15514 Hickory Dr · Montgomery, TX 77356

$209,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 179 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 5,000 sqft lot $149/sqft · at area comps Est $215k · at est. $3/mo HOA ↓ 16% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.9/30.0
• ARV discount +8.8/15.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• DSCR +5.3/10.0
• 1% rule +4.6/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.7/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home Minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just minutes from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

Key facts

• 5,000 sq ft lot
• Built 2022
• Listed 179 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $209k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (4.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $184k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#372 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Montgomery ISD (rural): math 63% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #49 of 826 in TX (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.3%/yr); 1056 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 12 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $183,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.96% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.82%
• DSCR: 1.13
• GRM: 8.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $215,051
• List price: $209,000
• Delta: -2.81%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
15786 Hickory	0.22mi	3/2.5	1,464 (+5%)	6mo	$209,990	$143	77
15888 Chestnut Dr	0.27mi	3/2.5	1,485 (+6%)	3mo	$220,000	$148	75
15608 Sycamore Dr	0.40mi	3/2.5	1,355 (-3%)	1mo	$150,000	$111	75
15618 Sycamore Dr	0.39mi	3/2.5	1,355 (-3%)	2mo	$189,900	$140	75
15529 Hickory	0.02mi	3/2.5	1,523 (+9%)	13mo	$234,999	$154	74
15792 Hickory	0.19mi	3/2.5	1,464 (+5%)	15mo	$229,999	$157	71
20134 N Shore Dr	0.22mi	3/1.5	1,461 (+4%)	14mo	$324,999	$222	67
15814 Beechnut Dr	0.28mi	3/2.0	1,215 (-13%)	3mo	$210,000	$173	60
15711 Cottonwood	0.33mi	3/2.5	1,554 (+11%)	14mo	$216,900	$140	55
15838 Aspen Dr	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,270 (-9%)	6mo	$210,000	$165	54
15834 Aspen Dr	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,270 (-9%)	8mo	$210,000	$165	52
15704 Sycamore Dr	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,211 (-14%)	10mo	$190,000	$157	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.47×
• Total profit: $-30,949
• Equity at exit: $31,163

10-year hold

• IRR: -12.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.35×
• Total profit: $-38,254
• Equity at exit: $18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77356

• Home prices YoY: -30.3%
• Rents YoY: -3.3%
• Active inventory: 1056
• Price-to-rent: 8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,006 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,096
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$261 /mo · $3,135/yr
• Insurance: −$87
• HOA: −$3
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$421
• Net cashflow: $138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,832

Max offer price $209,000

Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,250
• Closing costs: $6,270
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
20278 Willow Ln Montgomery, TX	3.0	2.0	1114	$1,850	$1.66	12d	1	0.46mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $3 · $36/yr

Listing history 35 events

1. 2026-06-07
   status $209,000 Pending 179 DOM
2. 2026-06-04
   statusdays on market $209,000 Active Under Contract 179 DOM
3. 2026-03-12
   price $209,000 694-char remark

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

4. 2026-03-12
   price $209,000 694-char remark

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

5. 2026-03-12
   price $209,000

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

6. 2026-01-27
   price $214,800 694-char remark

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

7. 2026-01-15
   price $214,800 694-char remark

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home Minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just minutes from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

8. 2026-01-15
   price $214,800

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home Minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just minutes from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

9. 2025-12-05
   price $219,800 694-char remark

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home Minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just minutes from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

10. 2025-12-01
    listed $219,900 Active 694-char remark

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home Minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just minutes from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

11. 2025-06-23
    status Active 694-char remark

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

12. 2025-06-19
    status Active
13. 2025-06-19
    status Active
14. 2025-05-13
    historical
15. 2025-03-03
    price $219,900

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

16. 2025-03-03
    price $219,900

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

17. 2025-03-03
    price $219,900 694-char remark

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

18. 2025-01-14
    price $225,000

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

19. 2025-01-14
    price $225,000

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

20. 2025-01-14
    price $225,000 694-char remark

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

21. 2024-12-03
    status Active
22. 2024-12-03
    status Active
23. 2024-12-02
    historical
24. 2024-09-27
    listed $235,000 Active 694-char remark

