Duplex
2318 Sylvanie St · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors! Level duplex with great earning potential! All alliances stay. Property is now Vacant.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Centrally located
- Side by side duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross income reported at $1,800; Operating expenses may include property management and other items
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual heat and air; Individual water heaters; Separate meters
- Home design: Duplex (residential income); Single-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; About 101+ years old
- Exterior features: On-street parking; Lot approximately 5,663 square feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units (two units total)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
- Interior features: Basement present
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Individual water heaters; Separate meters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $254/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Edison Elem. (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 288 students, 99% FRL); Bode Middle (math 29% / reading 44%, grade F, #231 of 391 statewide, top 60%, 486 students, 45% FRL); Central High (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #287 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 1,728 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,820/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 721% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.04%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,128
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- 7.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,158
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $47,628
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64501
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 14.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,820 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $632/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $508
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $595 | -5% $552 | +0% $508 | +5% $464 | +10% $420 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $364 | -5% $436 | +0% $508 | +5% $580 | +10% $651 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $586 | -0.5pp $547 | base $508 | +0.5pp $468 | +1.0pp $427 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,820 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $910 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $910 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,820 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1616 S 25th St Saint Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 358-char remark
-
2026-05-01$155,000 Active 358-char remark
-
2019-03-22soldstatus 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Attention investors! Level duplex with great earning potential! All alliances stay. Property is now Vacant.
-
2018-06-01$39,900 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Attention investors! Level duplex with great earning potential! All alliances stay. Property is now Vacant.
-
2007-10-22historical
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice, comfortable Duplex, replacement windows, appliances, main floor laundry, roof less than 3 yrs old-Rented and deposits-Good investment. Call lockbox but please be courteous and knock before entering. Calll Carrie 273-6254.
-
2007-04-03$80,000
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice, comfortable Duplex, replacement windows, appliances, main floor laundry, roof less than 3 yrs old-Rented and deposits-Good investment. Call lockbox but please be courteous and knock before entering. Calll Carrie 273-6254.
-
2005-11-01soldstatus
-
2004-07-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,504 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$871/yr (+$73/mo · 137.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$632
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,747
- − Management
- −$1,747
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$899
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- County
- Buchanan County · 32,150 people
- City population
- 44,382
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,689
- Household income
- $46,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.20%
- Current HPI
- 157.8706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+93.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $155,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-22 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-01 Listed $39,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-22 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-03 Listed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-07-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $632 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…