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415 E Dean St, Unit 6, Week 11
A- Composite 83.9
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0

$260,000

415 E Dean St, Unit 6, Week 11 · Aspen, CO 81611
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,805 sqft · Condo · 85 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition $144/sqft · 66% above area $1074/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits to own prime spring ski week in the heart of downtown Aspen, with ability to acquire additional float weeks. Have Spring Break plans in place, or rent if unable to use. Recently refreshed in 2024, this residence features updated interiors including new furnishings, lighting, paint, carpet, and curated décor throughout. Ideally positioned at the base of Aspen Mountain, placing you steps from gondola access, world-class dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. Additional float week secured for late Nov, 2027. Owners enjoy an exceptional suite of amenities and services, including daily housekeeping, dedicated concierge and valet, heated outdoor pool with two hot tubs, fitness center, fire pit, on-site ski shop, additional storage for ski gear, and complimentary e-bikes. Daily breakfast service further enhances this effortless vacation opportunity in a world class resort.

Key facts

  • On-site ski shop
  • Fitness center
  • Updated interiors

Tags

UPDATED INTERIORSGONDOLA ACCESSHEATED OUTDOOR POOLFITNESS CENTERFIRE PITON-SITE SKI SHOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($55k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $260k).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#142 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Aspen School District No. 1 In The County Of Pitkin And Sta (rural): math 36% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 86 in CO (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+22.1%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 145 units permitted in Pitkin County in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,402/mo this rent would consume 136% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pitkin County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $244,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.62%
Cap rate
27.33%
Cash-on-cash
75.12%
DSCR
4.34
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,796
List price
$260,000
Delta
65.82%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
90.8%
Equity multiple
7.63×
Total profit
$482,344
Equity at exit
$234,229
10-year hold
IRR
87.3%
Equity multiple
19.09×
Total profit
$1,316,867
Equity at exit
$505,123

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81611

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Rents YoY
22.1%
Active inventory
324
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax est. 1.5%
$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$1,074
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,975
Net cashflow
$4,557

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,634
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,074 · $12,888/yr
Likely covers
poolgymdoorman
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $260,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $260,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $260,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $260,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $260,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-03-23
    listed $260,000 Active 906-char remark
    Show marketing remark (906 chars)

    Opportunity awaits to own prime spring ski week in the heart of downtown Aspen, with ability to acquire additional float weeks. Have Spring Break plans in place, or rent if unable to use. Recently refreshed in 2024, this residence features updated interiors including new furnishings, lighting, paint, carpet, and curated décor throughout. Ideally positioned at the base of Aspen Mountain, placing you steps from gondola access, world-class dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. Additional float week secured for late Nov, 2027. Owners enjoy an exceptional suite of amenities and services, including daily housekeeping, dedicated concierge and valet, heated outdoor pool with two hot tubs, fitness center, fire pit, on-site ski shop, additional storage for ski gear, and complimentary e-bikes. Daily breakfast service further enhances this effortless vacation opportunity in a world class resort.

  17. 2025-02-13
    soldstatus $690,000 Closed 1153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1153 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a fractional interest with fixed prime holiday weeks at The Aspen Mountain Residences. Enjoy your family holiday time in this luxury 3 bedroom condominium. This first floor 3 bedroom luxury condo with vaulted ceilings is conveniently located on the 1st floor with Immediate access to the pool and hot tubs, along with other property amenities. 2024 renovations completed (including new decor, furniture, lighting, paint and carpets). The Aspen Mountain Residences is nestled at the base of the mountain between the St. Regis and Little Nell properties. Bars, restaurants, shopping and nightlife are literally a few steps from The Aspen. The multitude of amenities and services include daily maid service, concierge, valet, heated outdoor pool along with 2 hot tubs, gym, fire pit, ski shop, e-bikes for owners use and daily breakfast service. Weeks 51&52 (Christmas and New Year's) along with additional float time usage each year. 2025 Fixed dates: Sat, Dec 20, 2025 to Sat Jan 3, 2026. 2026 Fixed dates: Sat, Dec 19, 2025 to Sat, Jan 2, 2027. 2/20th interest - includes 2 fixed weeks and 3 float week every year.

