1413 N 2nd St · Swansea, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 4/29/2026 @ 5:30 p. m. Welcome home to this character-filled three bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath estate home set on 2.64± acres just minutes from parks, schools, and Belleville’s historic Public Square. A sunlit living room with a stone framed wood burning fireplace and hard wood flooring creates an inviting first impression, flowing into a formal dining room that opens through French doors to a breezy screened in sunroom, ideal for relaxing or warm weather gatherings. The galley kitchen offers ample cabinetry, a breakfast bar for those quick meals, and a cozy breakfast nook, while a nearby laundry room with a bathroom pr
Key facts
- 2.69 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Auction listing
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (total 2 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Private ownership; One-level house; Property listed in fixer condition
- Construction: Block, brick and other construction materials; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Glass-enclosed patio; Patio; Porch; Front and back yards with some trees; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Wet bar; Partially finished full basement with interior entry; 2 wood-burning fireplaces (living room and basement)
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 1.9% in Swansea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#105 in IL, #1,705 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.11%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,082
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Brackett St | 0.23mi | 3/3.0 | 1,700 (-0%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $91 | 79 |
| 610 Bond Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,817 (+7%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $127 | 56 |
| 1206 Kinsella Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,723 (+1%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $73 | 56 |
| 1852 Duncan Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,640 (-4%) | 0mo | $245,900 | $150 | 55 |
| 9 Dale Crest Mnr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-0%) | 3mo | $159,900 | $94 | 50 |
| 1425 Kinsella Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,584 (-7%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $120 | 47 |
| 1006 N 2nd St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,450 (-15%) | 2mo | $102,500 | $71 | 44 |
| 811 Lebanon Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,515 (-11%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $119 | 36 |
| 508 Lebanon Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,936 (+14%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $80 | 35 |
| 504 N First St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,770 (+4%) | 16mo | $165,900 | $94 | 31 |
| 616 N Church St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,598 (-6%) | 12mo | $149,000 | $93 | 30 |
| 400 Lebanon Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,508 (-12%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $99 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $14,507
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $59,003
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,439 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1671 Shadow Ridge Ct Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,325 | $1.62 | 1d | 12 | 0.67mi |
| 310 N 10th St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 308 Bobbie Dr Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1 Rosehaven Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,325 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1912 N 17th St Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1717 La Salle St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 109 S 13th St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,325 | $0.74 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1528 Lebanon Ave Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,050 | $0.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-10$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,996
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$959
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Swansea
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #1705
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swansea, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 28,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2024): $5,154 · +47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…