🏗️ New Construction
Bella Plan · Duson, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.7/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the Bella! A new home in Cane Place in Duson, Louisiana. The Bella is a thoughtfully designed single-story home that blends comfort, efficiency, and everyday functionality. This 3 bed, 2 bath layout offers a smart use of space while maintaining an open and inviting feel. Upon entry from the front porch, you're welcomed into a central space that flows seamlessly from the living area into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is well-appointed with ample counter space, a pantry for extra storage, stainless steel appliances, and convenient access to the dining room.
Key facts
- Ample counter space
- Walk-in closet
- Ensuite bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-470 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (22.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (32.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 5.1% in Duson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mire Elementary School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #144 of 646 statewide, top 22%, 666 students, 55% FRL); Rayne High School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #88 of 265 statewide, top 33%, 640 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.72%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $231,046
- List price
- $210,500
- Delta
- -8.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Countrywood Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (+6%) | 1mo | $222,000 | $153 | 80 |
| 104 Rushfield Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+4%) | 1mo | $210,761 | $148 | 72 |
| 200 Rushfield Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+4%) | 2mo | $205,990 | $145 | 71 |
| 231 Meadows Ridge Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (+6%) | 0mo | $224,500 | $155 | 63 |
| 202 Rushfield Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (+9%) | 4mo | $219,204 | $147 | 61 |
| 315 Meadow Ridge Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (+9%) | 4mo | $217,845 | $145 | 54 |
| 204 Rushfield Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (-13%) | 5mo | $196,854 | $165 | 53 |
| 134 Ember Ridge Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (+9%) | 1mo | $235,388 | $158 | 51 |
| 311 Meadow Ridge Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (-13%) | 1mo | $197,841 | $166 | 51 |
| 102 Rosebrook Ln | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,465 (+7%) | 3mo | $214,990 | $147 | 50 |
| 138 Ember Ridge Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (+9%) | 4mo | $219,510 | $147 | 48 |
| 140 Ember Ridge Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (+9%) | 4mo | $222,795 | $149 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-67,342
- Equity at exit
- $34,450
- IRR
- -35.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.50×
- Total profit
- $-97,085
- Equity at exit
- $19,977
Cash invested: $64,693 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 39 active · 30 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.1 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $215,500 ($146/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 807 d
- This list price
- 38% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70529
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,426 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,212
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$289 /mo · $3,466/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $-470
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-310 | -5% $-390 | +0% $-470 | +5% $-550 | +10% $-630 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-583 | -5% $-526 | +0% $-470 | +5% $-413 | +10% $-357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-353 | -0.5pp $-411 | base $-470 | +0.5pp $-530 | +1.0pp $-591 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,761
- Closing costs
- $6,931
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Winter Park PL Duson, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,798 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 209 G St Duson, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $980 | $0.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $210,500
Exterior
- Parking
- 1-car garage (1 total parking space)
- Home design
- Single-family planInventory type: Plan
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,370 (living area provided)
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Plan: Bella (new construction plan)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $210,500 Active 152 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $210,500 Active 151 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $210,500 Active 150 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $210,500 Active 149 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $210,500 Active 148 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $210,500 Active 146 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $210,500 Active 145 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $210,500 Active 144 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $210,500 Active 143 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $210,500 Active 142 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $210,500 Active 141 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $210,500 Active 140 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $210,500 Active 139 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $210,500 Active 138 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $210,500 Active 137 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $210,500 Active 136 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $210,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $210,500 Active 134 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $210,500 Active 133 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $210,500 Active 132 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $210,500 Active 131 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $210,500 Active 130 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $210,500 Active 129 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $210,500 Active 128 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $210,500 Active 127 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $210,500 Active 126 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $210,500 Active 125 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $210,500 Active 124 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $210,500 Active 123 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $210,500 Active 122 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $210,500 Active 121 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $210,500 Active 120 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $210,500 Active 119 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $210,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $210,500 Active 117 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $210,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $210,500 Active 115 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $210,500 Active 114 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $210,500 Active 113 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $210,500 Active 112 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $210,500 Active 111 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $210,500 Active 110 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $210,500 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $210,500 Active 108 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $210,500 Active 107 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $210,500 Active 106 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $210,500 Active 104 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $210,500 Active 103 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $210,500 Active 102 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $210,500 Active 101 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,942
- − Property taxes
- −$3,466
- − Insurance
- −$1,155
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,369
- − Management
- −$1,369
- − Depreciation
- −$6,721
- Taxable loss
- −$9,906
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a great opportunity for an investor to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics with minor updates, which would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves appearance and functionality ↑
- Resale New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Acadia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,012
- Composite
- 31.65/100
- National rank
- #5929
- State rank
- #28 of 98 in LA
Livability — Duson
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #12322
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duson, LA
- County
- Lafayette · 63,846 people
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,557
- Household income
- $52,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Acadia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,846 people
- By 2030
- 64,141 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 63,922 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 62,263 · -2.5%
- By 2075
- 56,507 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 46,316 · -27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Acadia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.0) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -45.7pp · 2024: -64.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.0 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+49.8 2008: R+45.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.96%
- Current HPI
- 192.2639
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…