  18. 2025-01-24
    status Pending 1153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1153 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a fractional interest with fixed prime holiday weeks at The Aspen Mountain Residences. Enjoy your family holiday time in this luxury 3 bedroom condominium. This first floor 3 bedroom luxury condo with vaulted ceilings is conveniently located on the 1st floor with Immediate access to the pool and hot tubs, along with other property amenities. 2024 renovations completed (including new decor, furniture, lighting, paint and carpets). The Aspen Mountain Residences is nestled at the base of the mountain between the St. Regis and Little Nell properties. Bars, restaurants, shopping and nightlife are literally a few steps from The Aspen. The multitude of amenities and services include daily maid service, concierge, valet, heated outdoor pool along with 2 hot tubs, gym, fire pit, ski shop, e-bikes for owners use and daily breakfast service. Weeks 51&52 (Christmas and New Year's) along with additional float time usage each year. 2025 Fixed dates: Sat, Dec 20, 2025 to Sat Jan 3, 2026. 2026 Fixed dates: Sat, Dec 19, 2025 to Sat, Jan 2, 2027. 2/20th interest - includes 2 fixed weeks and 3 float week every year.

  19. 2025-01-20
    listed $690,000 Active 1153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1153 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a fractional interest with fixed prime holiday weeks at The Aspen Mountain Residences. Enjoy your family holiday time in this luxury 3 bedroom condominium. This first floor 3 bedroom luxury condo with vaulted ceilings is conveniently located on the 1st floor with Immediate access to the pool and hot tubs, along with other property amenities. 2024 renovations completed (including new decor, furniture, lighting, paint and carpets). The Aspen Mountain Residences is nestled at the base of the mountain between the St. Regis and Little Nell properties. Bars, restaurants, shopping and nightlife are literally a few steps from The Aspen. The multitude of amenities and services include daily maid service, concierge, valet, heated outdoor pool along with 2 hot tubs, gym, fire pit, ski shop, e-bikes for owners use and daily breakfast service. Weeks 51&52 (Christmas and New Year's) along with additional float time usage each year. 2025 Fixed dates: Sat, Dec 20, 2025 to Sat Jan 3, 2026. 2026 Fixed dates: Sat, Dec 19, 2025 to Sat, Jan 2, 2027. 2/20th interest - includes 2 fixed weeks and 3 float week every year.

  20. 2022-12-22
    soldstatus $350,000 Closed
  21. 2022-10-28
    status Pending
  22. 2022-09-30
    soldstatus $195,000 Closed
  23. 2022-08-25
    listed $380,000 Active
  24. 2022-07-28
    status Pending
  25. 2022-07-27
    status Active
  26. 2022-07-25
    listed $195,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$112,830
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$3,900
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,026
− Management
−$9,026
− HOA
−$12,888
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable income
$54,562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$13,095
After-tax cash flow
$41,591/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained, recently refreshed condo is move-in ready with updated interiors and a prime location at the base of Aspen Mountain.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both smart home integration — improves convenience and adds tech-savvy appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both smart home integration — improves convenience and adds tech-savvy appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aspen School District No. 1 In The County Of Pitkin And Sta
NCES district ID
0802280
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$66,694
Composite
40.98/100
National rank
#3595
State rank
#18 of 86 in CO

Livability — Aspen

Score
66/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#11780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aspen, CO
County
Pitkin County · 9,068 people
City population
9,068
Metro
Glenwood Springs, CO
Population (ZIP)
9,068
Household income
$82,664
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
566.0

Population outlook (Pitkin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,121 people
By 2030
21,110 · +4.9%
By 2040
22,707 · +12.9%
By 2050
24,105 · +19.8%
By 2075
27,933 · +38.8%
By 2100
30,018 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Salvadoran 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pitkin

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.2) · D 71.0% · R 26.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: 48.8pp · 2024: 44.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.2 2020: D+51.9 2016: D+45.4 2012: D+37.9 2008: D+48.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.97%
Current HPI
370.9593
Rent YoY
▲ 22.07%
Metro
Glenwood Springs, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $260,000 AGMLS
  • 2025-02-13 Sold (MLS) $690,000 AGMLS
  • 2025-01-24 Pending AGMLS
  • 2025-01-20 Listed $690,000 AGMLS
  • 2022-12-22 Sold (MLS) $350,000 AGMLS
  • 2022-10-28 Pending AGMLS
  • 2022-09-30 Sold (MLS) $195,000 AGMLS
  • 2022-08-25 Listed $380,000 AGMLS
  • 2022-07-28 Pending AGMLS
  • 2022-07-27 Relisted AGMLS
  • 2022-07-25 Listed $195,000 AGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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