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2221 N Mora Dr
C Composite 59.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

2221 N Mora Dr · Hobbs, NM 88240
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,514 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1965 7,500 sqft lot $139/sqft · 74% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Three-bedroom, one-bath home featuring an enclosed back porch with an AC unit. Nicely located near local schools, a convenience grocery store, and other nearby amenities, with easy access to most major streets in the City of Hobbs. The home includes an attached two-vehicle carport. There is plenty of potential to make this house your own. Enjoy evenings around the raised fire pit in the 7-foot privacy-fenced backyard. Recent updates include a metal roof and carport by Sutton Roofing, an updated HVAC system, and a 50-gallon hot water heater replaced in 2021. The new 200 amp service is a huge plus. The home features new carpet and vinyl plank flooring throughout, along with new double-pane wi

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Metal roof
  • Updated hvac system

Tags

ENCLOSED BACK PORCHRAISED FIRE PITPRIVACY FENCED BACKYARDMETAL ROOFUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMHOT WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing provided by Found Real Estate

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; Attached carport; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Gas water heater; Property served by standard utilities (water/sewer/power not specified)
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Metal roof; Shed(s) on property; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 125 (7,500 sq ft / 0.1722 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; No heating system listed
  • Interior features: Free-standing range; Gas water heater; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#37 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Hobbs Municipal Schools (town): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #45 of 95 in NM (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 172 units permitted in Lea County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lea County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.44%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,359
List price
$210,000
Delta
74.48%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1900 N Penasco Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,319 (-13%) 6mo $120,000 $91 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,585
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$46,991
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88240

Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $735/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$561

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,582
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1107 E La Brea Ave Hobbs, NM 4.0 2.0 1900 $3,200 $1.68 43d 1 0.54mi
211 E Alto Dr Hobbs, NM 3.0 2.0 2066 $2,400 $1.16 43d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1071-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $210,000 Active 1071-char remark
  3. 2007-06-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$735 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,680 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$945/yr (+$79/mo · 128.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,503
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$735
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$3,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$827
After-tax cash flow
$5,900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hobbs Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3501260
Math proficiency
17%
Reading proficiency
31%
Median HH income
$52,575
Composite
24.53/100
National rank
#13068
State rank
#45 of 95 in NM

Livability — Hobbs

Score
66/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#11817

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hobbs, NM
County
Lea County · 41,557 people
City population
41,557
Metro
Hobbs, NM
Population (ZIP)
41,557
Household income
$63,270
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
968.0

Population outlook (Lea County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,268 people
By 2030
91,695 · +8.8%
By 2040
108,366 · +28.6%
By 2050
126,264 · +49.8%
By 2075
170,606 · +102.5%
By 2100
199,235 · +136.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 32% White 29% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 55%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 41% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lea

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.5% · R 80.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.6 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+49.7 2008: R+44.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -246.71%
Current HPI
100.9905
Rent YoY
Metro
Hobbs, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $210,000 NMMLS
  • 2007-06-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $735 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…