Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,349 (+8%) | 3mo | $329,500 | $140 | 57 |
| 3469 Warrenton Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,957 (-10%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 2554 Churchill Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,418 (+11%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $93 | 55 |
| 3918 Rouse Ridge Ct | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,035 (-7%) | 0mo | $197,900 | $97 | 54 |
| 2630 Clement Curv | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,925 (-12%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 3383 Warrenton Rd | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,274 (+4%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $112 | 48 |
| 2484 Hawthorn Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 2,495 (+14%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $130 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $15,571
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $56,297
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36111
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,526 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $800/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $584 | -5% $553 | +0% $522 | +5% $491 | +10% $460 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $402 | -5% $462 | +0% $522 | +5% $582 | +10% $643 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $577 | -0.5pp $550 | base $522 | +0.5pp $494 | +1.0pp $465 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2716 Ashlawn Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2829 | $1,600 | $0.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2656 Fisk Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3001 Sutton Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2298 | $1,750 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3050 Sutton Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,450 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3050 Bryn Mawr Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2290 | $1,500 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2440 Price St Unit C Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,050 | $0.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3543 Carter Hill Rd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $925 | $0.83 | 14d | 16 | 0.48mi |
| 2430 Price St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,175 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2651 Clement Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2198 Beverly Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2476 | $1,495 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3332 Allendale Pl Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2741 | $2,250 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2724 Forsyth Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3252 Cheltenham Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,200 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1434 E Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2237 | $1,475 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1437 Beaumont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2029 | $1,500 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2988 Old Farm Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2314 | $1,900 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2983 Old Farm Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,725 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2929 Canterbury Ct Unit 1043474P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2464 | $2,667 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3352 Ridgefield Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1932 | $1,761 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1067 Roslyn Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,125 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1355 Buckingham Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1814 Sylvan Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $109,000 Pending 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $119,000 1069-char remark
Show marketing remark (1069 chars)
Come tour this spacious brick home in an established Montgomery neighborhood, offering over 2,300 square feet and a layout that’s increasingly hard to find. The home features multiple living areas, including a formal living room with fireplace, a separate dining room, and a large den that opens into a sunroom overlooking the backyard. With 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a dedicated laundry area, the footprint is there for both comfortable living and future improvements. Original hardwood floors run through much of the home, and the overall structure and layout provide a strong foundation for renovation. The kitchen, bathrooms, and finishes are dated, and the property will require updates, making it a clear opportunity for a buyer looking to add value. Situated on a large lot with mature trees and a private backyard, the setting adds to the long-term appeal. This is a straightforward value-add property—ideal for investors or buyers willing to put in the work and capitalize on the space and layout already in place. Priced with condition in mind.
-
2026-05-03price $129,000 1069-char remark
Show marketing remark (1069 chars)
Come tour this spacious brick home in an established Montgomery neighborhood, offering over 2,300 square feet and a layout that’s increasingly hard to find. The home features multiple living areas, including a formal living room with fireplace, a separate dining room, and a large den that opens into a sunroom overlooking the backyard. With 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a dedicated laundry area, the footprint is there for both comfortable living and future improvements. Original hardwood floors run through much of the home, and the overall structure and layout provide a strong foundation for renovation. The kitchen, bathrooms, and finishes are dated, and the property will require updates, making it a clear opportunity for a buyer looking to add value. Situated on a large lot with mature trees and a private backyard, the setting adds to the long-term appeal. This is a straightforward value-add property—ideal for investors or buyers willing to put in the work and capitalize on the space and layout already in place. Priced with condition in mind.
-
2026-04-21$139,000 Active 1069-char remark
Show marketing remark (1069 chars)
Come tour this spacious brick home in an established Montgomery neighborhood, offering over 2,300 square feet and a layout that’s increasingly hard to find. The home features multiple living areas, including a formal living room with fireplace, a separate dining room, and a large den that opens into a sunroom overlooking the backyard. With 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a dedicated laundry area, the footprint is there for both comfortable living and future improvements. Original hardwood floors run through much of the home, and the overall structure and layout provide a strong foundation for renovation. The kitchen, bathrooms, and finishes are dated, and the property will require updates, making it a clear opportunity for a buyer looking to add value. Situated on a large lot with mature trees and a private backyard, the setting adds to the long-term appeal. This is a straightforward value-add property—ideal for investors or buyers willing to put in the work and capitalize on the space and layout already in place. Priced with condition in mind.
-
2025-12-30price $140,000
-
2025-11-20$150,000 Active
-
2010-08-04soldstatus $101,645
-
2010-08-04soldstatus $101,645
-
2010-08-02soldstatus $98,500
-
2010-03-24$98,000
-
2010-03-16$122,900
-
2008-05-23$124,900
-
2008-01-28$129,000
-
2001-09-07$129,900
-
2001-07-17$135,000
-
1998-12-01soldstatus $110,000
-
1998-09-03$122,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $800 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $800 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$800
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $4,764
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,122/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- City population
- 175,913
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,196
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 34% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.63%
- Current HPI
- 156.4412
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-2.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $119,000 MAAR
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $129,000 MAAR
- 2026-04-21 Listed $139,000 MAAR
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $140,000 MAAR
- 2025-11-20 Listed $150,000 MAAR
- 2010-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $101,645 Public Records
- 2010-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $101,645 Public Records
- 2010-08-02 Sold (MLS) $98,500 MAAR
- 2010-03-24 Listed $98,000 MAAR
- 2010-03-16 Listed $122,900 MAAR
- 2008-05-23 Listed $124,900 MAAR
- 2008-01-28 Listed $129,000 MAAR
- 2001-09-07 Listed $129,900 MAAR
- 2001-07-17 Listed $135,000 MAAR
- 1998-12-01 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MAAR
- 1998-09-03 Listed $122,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $800 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…