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

25. 2024-09-27
    listed $235,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

26. 2024-09-27
    listed $235,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    * * Beautiful 3-Bedroom Home minutes from Lake Conroe * * Discover this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home in Montgomery, Texas, just seconds from Lake Conroe. Built only two years ago, this property is an investor’s dream or a perfect family retreat. The open-concept layout is bright and inviting, featuring a spacious living area that seamlessly flows into the dining space. The master suite boasts a beautiful walk-in shower, offering a serene escape. An additional office provides versatility and could easily serve as a fourth bedroom. Embrace the vibrant lifestyle that Lake Conroe has to offer. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your showing today!

27. 2024-09-13
    historical
28. 2024-07-19
    price $220,000
29. 2024-05-13
    price $230,000
30. 2024-03-15
    price $235,000
31. 2024-03-09
    listed $250,000 Active
32. 2023-03-10
    historical
33. 2023-01-11
    listed $250,000 Active
34. 2022-12-10
    historical
35. 2022-06-15
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,076
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,707
• − Property taxes: −$3,135
• − Insurance: −$1,045
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,926
• − Management: −$1,926
• − HOA: −$36
• − Depreciation: −$6,080
• Taxable loss: −$1,780
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$427
• After-tax cash flow: $2,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It's a perfect family retreat or investment property, located just minutes from Lake Conroe. The open-concept layout and modern kitchen make it an attractive option for buyers and renters alike.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
• Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — This can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters
• Both Adding a smart home system — This can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
• Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — This can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters ↑
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters ↑
• Both Adding a smart home system — This can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Montgomery ISD
• NCES district ID: 4831260
• Math proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $75,596
• Composite: 53.55/100
• National rank: #1445
• State rank: #49 of 826 in TX

Livability — Montgomery

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #372
• US rank: #7894

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Montgomery County · 663,713 people
• City population: 67,277
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 32,583
• Household income: $106,804
• Rent vs Own: 18.5% rent · 81.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 414.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 713,896 people
• By 2030: 805,263 · +12.8%
• By 2040: 992,708 · +39.1%
• By 2050: 1,179,590 · +65.2%
• By 2075: 1,628,084 · +128.1%
• By 2100: 1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 8% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -101.28%
• Current HPI: 233.0032
• Rent YoY: ▼ -3.30%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-16.4% since first listed

33 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $209,000 BCSRMLS
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $209,000 Unlock MLS
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $209,000 HARMLS
• 2026-01-27 Price Changed $214,800 Unlock MLS
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $214,800 BCSRMLS
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $214,800 HARMLS
• 2025-12-05 Price Changed $219,800 BCSRMLS
• 2025-12-01 Listed $219,900 BCSRMLS
• 2025-06-23 Relisted — Unlock MLS
• 2025-06-19 Relisted — BCSRMLS
• 2025-06-19 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-05-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-03-03 Price Changed $219,900 HARMLS
• 2025-03-03 Price Changed $219,900 BCSRMLS
• 2025-03-03 Price Changed $219,900 Unlock MLS
• 2025-01-14 Price Changed $225,000 HARMLS
• 2025-01-14 Price Changed $225,000 BCSRMLS
• 2025-01-14 Price Changed $225,000 Unlock MLS
• 2024-12-03 Relisted — BCSRMLS
• 2024-12-03 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2024-12-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-09-27 Listed $235,000 BCSRMLS
• 2024-09-27 Listed $235,000 HARMLS
• 2024-09-27 Listed $235,000 Unlock MLS
• 2024-09-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-07-19 Price Changed $220,000 HARMLS
• 2024-05-13 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
• 2024-03-15 Price Changed $235,000 HARMLS
• 2024-03-09 Listed $250,000 HARMLS
• 2023-03-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2023-01-11 Listed $250,000 HARMLS
• 2022-12-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2022-06-15 Listed $250,000 HARMLS