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108 Oak Dr
B Composite 70.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

108 Oak Dr · Ocean Acres, NJ 08005
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured · 47 Days on market
Built 1981 Good condition $65/sqft · 180% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinewood Estates in Barnegat. Offering approximately 1,000 square feet of comfortable living space, this home is perfect for those seeking low-maintenance living in a peaceful, well-kept neighborhood. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms. The home has been well cared for and offers a warm, welcoming feel throughout. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a covered carport with space for multiple vehicles, providing protection from the elements year-round. The property also offers a nicely maintain

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Quiet setting
  • Minutes from dining

Tags

COVERED CARPORTNICELY MAINTAINED EXTERIORQUIET SETTINGMINUTES FROM SHOPPINGMINUTES FROM DININGMINUTES FROM MAJOR ROADWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Adult community (55+)

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car exterior parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Mobile home; Property listed for sale
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; Shed; Handicap access; Screens

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas stove; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 5 rooms total (includes living/bonus spaces such as den and dining area)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Laminate; Wall-to-wall carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Property-owned gas; Above-ground tank
  • Interior features: Blinds, Curtains, Shades; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 33.0% vs local median 3.1% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.70%
Cap rate
33.05%
Cash-on-cash
95.56%
DSCR
5.25
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$23,230
List price
$65,000
Delta
179.81%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Redwood Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,000 (0%) 8mo $142,000 $142 83
112 Juniper Dr 0.13mi 2/2.0 999 (-0%) 19mo $40,000 $40 78
114 Magnolia Ln 0.05mi 2/1.0 900 (-10%) 3mo $4,000 $4 74
114 Oak Dr 0.01mi 2/2.0 900 (-10%) 15mo $50,000 $56 70
112 Chestnut Dr 0.37mi 2/1.0 900 (-10%) 5mo $77,000 $86 58
150 Chestnut St 0.32mi 2/1.5 900 (-10%) 13mo $32,500 $36 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
96.5%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$81,812
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
99.2%
Equity multiple
11.45×
Total profit
$190,250
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08005

Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,403 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$1,449

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,494 -5% $1,472 +0% $1,449 +5% $1,427 +10% $1,404
Rent -10% $1,259 -5% $1,354 +0% $1,449 +5% $1,544 +10% $1,639
Rate -1.0pp $1,482 -0.5pp $1,466 base $1,449 +0.5pp $1,432 +1.0pp $1,415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,990 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,990 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,990 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,990 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,990 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,990 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,990 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $59,990 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    status $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Under Contract 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Under Contract 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $65,000 Active 1008-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,838
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,307
− Management
−$2,307
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$17,392
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,174
After-tax cash flow
$13,218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Pinewood Estates offers a comfortable and low-maintenance living space with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barnegat Township School District
NCES district ID
3416470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$63,645
Composite
31.15/100
National rank
#6059
State rank
#285 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Ocean Acres

Score
63/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#15187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
City population
25,936
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
26,866
Household income
$93,584
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
384.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.01%
Current HPI
344.3189
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $65,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $59,990 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Relisted SJSRMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $65,000 SJSRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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