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D+ Composite 46.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

2620 Celia Ave · Charlotte, NC 28216
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 572 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1958 6,969 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent investment opportunity or ideal starter home just minutes from South End, Plaza Midwood, and Uptown Charlotte in Biddle Park! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offers unbeatable location with convenient access to I-77 and I-85, making commuting and city living effortless. Whether you’re looking to renovate, hold as a rental, or explore a possible new construction opportunity, this property presents strong upside in a rapidly growing area. Don’t miss your chance to secure a property with location, flexibility, and future potential!

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 114 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; Shingle roof (not explicitly listed but typical for vinyl construction)
  • Exterior features: Located in a flood plain/bottom land area; Other lot characteristics noted in remarks; Concrete and paved roads; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Refrigerator included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($153/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.1% in Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Briarwood Academy (math 28% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 655 students, 99% FRL); Ranson Middle (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #459 of 475 statewide, top 97%, 817 students, 100% FRL); West Charlotte High School (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #436 of 535 statewide, top 82%, 1,538 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 49% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 462 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,650 (12.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.61%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-21,288
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-21,657
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28216

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
462
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,136 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $993/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $86 -5% $50 +0% $13 +5% $-24 +10% $-61
Rent -10% $-77 -5% $-32 +0% $13 +5% $58 +10% $103
Rate -1.0pp $78 -0.5pp $46 base $13 +0.5pp $-21 +1.0pp $-55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2620 Celia Ave Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 650 $695 $1.07 0d 1 0.03mi
2605 Remington St Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 696 $1,100 $1.58 22d 1 0.21mi
2021 Lasalle St Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 653 $1,200 $1.84 25d 1 0.69mi
2204 Catherine Simmons Ave Unit B Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.0 652 $950 $1.46 22d 1 0.70mi
2220 Custer St Unit 2 Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 654 $1,095 $1.67 25d 1 0.75mi
1935 Irma St Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 680 $1,295 $1.90 9d 1 0.81mi
2030 W Trade St Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 564 $2,200 $3.90 25d 1 0.84mi
725 Savona Mill Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 1.0–2.5 1372 $1,975 $1.44 0d 13 1.04mi
1732 Newland Rd Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 696 $1,125 $1.62 23d 1 1.07mi
422 State St Unit 5 Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.5 587 $1,575 $2.68 4d 1 1.10mi
303 N Crigler St Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 6d 1 1.14mi
2020 Rush Wind Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 25d 1 1.18mi
539 State St Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 506 $1,677 $3.31 5d 26 1.18mi
1813 Brewton Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 690 $1,530 $2.22 18d 1 1.25mi
719 Gesco St Charlotte, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 848 $1,570 $1.85 0d 11 1.26mi
718 Gesco St Charlotte, NC 1.0 523 $1,525 $2.92 16d 1 1.32mi
718 Gesco St Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 693 $1,830 $2.64 22d 1 1.32mi
2413 Woodward Ave Unit ADU Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 489 $1,300 $2.66 25d 1 1.37mi
2345 Carmine St #4 Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 715 $1,095 $1.53 25d 1 1.38mi
225 Hoskins Mill Ln Apt B Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 525 $825 $1.57 23d 1 1.40mi
2335 Carmine St #1 Charlotte, NC 2.0 1.0 715 $1,095 $1.53 19d 1 1.41mi
234 Hoskins Mill Ln Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 650 $895 $1.38 23d 1 1.45mi
308 Hoskins Mill Ln Charlotte, NC 1.0 1.0 550 $850 $1.55 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    status Active
  15. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  16. 2026-02-06
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-14
    status Pending
  18. 2026-01-09
    listed $130,000 Active
  19. 2025-11-15
    listed $725
  20. 2025-11-14
    historical $725
  21. 2025-11-07
    price $725
  22. 2025-11-01
    listed $750
  23. 2025-11-01
    historical $695
  24. 2024-11-01
    price $695
  25. 2024-06-05
    listed $740

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$993 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$73/yr (+$6/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,638
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$993
− Insurance
−$1,448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,091
− Management
−$1,091
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,048
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$492
After-tax cash flow
$644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools
NCES district ID
3702970
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$57,175
Composite
38.49/100
National rank
#4183
State rank
#85 of 178 in NC

Livability — Charlotte

Score
78/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#2502

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charlotte, NC
County
Mecklenburg County · 1,167,319 people
City population
920,422
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
57,507
Household income
$65,795
Rent vs Own
49.1% rent · 50.9% own
Severe rent burden
3184.0

Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,305,740 people
By 2030
1,442,752 · +10.5%
By 2040
1,722,441 · +31.9%
By 2050
1,999,450 · +53.1%
By 2075
2,642,495 · +102.4%
By 2100
3,106,755 · +137.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 65.6% · R 32.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+8.5pp toward D · 2008: 24.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+22.5 2008: D+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.17%
Current HPI
278.6861
Rent YoY
▲ 2.08%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $130,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-15 Listed for Rent $725 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-11-14 Rental Removed $725 ZUMPER1
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $725 ZUMPER1
  • 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $750 ZUMPER1
  • 2025-11-01 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-11-01 Price Changed $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-05 Listed for Rent $740 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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