Duplex
107 Dove St · Johnstown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
A must see two family that has undergone significant renovations. 1st floor features a foyer, living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom with jacuzzi tub, kitchen with SS appliances and granite countertops & Laundry room. The second-floor apartment features living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom & kitchen. The second floor has access to an attic apartment that features a large bedroom, living room and kitchenette area. New flooring/carpets throughout. The grounds feature mature landscaping with a decorative hardscape patio & fire pit area. Garage and basketball court. Vinyl siding/new exterior door to many upgrades to list! Great owner-occupied home or investment property for your portfolio.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Two-family home
- Thoughtful layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Multifamily property with 2 units; Tenants pay cable TV and electricity
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space; Total of 4 parking spaces; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; 2,020 living area (reported)
- Construction: Construction: Other
- Exterior features: Front porch; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total (one full bath on 1st level, one full bath on 2nd level); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Other heating
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Level lot (site is level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $961 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $481/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in NY, #2,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-.
- Johnstown City School District (town): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #509 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $155k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.27%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,100
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Water St | 0.23mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,688 (+6%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $27 | 71 |
| 106 Dove St | 0.03mi | 5/2.0 | 2,180 (-14%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $58 | 70 |
| 23 N Perry St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,568 (+2%) | 10mo | $204,000 | $79 | 62 |
| 8 Fon Clair St | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 | 2,448 (-3%) | 7mo | $119,500 | $49 | 62 |
| 208 N Market St | 0.30mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,745 (+9%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $42 | 51 |
| 13 S Chase St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,603 (+3%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $35 | 44 |
| 25 N Melcher St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,232 (-12%) | 8mo | $74,000 | $33 | 43 |
| 25 N Perry St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,165 (-14%) | 10mo | $64,000 | $30 | 41 |
| 117 E Clinton St | 0.68mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,646 (+5%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $47 | 39 |
| 2 School St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 | 2,750 (+9%) | 24mo | $120,000 | $44 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $162,008
- Equity at exit
- $166,663
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.28×
- Total profit
- $429,023
- Equity at exit
- $359,414
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12095
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,681/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$593
- Net cashflow
- $961
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,824 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,412 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,412 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,825 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-08price $185,000
-
2026-02-04$195,000 Active
-
2024-08-09soldstatus $155,000
-
2024-08-08soldstatus $155,000 Closed 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
A must see two family that has undergone significant renovations. 1st floor features a foyer, living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom with jacuzzi tub, kitchen with SS appliances and granite countertops & Laundry room. The second-floor apartment features living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom & kitchen. The second floor has access to an attic apartment that features a large bedroom, living room and kitchenette area. New flooring/carpets throughout. The grounds feature mature landscaping with a decorative hardscape patio & fire pit area. Garage and basketball court. Vinyl siding/new exterior door to many upgrades to list! Great owner-occupied home or investment property for your portfolio.
-
2024-06-15status Pending 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
A must see two family that has undergone significant renovations. 1st floor features a foyer, living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom with jacuzzi tub, kitchen with SS appliances and granite countertops & Laundry room. The second-floor apartment features living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom & kitchen. The second floor has access to an attic apartment that features a large bedroom, living room and kitchenette area. New flooring/carpets throughout. The grounds feature mature landscaping with a decorative hardscape patio & fire pit area. Garage and basketball court. Vinyl siding/new exterior door to many upgrades to list! Great owner-occupied home or investment property for your portfolio.
-
2024-06-13$149,999 Active 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
A must see two family that has undergone significant renovations. 1st floor features a foyer, living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom with jacuzzi tub, kitchen with SS appliances and granite countertops & Laundry room. The second-floor apartment features living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms, new bathroom & kitchen. The second floor has access to an attic apartment that features a large bedroom, living room and kitchenette area. New flooring/carpets throughout. The grounds feature mature landscaping with a decorative hardscape patio & fire pit area. Garage and basketball court. Vinyl siding/new exterior door to many upgrades to list! Great owner-occupied home or investment property for your portfolio.
-
2024-02-29soldstatus $80,000
-
2024-02-19soldstatus $80,000 Closed 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
This is a fab opportunity for homebuyers looking for a 2-family as well as investors seeking solid cash flow. Ideal For Owner- Occupied Or Investment Property. 2 bedroom / 1 full bath each unit This is a must see!
-
2024-02-15status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
This is a fab opportunity for homebuyers looking for a 2-family as well as investors seeking solid cash flow. Ideal For Owner- Occupied Or Investment Property. 2 bedroom / 1 full bath each unit This is a must see!
-
2024-01-16historical Contingent 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
This is a fab opportunity for homebuyers looking for a 2-family as well as investors seeking solid cash flow. Ideal For Owner- Occupied Or Investment Property. 2 bedroom / 1 full bath each unit This is a must see!
-
2024-01-05$79,977 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
This is a fab opportunity for homebuyers looking for a 2-family as well as investors seeking solid cash flow. Ideal For Owner- Occupied Or Investment Property. 2 bedroom / 1 full bath each unit This is a must see!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,681 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,904 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$223/yr (+$19/mo · 8.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,681
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,712
- − Management
- −$2,712
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $9,126
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnstown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615980
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,999
- Composite
- 34.89/100
- National rank
- #5082
- State rank
- #509 of 590 in NY
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #2603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,013
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.82%
- Current HPI
- 297.365
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+131.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $185,000 Global MLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $195,000 Global MLS
- 2024-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-08 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Global MLS
- 2024-06-15 Pending — Global MLS
- 2024-06-13 Listed $149,999 Global MLS
- 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-19 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Global MLS
- 2024-02-15 Pending — Global MLS
- 2024-01-16 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2024-01-05 Listed $79,977 Global MLS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,681 · +52.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…