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8201 Prairie Ave
B- Composite 69.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,500

8201 Prairie Ave · Flushing, MI 48433
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Other · 37 Days on market
Built 1995 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For Sale: 4BR/2BA Double-Wide Mobile Home & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; $47,500 & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Flushing, MI Located in a mobile home park in Flushing, MI Zoned for the Flushing School District & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; excellent schools. No credit check required & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; park approval based on job/income Home Features: 4 spacious bedrooms / 2 full bathrooms Updated toilets, sinks, and faucets. All appliances included: washer, dryer, refrigerator, stove, microwave. Outdoor security cameras installed. Move-in ready & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; just bring your things! Asking Price: $47,500. Buyer must be a

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Local amenities
  • Close to shopping

Tags

OUTDOOR SECURITY CAMERASMOVE-IN READYCLOSE TO SHOPPINGLOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $48k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 3.4% in Flushing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#140 in MI, #3,431 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Flushing Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #295 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $46,075 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
25.25%
Cash-on-cash
67.72%
DSCR
4.01
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.1%
Equity multiple
4.02×
Total profit
$40,127
Equity at exit
$7,082
10-year hold
IRR
71.3%
Equity multiple
8.26×
Total profit
$96,581
Equity at exit
$4,107

Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48433

Active inventory
157
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$249
Tax est. 1.5%
$59 /mo · $712/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$751

Break-even live

Break-even rent $416
Max offer price $47,500
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $783 -5% $767 +0% $751 +5% $734 +10% $718
Rent -10% $643 -5% $697 +0% $751 +5% $805 +10% $858
Rate -1.0pp $774 -0.5pp $763 base $751 +0.5pp $738 +1.0pp $726

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,875
Closing costs
$1,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,500 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,500 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,500 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,500 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $47,500 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,500 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $47,500 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,500 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,500 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,500 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $47,500 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,500 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,500 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,500 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,500 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $47,500 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $47,500 Active 759-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,387
− Mortgage interest
−$2,661
− Property taxes
−$712
− Insurance
−$238
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,311
− Management
−$1,311
− Depreciation
−$1,382
Taxable income
$8,773
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,105
After-tax cash flow
$6,901/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and fresh paint, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant wear and tear visible
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value
  • Both repair roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and reduce maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant wear and tear visible Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Weathered and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value
  • Both repair roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and reduce maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flushing Community Schools
NCES district ID
2614550
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$58,883
Composite
29.48/100
National rank
#6506
State rank
#295 of 540 in MI

Livability — Flushing

Score
76/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#3431

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
25,756

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.10%
Current HPI
175.93
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $47,500 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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