790 Cottonwood Ln Unit COT790 · Rochester, IN 46975

$55,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 21 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, community events, , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: List price $54,500
• Financial info: Listed as active

Exterior

• Utilities: Natural gas service; Central air
• Home design: Spec home (plan 91663)
• Construction: Living area approximately 1,216

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: 2 total bathrooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 2.4% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#206 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
• Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.76%
• Cash-on-cash: 40.96%
• DSCR: 2.82
• GRM: 4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 37.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.60×
• Total profit: $24,588
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.19×
• Total profit: $64,596
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46975

• Home prices YoY: -28.7%
• Active inventory: 97
• Price-to-rent: 4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,147 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$69 /mo · $825/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$241
• Net cashflow: $526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $564	-5% $545	+0% $526	+5% $507	+10% $488
Rent	-10% $435	-5% $480	+0% $526	+5% $571	+10% $616
Rate	-1.0pp $553	-0.5pp $540	base $526	+0.5pp $511	+1.0pp $497

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
421 Westwood Ln Rochester, IN	2.0	1.0	657	$910	$1.38	24d	1	0.70mi
1707 Madison St Rochester, IN	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,195	$1.20	24d	1	0.71mi
513 Main St Rochester, IN	2.0	1.0	1200	$1,200	$1.00	15d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,500 Active 3 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,759
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$825
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,101
• − Management: −$1,101
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $5,777
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,386
• After-tax cash flow: $4,922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a family-friendly community is in good condition with a cosmetic rehab level. It offers a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
• Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring in bathrooms improves the overall look and feel of the home.
• Resale New kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances enhances the kitchen's functionality and appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
• Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring in bathrooms improves the overall look and feel of the home. ↑
• Resale New kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances enhances the kitchen's functionality and appeal. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rochester Community School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1809630
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $42,645
• Composite: 30.44/100
• National rank: #6231
• State rank: #188 of 301 in IN

Livability — Rochester

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #206
• US rank: #9060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Fulton County · 13,824 people
• City population: 13,824
• Metro: nan
• Population (ZIP): 13,824
• Household income: $61,185
• Rent vs Own: 21.3% rent · 78.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 238.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 19,537 people
• By 2030: 19,013 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 17,959 · -8.1%
• By 2050: 17,038 · -12.8%
• By 2075: 15,117 · -22.6%
• By 2100: 13,179 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -85.72%
• Current HPI: 212.9033
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: nan
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B