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500 Poplar St
B Composite 74.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

500 Poplar St · Summit, MS 39666
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1963 0.45 ac lot $64/sqft · 20% below area Est $126k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located near the heart of downtown Summit, this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features good bones for you to flex your creativity and skills. Home features an enclosed front porch, a partial basement for extra storage space, and a large workshop for even more room for hobbies and storage. All of this sits on a large corner lot of approximately 0.45 acres. Call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Partial basement
  • Large workshop
  • Corner lot

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHPARTIAL BASEMENTLARGE WORKSHOPCORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#172 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.65%
Cash-on-cash
26.28%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,503
List price
$99,900
Delta
-20.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1030 Diane Cir 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (-11%) 5mo $229,000 $164 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$22,842
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$70,188
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39666

Home prices YoY
-34.3%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,629 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,310/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $854
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $669 -5% $641 +0% $613 +5% $584 +10% $556
Rent -10% $484 -5% $548 +0% $613 +5% $677 +10% $741
Rate -1.0pp $663 -0.5pp $638 base $613 +0.5pp $587 +1.0pp $560

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    listed $109,900 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Located near the heart of downtown Summit, this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features good bones for you to flex your creativity and skills. Home features an enclosed front porch, a partial basement for extra storage space, and a large workshop for even more room for hobbies and storage. All of this sits on a large corner lot of approximately 0.45 acres. Call today to schedule your showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,310 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,310 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,553
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,310
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,564
− Management
−$1,564
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$6,113
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,467
After-tax cash flow
$5,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mccomb School District
NCES district ID
2802880
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$29,855
Composite
12.26/100
National rank
#9645
State rank
#106 of 130 in MS

Livability — Summit

Score
62/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#16320

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Summit, MS
Population (ZIP)
11,985

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,766 people
By 2030
37,874 · -2.3%
By 2040
35,743 · -7.8%
By 2050
33,276 · -14.2%
By 2075
26,799 · -30.9%
By 2100
18,562 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 36% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.48%
Current HPI
113.9026
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $109,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,310 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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