3871 Grosh Dr · Antrim, PA 17225

$54,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market

Built 1987 Fair condition $54/sqft · 71% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Picture yourself here--this spacious three bedroom, two bathroom mobile home is located in a small mobile home park in a country setting! The home has newer carpet throughout and newer vinyl flooring in the kitchen. There is an updated full bath also with newer vinyl flooring. A small fenced in area off the back entrance is perfect for small children or a small dog. The main entrance has ramp access with a covered porch. The property comes with a shed and has a nice yard with a small section of woods as the backdrop. Very low taxes at less than $200 per year! The owner is willing to finance a portion of the purchase. The seller is building a home which is anticipated to be completed in J

Key facts

• Fenced in area
• Covered porch
• Updated full bath

Tags

• COUNTRY SETTING
• NEWER CARPET
• NEWER VINYL FLOORING
• UPDATED FULL BATH
• FENCED IN AREA
• COVERED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Monthly ground rent payment of $425

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking for 2 vehicles; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
• Utilities: Private/community water; Private sewer; Electric utilities
• Home design: Detached modular/manufactured home; Effective year renovated 2024; Average property condition; Ground rent ownership
• Construction: Metal roof; Other foundation; Storm windows
• Exterior features: Play area; Awnings; Vinyl fencing; Balcony; Deck(s); Shed

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Range hood; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Electric heat pump; Central air (electric); Electric hot water
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Carpeted areas
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $54k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $54k).
• Recommended offer: $53k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Greencastle-Antrim SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #118 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $53,190 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.97% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 70.95%
• DSCR: 4.16
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $183,872
• List price: $54,000
• Delta: -70.63%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7017 Guitner	0.33mi	2/1.0 (-1)	864 (-14%)	18mo	$175,000	$203	37
3232 Enoch Brown Rd	0.67mi	3/1.0	1,104 (+10%)	22mo	$244,000	$221	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 70.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.19×
• Total profit: $48,214
• Equity at exit: $8,052

10-year hold

• IRR: 74.6%
• Equity multiple: 8.63×
• Total profit: $115,401
• Equity at exit: $4,669

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17225

• Home prices YoY: -19.0%
• Active inventory: 122
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,604 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$283
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$68 /mo · $810/yr
• Insurance: −$22
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$337
• Net cashflow: $894

Break-even live

Break-even rent $472

Max offer price $54,000

Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,500
• Closing costs: $1,620
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-05
   days on market $54,000 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-03
   remarks 699-char remark
3. 2026-06-02
   days on market $54,000 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   days on market $54,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $54,000 Active 19 DOM
6. 2026-05-30
   days on market $54,000 Active 18 DOM
7. 2026-05-12
   listed $54,000 Active 693-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,248
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,025
• − Property taxes: −$810
• − Insurance: −$270
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,540
• − Management: −$1,540
• − Depreciation: −$1,571
• Taxable income: $10,493
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,518
• After-tax cash flow: $8,210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in fair condition with some repairs and maintenance needed, particularly to the roof and exterior siding. A new roof and exterior paint would significantly improve its appearance and increase its resale value.

Repairs flagged

• Major roof — The satellite image shows visible rust and wear on the metal roof.
• Minor exterior siding — There is some discoloration and minor damage visible on the exterior siding.
• Minor interior walls — There is some discoloration and minor damage visible on the interior walls.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale repair roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
• Resale paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
• Both repair and replace flooring — Repairing and replacing the flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
roof · The satellite image shows visible rust and wear on the metal roof.	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior siding · There is some discoloration and minor damage visible on the exterior siding.	Minor	$500–3,000
interior walls · There is some discoloration and minor damage visible on the interior walls.	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items		$16,000–56,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale repair roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
• Resale paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
• Both repair and replace flooring — Repairing and replacing the flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Greencastle-Antrim SD
• NCES district ID: 4211010
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 65% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $62,541
• Composite: 47.21/100
• National rank: #2319
• State rank: #118 of 539 in PA

Livability — Antrim

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 20,335

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 157,827 people
• By 2030: 158,933 · +0.7%
• By 2040: 159,060 · +0.8%
• By 2050: 155,132 · -1.7%
• By 2075: 138,545 · -12.2%
• By 2100: 112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Italian 4% American 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.84%
• Current HPI: 233.5857
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-12 Listed $54,000 BRIGHT MLS