602 Caledonia St · Butte-Silver Bow (balance), MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remarks: Turnkey house, completely remodeled with 2 bedrooms, living/dining room and a large kitchen. New flooring and newer stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer included. Close to Montana Tech and St. James hospital. Great home or investment property.
Key facts
- Manageable yard
- Natural light
- Uptown amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Pillar/Post/Pier and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Lot zoned R-2
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Range, Refrigerator; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($851/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.9% in Butte-Silver Bow (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Butte H S (town): math 24% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #73 of 116 in MT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kennedy School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #223 of 293 statewide, top 79%, 246 students, 0% FRL); East Middle School (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #85 of 146 statewide, top 59%, 660 students, 0% FRL); Butte High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #48 of 132 statewide, top 37%, 1,317 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Silver Bow County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Silver Bow County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.03%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,568
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 W Quartz St | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+7%) | 10mo | $118,500 | $119 | 70 |
| 730 W Quartz St | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 857 (-8%) | 14mo | $69,900 | $82 | 61 |
| 76 Missoula Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-2%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $163 | 59 |
| 43 Missoula Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (-3%) | 6mo | $179,000 | $197 | 59 |
| 115 Minah St | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 897 (-4%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $244 | 58 |
| 601 S Idaho St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 931 (-0%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $226 | 57 |
| 935 Zarelda St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 882 (-6%) | 15mo | $139,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 145 Missoula Ave | 0.55mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 901 (-4%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 961 N Main St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 901 (-4%) | 8mo | $249,000 | $276 | 53 |
| 525 S Main St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 897 (-4%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $84 | 49 |
| 149 Missoula Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 805 (-14%) | 9mo | $139,900 | $174 | 44 |
| 27 W La Platte St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 992 (+6%) | 17mo | $60,000 | $60 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-12,844
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $26,248
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59701
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 10.4%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $156 | -5% $113 | +0% $71 | +5% $28 | +10% $-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-33 | -5% $19 | +0% $71 | +5% $123 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $146 | -0.5pp $109 | base $71 | +0.5pp $32 | +1.0pp $-7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14$150,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-13$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,453 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,453 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,453
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,684
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butte H S
- NCES district ID
- 3005310
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,852
- Composite
- 30.74/100
- National rank
- #6162
- State rank
- #73 of 116 in MT
Livability — Butte-Silver Bow (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Butte-Silver Bow (balance), MT
- County
- Silver Bow County · 34,232 people
- City population
- 35,306
- Metro
- Butte-Silver Bow, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,232
- Household income
- $60,437
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1060.0
Population outlook (Silver Bow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,745 people
- By 2030
- 36,359 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 37,490 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 38,593 · +8.0%
- By 2075
- 43,773 · +22.5%
- By 2100
- 48,513 · +35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Korean 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Silver Bow
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 51.5% · R 44.5% · Other 4.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+14.2 2012: D+32.5 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.08%
- Current HPI
- 268.4972
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.44%
- Metro
- Butte-Silver Bow, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+400.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $150,000 MRMLS
- 2024-03-24 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2021-06-18 Sold (MLS) — MRMLS
- 2021-03-29 Listed $107,500 MRMLS
- 2020-10-12 Listed $110,000 MRMLS
- 2017-10-23 Sold (MLS) — MRMLS
- 2017-09-01 Listed $30,000 MRMLS
- 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,453 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…