500 Poplar St · Summit, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located near the heart of downtown Summit, this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features good bones for you to flex your creativity and skills. Home features an enclosed front porch, a partial basement for extra storage space, and a large workshop for even more room for hobbies and storage. All of this sits on a large corner lot of approximately 0.45 acres. Call today to schedule your showing!
Key facts
- Partial basement
- Large workshop
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#172 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.28%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,503
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -20.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 Diane Cir | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-11%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $164 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $22,842
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $70,188
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39666
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,629 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $613
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $669 | -5% $641 | +0% $613 | +5% $584 | +10% $556 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $484 | -5% $548 | +0% $613 | +5% $677 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $638 | base $613 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $560 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$109,900 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Located near the heart of downtown Summit, this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features good bones for you to flex your creativity and skills. Home features an enclosed front porch, a partial basement for extra storage space, and a large workshop for even more room for hobbies and storage. All of this sits on a large corner lot of approximately 0.45 acres. Call today to schedule your showing!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,310
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,564
- − Management
- −$1,564
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $6,113
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,467
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mccomb School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802880
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,855
- Composite
- 12.26/100
- National rank
- #9645
- State rank
- #106 of 130 in MS
Livability — Summit
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #16320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Summit, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,985
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,766 people
- By 2030
- 37,874 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 35,743 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 33,276 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 26,799 · -30.9%
- By 2100
- 18,562 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 36% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.48%
- Current HPI
- 113.9026
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $109,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,310 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…