1441 Paso Real Ave #39 · Rowland Heights, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$216,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
It's located in the right of the park - Double Wide Mobil Home, 1440 square feet with Enclosed Patio. New paint, New Floor, The long carport can park 3- 4 cars. Motivated seller! We will consider all reasonable offers. Agent: Please view Private Remark for more valuable info.
Key facts
- Long carport
- Enclosed patio
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $216k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $216k).
- Recommended offer: $190k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 2.7% in Rowland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,123 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rowland Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #134 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,488/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1440% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.58%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,446
- List price
- $216,000
- Delta
- 6.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #327 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $139 | 99 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #255 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 8mo | $193,000 | $134 | 94 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #119 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-3%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $158 | 91 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #246 | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $146 | 91 |
| 1441 S Paso Real Ave #27 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $135 | 90 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #203 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,493 (+4%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $154 | 86 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #184 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (+4%) | 9mo | $285,470 | $191 | 82 |
| 1440 Paso Real Ave #37 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $130 | 78 |
| 1560 Otterbein Ave #12 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (-2%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $258 | 68 |
| 1560 S Otterbein Ave #58 | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $240 | 63 |
| 1560 S Otterbein Ave #113 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+9%) | 4mo | $308,000 | $196 | 56 |
| 1560 S Otterbein #138 Ave #138 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-8%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $227 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $78,307
- Equity at exit
- $32,206
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $274,001
- Equity at exit
- $18,676
Cash invested: $60,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91748
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,488 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,133
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $498/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$732
- Net cashflow
- $1,491
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,613 | -5% $1,552 | +0% $1,491 | +5% $1,430 | +10% $1,369 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,216 | -5% $1,353 | +0% $1,491 | +5% $1,629 | +10% $1,767 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,600 | -0.5pp $1,546 | base $1,491 | +0.5pp $1,435 | +1.0pp $1,378 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,000
- Closing costs
- $6,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18567 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,400 | $2.84 | 3d | 26 | 0.29mi |
| 18617 Trot Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $3,350 | $2.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1809 Paso Real Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $3,500 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1808 Santa Ysabela Dr Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,500 | $2.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1439 S Jellick Ave Unit B Rowland Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1049 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 19050 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,595 | $3.12 | 22d | 2 | 0.45mi |
| 1316 Raleo Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $5,000 | $4.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 18417 Santar St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $3,300 | $2.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 19231 Tranbarger St Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $3,200 | $2.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18573 Farjardo St Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,750 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 18658 Mescalero St Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $3,800 | $2.81 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19319 Pilario St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $3,750 | $2.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2240 Electra Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $3,200 | $2.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2415 Los Padres Dr Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $3,300 | $2.95 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2601 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,650 | $2.86 | 8d | 3 | 1.00mi |
| 2243 Otterbein Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $3,600 | $2.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18626 Barroso St Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $3,890 | $2.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2817 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,100 | $2.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2847 Valley Blvd West Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $3,040 | $3.46 | 2d | 7 | 1.09mi |
| 4037 S Ellesford Ave West Covina, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $4,195 | $2.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1862 Hollandale Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $4,250 | $2.68 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 18448 La Guardia St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $6,900 | $4.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19358 Alcona St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $3,950 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 684 Panorama Ln La Puente, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1683 | $3,600 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 684 Panorama Ln La Puente, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1683 | $3,600 | $2.14 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2143 Arcdale Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $3,500 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 19307 Oakview Ln Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $3,850 | $2.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17800 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,880 | $3.72 | 5d | 8 | 1.34mi |
| 2454 Hillman Ln Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $3,800 | $2.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $216,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $216,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $216,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $216,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $216,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $216,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $216,000
-
2026-02-13price $225,000
-
2026-02-02price $220,000
-
2025-12-13status Active
-
2025-12-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-04-19$210,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $498 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,642 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,144/yr (+$95/mo · 229.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,851
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,099
- − Property taxes
- −$498
- − Insurance
- −$1,080
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,348
- − Management
- −$3,348
- − Depreciation
- −$6,284
- Taxable income
- $15,195
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,647
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633750
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,667
- Composite
- 44.83/100
- National rank
- #2733
- State rank
- #134 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rowland Heights
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1123
- US rank
- #25637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rowland Heights, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 42,463
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,463
- Household income
- $83,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Asian (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 59% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 6% White 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Chinese 37% Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -754.24%
- Current HPI
- 364.5923
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.27%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+2.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $216,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $225,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $220,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-13 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-04-19 Listed $210,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+49.1%/yrLatest (2025): $498 · +49.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…