108 Oak Dr · Ocean Acres, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the highly desirable 55+ community of Pinewood Estates in Barnegat. Offering approximately 1,000 square feet of comfortable living space, this home is perfect for those seeking low-maintenance living in a peaceful, well-kept neighborhood. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms. The home has been well cared for and offers a warm, welcoming feel throughout. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a covered carport with space for multiple vehicles, providing protection from the elements year-round. The property also offers a nicely maintain
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Quiet setting
- Minutes from dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Adult community (55+)
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car exterior parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Mobile home; Property listed for sale
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; Shed; Handicap access; Screens
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas stove; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 5 rooms total (includes living/bonus spaces such as den and dining area)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Laminate; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Property-owned gas; Above-ground tank
- Interior features: Blinds, Curtains, Shades; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.0% vs local median 3.1% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 95.56%
- DSCR
- 5.25
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $23,230
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 179.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Redwood Dr | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 8mo | $142,000 | $142 | 83 |
| 112 Juniper Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 999 (-0%) | 19mo | $40,000 | $40 | 78 |
| 114 Magnolia Ln | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-10%) | 3mo | $4,000 | $4 | 74 |
| 114 Oak Dr | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (-10%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $56 | 70 |
| 112 Chestnut Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-10%) | 5mo | $77,000 | $86 | 58 |
| 150 Chestnut St | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 | 900 (-10%) | 13mo | $32,500 | $36 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 96.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $81,812
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 99.2%
- Equity multiple
- 11.45×
- Total profit
- $190,250
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08005
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,403 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $1,449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,494 | -5% $1,472 | +0% $1,449 | +5% $1,427 | +10% $1,404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,259 | -5% $1,354 | +0% $1,449 | +5% $1,544 | +10% $1,639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,482 | -0.5pp $1,466 | base $1,449 | +0.5pp $1,432 | +1.0pp $1,415 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,990 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,990 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $59,990 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $59,990 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $59,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,990 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-04pricedays on market $59,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-02status $65,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Under Contract 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Under Contract 26 DOM
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2026-05-05$65,000 Active 1008-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,838
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,307
- − Management
- −$2,307
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $17,392
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,174
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Pinewood Estates offers a comfortable and low-maintenance living space with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barnegat Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416470
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,645
- Composite
- 31.15/100
- National rank
- #6059
- State rank
- #285 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ocean Acres
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #15187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- City population
- 25,936
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,866
- Household income
- $93,584
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 384.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.01%
- Current HPI
- 344.3189
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $65,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $59,990 SJSRMLS
- 2026-06-01 Relisted — SJSRMLS
- 2026-05-29 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $65,000 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…