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106 Garden City Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 42.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$259,900

106 Garden City Dr · Mattydale, NY 13211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,098 sqft · Other public records · 235 Days on market
Built 1940 8,500 sqft lot $237/sqft · 49% above area Est $366k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

Key facts

  • Back shed
  • Utility room
  • Parking spot

Tags

3 STRUCTURES ON ONE PROPERTYFULL BASEMENTBACK SHEDUTILITY ROOMPARKING SPOTPLENTY OF PARKING FOR VISITORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $259,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$365,890) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-851 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (28.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (32.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 5.5% in Mattydale — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#360 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $260k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $176,412 (32.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
2.36%
Cash-on-cash
-14.04%
DSCR
0.38
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,890
List price
$259,900
Delta
-28.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$87,633
Equity at exit
$234,139
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
5.14×
Total profit
$301,303
Equity at exit
$504,929

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13211

Home prices YoY
10.7%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,764 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$774 /mo · $9,284/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$-851

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,842
Max offer price $185,685
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-704 -5% $-778 +0% $-851 +5% $-925 +10% $-998
Rent -10% $-991 -5% $-921 +0% $-851 +5% $-782 +10% $-712
Rate -1.0pp $-720 -0.5pp $-785 base $-851 +0.5pp $-919 +1.0pp $-987

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Harrington St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,875 $1.61 45d 1 0.15mi
2802 Lemoyne Ave Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 988 $1,700 $1.72 15d 1 0.17mi
1140 Wolf St Apt 3 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 1.02mi
1132 Wolf St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,350 $1.30 45d 1 1.03mi
6715 Buckley Rd Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $2,175 $3.00 15d 5 1.22mi
286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 46d 1 1.22mi
103 Hyland Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1260 $2,400 $1.90 15d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

  2. 2026-03-10
    status Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

  3. 2026-03-10
    price $259,900 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

  4. 2025-11-03
    historical Active Under Contract 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

  5. 2025-10-14
    price $264,900 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

  6. 2025-09-12
    listed $269,900 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful property, generates great income! 3 structures on one property. first building features downstairs and upstairs apt and full basement second building is a one family house with full basement third building is a one bedroom apt with a back shed, no basement but utility room! Each apt has a parking spot and there is plenty of parking for visitors All 4 apts generate approximately $3,500 a month for rent. No FHA mortgages as the current owner will not evict current renters.

  7. 2025-07-02
    historical
  8. 2025-03-28
    price $269,900
  9. 2025-02-25
    price $274,900
  10. 2025-01-08
    price $279,900
  11. 2025-01-02
    listed $290,000 Active
  12. 2024-12-18
    historical
  13. 2024-12-02
    status Active
  14. 2024-10-03
    status Active
  15. 2024-07-25
    status Pending
  16. 2024-07-05
    price $290,000
  17. 2024-07-05
    price $29,000
  18. 2024-06-18
    listed $299,900 Active
  19. 2020-07-30
    soldstatus $154,900
  20. 2020-07-22
    soldstatus $154,900 Closed Sale or Rented
  21. 2020-06-15
    status Pending Sale
  22. 2020-05-14
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  23. 2020-05-08
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
  24. 2020-04-30
    price $159,990
  25. 2020-02-28
    listed $175,000 Active
  26. 2004-12-22
    soldstatus $110,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,284 · $774/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,284 · $774/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,169
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$9,284
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,694
− Management
−$1,694
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$14,921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,581
After-tax cash flow
$-6,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mattydale

Score
72/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#6130

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mattydale, NY
City population
6,155
Population (ZIP)
6,155

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Philippines, India, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.87%
Current HPI
330.266
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.2% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $259,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-11-03 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $264,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $269,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-02 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $269,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-02-25 Price Changed $274,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-01-08 Price Changed $279,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $290,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-12-18 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-12-02 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2024-10-03 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2024-07-25 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-07-05 Price Changed $290,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-07-05 Price Changed $29,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-06-18 Listed $299,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $154,900 Public Records
  • 2020-07-22 Sold (MLS) $154,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-06-15 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-05-14 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-05-08 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2020-04-30 Price Changed $159,990 CNYIS
  • 2020-02-28 Listed $175,000 CNYIS
  • 2004-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,284 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…