501 Buffalo St · Fulton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOOKING FOR AN AFFORDABLE PLACE TO CALL YOUR OWN AND TO STOP RENTING AND BECOME A PROUD HOMEOWNER? WELCOME TO 501 BUFFALO STREET-FULTON! YOU WILL BE IMPRESSED THE MOMENT YOU ARRIVE AT THE EXCELLENT CURB APPEAL THIS HOME OFFERS! SITUATED ON A CORNER LOT, THIS PARCEL INCLUDES THE LOT NEXT DOOR WHICH WOULD BE EXCELLENT TO SOMEDAY ADD A GARAGE OR JUST ROOM TO PLANT YOUR GARDEN! AS YOU ENTER YOU WILL BE GREETED BY A WELCOMING ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH--WHAT A GREAT PLACE TO GREET GUESTS AND TO GROW THE MOST BEAUTIFUL PLANTS!! INSIDE YOU WILL FIND A FORMAL DINING ROOM AT THE CENTER OF THE HOME; ADJACENT IS A LIVING ROOM WITH A COZY PELLET STOVE FOR THOSE CHILLY NIGHTS! THE KITCHEN OFFERS THE A
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Updated furnace
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: Two-story residence; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Gravel driveway; Corner lot; Rectangular lot; Shed(s)/exterior storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen; Country kitchen features
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms including living spaces, office, den and laundry
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Den; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; French/atrium doors; Separate/formal living room; Home office; Country kitchen; Storage; Natural woodwork; Thermal windows
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.7% in Fulton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fairgrieve School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,024 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 439 students, 75% FRL); Fulton Junior High School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 500 students, 62% FRL); G Ray Bodley High School (math 83% / reading 86%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 976 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.57%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,522
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -23.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 Academy St | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,209 (-3%) | 4mo | $136,500 | $113 | 81 |
| 117 S 7th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,347 (+8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $37 | 72 |
| 611 Erie St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,320 (+6%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $83 | 65 |
| 407 State St | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 1,380 (+11%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $91 | 64 |
| 609 Seneca St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,381 (+11%) | 2mo | $118,450 | $86 | 61 |
| 10 N 8th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+6%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 211 Pratt St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,128 (-9%) | 4mo | $130,500 | $116 | 55 |
| 868 Oneida St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,134 (-9%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $131 | 49 |
| 208 Riverside Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (-10%) | 7mo | $191,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 512 S Sixth St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,103 (-11%) | 4mo | $141,500 | $128 | 40 |
| 1019 Emery St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,419 (+14%) | 7mo | $175,530 | $124 | 37 |
| 214 W 3rd St S | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,415 (+14%) | 5mo | $148,900 | $105 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $43,055
- Equity at exit
- $67,305
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.25×
- Total profit
- $118,344
- Equity at exit
- $126,385
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13069
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,313 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$322 /mo · $3,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $181 | +0% $153 | +5% $124 | +10% $96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $49 | -5% $101 | +0% $153 | +5% $204 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $178 | base $153 | +0.5pp $127 | +1.0pp $101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Utica St Fulton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 8 Heer Dr Unit 1 Fulton, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 409 N 6th St Fulton, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 262 W 4th St S Unit 1 Fulton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 314 W 5th St S Unit 1 Fulton, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,075 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 414 Broadwell Ave Fulton, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 736 | $1,495 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20 Airport Rd Fulton, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,435 | $1.44 | 15d | 2 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-14$99,500 Active 1036-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,862 · $322/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,862 · $322/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$3,862
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611700
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,337
- Composite
- 30.49/100
- National rank
- #6220
- State rank
- #554 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fulton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #17723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fulton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,176
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.75%
- Current HPI
- 304.443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $99,500 CNYIS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,862 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…