8201 Prairie Ave · Flushing, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For Sale: 4BR/2BA Double-Wide Mobile Home & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; $47,500 & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Flushing, MI Located in a mobile home park in Flushing, MI Zoned for the Flushing School District & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; excellent schools. No credit check required & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; park approval based on job/income Home Features: 4 spacious bedrooms / 2 full bathrooms Updated toilets, sinks, and faucets. All appliances included: washer, dryer, refrigerator, stove, microwave. Outdoor security cameras installed. Move-in ready & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; just bring your things! Asking Price: $47,500. Buyer must be a
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Local amenities
- Close to shopping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $48k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 3.4% in Flushing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#140 in MI, #3,431 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Flushing Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #295 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.72%
- DSCR
- 4.01
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $40,127
- Equity at exit
- $7,082
- IRR
- 71.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.26×
- Total profit
- $96,581
- Equity at exit
- $4,107
Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48433
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$249
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$59 /mo · $712/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $751
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $783 | -5% $767 | +0% $751 | +5% $734 | +10% $718 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $643 | -5% $697 | +0% $751 | +5% $805 | +10% $858 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $774 | -0.5pp $763 | base $751 | +0.5pp $738 | +1.0pp $726 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,875
- Closing costs
- $1,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,500 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $47,500 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $47,500 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $47,500 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $47,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $47,500 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $47,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $47,500 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $47,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $47,500 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $47,500 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $47,500 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $47,500 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $47,500 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $47,500 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $47,500 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-12$47,500 Active 759-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,387
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,661
- − Property taxes
- −$712
- − Insurance
- −$238
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$1,382
- Taxable income
- $8,773
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This mobile home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and fresh paint, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant wear and tear visible
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value
- Both repair roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and reduce maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Significant wear and tear visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Weathered and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both repair roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and reduce maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flushing Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614550
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,883
- Composite
- 29.48/100
- National rank
- #6506
- State rank
- #295 of 540 in MI
Livability — Flushing
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #3431
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,756
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.10%
- Current HPI
- 175.93
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $47,500 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…