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501 Buffalo St
B Composite 71.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,500

501 Buffalo St · Fulton, NY 13069
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,244 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1910 6,599 sqft lot $80/sqft · 23% below area Est $130k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

LOOKING FOR AN AFFORDABLE PLACE TO CALL YOUR OWN AND TO STOP RENTING AND BECOME A PROUD HOMEOWNER? WELCOME TO 501 BUFFALO STREET-FULTON! YOU WILL BE IMPRESSED THE MOMENT YOU ARRIVE AT THE EXCELLENT CURB APPEAL THIS HOME OFFERS! SITUATED ON A CORNER LOT, THIS PARCEL INCLUDES THE LOT NEXT DOOR WHICH WOULD BE EXCELLENT TO SOMEDAY ADD A GARAGE OR JUST ROOM TO PLANT YOUR GARDEN! AS YOU ENTER YOU WILL BE GREETED BY A WELCOMING ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH--WHAT A GREAT PLACE TO GREET GUESTS AND TO GROW THE MOST BEAUTIFUL PLANTS!! INSIDE YOU WILL FIND A FORMAL DINING ROOM AT THE CENTER OF THE HOME; ADJACENT IS A LIVING ROOM WITH A COZY PELLET STOVE FOR THOSE CHILLY NIGHTS! THE KITCHEN OFFERS THE A

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Updated furnace
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTENCLOSED FRONT PORCHFORMAL DINING ROOMUPDATED ELECTRICAL SERVICEUPDATED FURNACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Home design: Two-story residence; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Gravel driveway; Corner lot; Rectangular lot; Shed(s)/exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen; Country kitchen features
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms including living spaces, office, den and laundry
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Den; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; French/atrium doors; Separate/formal living room; Home office; Country kitchen; Storage; Natural woodwork; Thermal windows
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.7% in Fulton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairgrieve School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,024 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 439 students, 75% FRL); Fulton Junior High School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 500 students, 62% FRL); G Ray Bodley High School (math 83% / reading 86%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 976 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.57%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,522
List price
$99,500
Delta
-23.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
514 Academy St 0.08mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,209 (-3%) 4mo $136,500 $113 81
117 S 7th St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,347 (+8%) 2mo $50,000 $37 72
611 Erie St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (+6%) 1mo $110,000 $83 65
407 State St 0.30mi 2/1.5 1,380 (+11%) 2mo $125,000 $91 64
609 Seneca St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,381 (+11%) 2mo $118,450 $86 61
10 N 8th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (+6%) 7mo $150,000 $114 60
211 Pratt St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,128 (-9%) 4mo $130,500 $116 55
868 Oneida St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,134 (-9%) 6mo $149,000 $131 49
208 Riverside Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,126 (-10%) 7mo $191,000 $170 48
512 S Sixth St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,103 (-11%) 4mo $141,500 $128 40
1019 Emery St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,419 (+14%) 7mo $175,530 $124 37
214 W 3rd St S 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,415 (+14%) 5mo $148,900 $105 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$43,055
Equity at exit
$67,305
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
5.25×
Total profit
$118,344
Equity at exit
$126,385

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13069

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,313 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,862/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $181 +0% $153 +5% $124 +10% $96
Rent -10% $49 -5% $101 +0% $153 +5% $204 +10% $256
Rate -1.0pp $203 -0.5pp $178 base $153 +0.5pp $127 +1.0pp $101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
312 Utica St Fulton, NY 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,300 $1.23 15d 1 0.17mi
8 Heer Dr Unit 1 Fulton, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $1,295 $1.62 15d 1 0.71mi
409 N 6th St Fulton, NY 2.0 1.0 840 $1,150 $1.37 22d 1 0.80mi
262 W 4th St S Unit 1 Fulton, NY 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,500 $1.14 45d 1 0.81mi
314 W 5th St S Unit 1 Fulton, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $1,075 $1.34 15d 1 0.90mi
414 Broadwell Ave Fulton, NY 2.0 2.0 736 $1,495 $2.03 45d 1 1.00mi
20 Airport Rd Fulton, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,435 $1.44 15d 2 1.46mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $99,500 Active 1036-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,862 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,862 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,761
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$3,862
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,261
− Management
−$1,261
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$99
After-tax cash flow
$1,732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton City School District
NCES district ID
3611700
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$43,337
Composite
30.49/100
National rank
#6220
State rank
#554 of 590 in NY

Livability — Fulton

Score
61/100
State rank
#907
US rank
#17723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fulton, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,176

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.75%
Current HPI
304.443
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $99,500 CNYIS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,862 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…