10 Renwood St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cash only, being sold as is.
Key facts
- Stained glass window
- Gumwood trim
- Spacious foyer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,807/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $95k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.02%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Newcomb St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (+0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $47 | 73 |
| 61 Crombie St | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+3%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $80 | 70 |
| 155 3rd St | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 | 1,392 (-7%) | 2mo | $67,500 | $48 | 64 |
| 662 Wilkins St | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 | 1,666 (+11%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $96 | 63 |
| 128 5th St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 | 1,606 (+7%) | 2mo | $62,000 | $39 | 62 |
| 227 Newcomb St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 207 Herald St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,288 (-14%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $47 | 47 |
| 57 Durnan St | 0.69mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,374 (-8%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $62 | 47 |
| 1542 N Goodman St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,340 (-11%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 1295 North Street St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,347 (-10%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $52 | 43 |
| 281 Ellison St | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 1,350 (-10%) | 0mo | $184,000 | $136 | 43 |
| 1271 North St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,276 (-15%) | 2mo | $128,900 | $101 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $44,986
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 46.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.57×
- Total profit
- $148,103
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14621
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $798
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 207 Lux St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1728 | $2,150 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 52 Frances St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 147 5th St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $950 | $0.81 | 10d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,775 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 239 Weyl St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1 Champeney Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1936 | $1,650 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,975 | $1.35 | 10d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-16historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-16price $94,900
-
2025-11-05$99,900 Active
-
2024-10-31historical
-
2024-10-18price $95,000
-
2024-08-14status Active
-
2024-08-14price $99,900
-
2024-06-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-06-28$49,900 Active
-
2017-03-17soldstatus $48,000
-
2017-02-10soldstatus $27,000 Closed Sale or Rented 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Cash only, being sold as is.
-
2017-01-03status Pending Sale 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Cash only, being sold as is.
-
2016-11-22$29,900 Active 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Cash only, being sold as is.
-
1994-09-07soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,359 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$245/yr (+$20/mo · 22.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,114
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $8,551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,381
- Household income
- $35,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2756.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.66%
- Current HPI
- 254.1805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.88%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+206.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-16 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $94,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-10-31 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2024-10-18 Price Changed $95,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-08-14 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2024-08-14 Price Changed $99,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-06-28 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2024-06-28 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-10 Sold (MLS) $27,000 UNYREIS
- 2017-01-03 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-11-22 Listed $29,900 UNYREIS
- 1994-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,114 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…