12631 NE 9th Pl Unit C305 · Bellevue, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fabulous NEW price! Enjoy living in a complex that is conveniently located with easy access to I-405, I-90, 520, light rail coming very soon and downtown Bellevue for shopping & restaurants, surrounded by mature landscape in the heart of Bellevue!. Beautifully landscaped grounds complete with walkways, swimming pool and hot tub with plenty of lounging area, Cabana with exercise room, game room and kitchen as each building in the complex overlooks this tranquil centerpiece. Cozy Top floor one bedroom unit features a remodeled bathroom, newer appliances, new hot water tank, new washer & dryer. Secured Building. Professionally done new textured white ceiling throughout condo (no po
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Landscaped grounds
- Remodeled bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-583 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (31.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 1.1% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#15 in WA, #314 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Bellevue School District (urban): math 73% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #7 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $136k; list at $330k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.58%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $361,054
- List price
- $330,000
- Delta
- -8.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.9% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-82,213
- Equity at exit
- $65,618
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.44×
- Total profit
- $-132,659
- Equity at exit
- $57,539
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98005
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$468
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $-583
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-397 | -5% $-490 | +0% $-583 | +5% $-677 | +10% $-770 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-777 | -5% $-680 | +0% $-583 | +5% $-486 | +10% $-389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-417 | -0.5pp $-499 | base $-583 | +0.5pp $-669 | +1.0pp $-756 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1328 130th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 883 | $2,651 | $3.00 | 0d | 3 | 0.33mi |
| 12258 NE 12th Ln #152 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $2,980 | $4.83 | 0d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 12219 Bel-Red Rd Apt D102 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,875 | $2.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 12219 Bel-Red Rd Apt D102 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,875 | $2.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 12282 NE 12th Ln Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 819 | $2,984 | $3.64 | 0d | 13 | 0.38mi |
| 558 121st Pl NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 757 | $2,195 | $2.90 | 0d | 6 | 0.42mi |
| 701 122nd Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 773 | $2,395 | $3.10 | 25d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 701 122nd Ave NE #408 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $2,395 | $3.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 13166 NE 15th St Bellevue, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 959 | $3,167 | $3.30 | 3d | 49 | 0.48mi |
| 1375 121st Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $3,404 | $3.45 | 0d | 15 | 0.49mi |
| 1201 121st Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $2,803 | $2.86 | 0d | 16 | 0.50mi |
| 13238 NE Spring Blvd Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 696 | $2,948 | $4.23 | 0d | 21 | 0.56mi |
| 898 137th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,849 | $2.11 | 0d | 20 | 0.59mi |
| 13700 NE 10th Pl Bellevue, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $2,190 | $2.83 | 0d | 17 | 0.59mi |
| 1955 129th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1354 | $2,531 | $1.87 | 0d | 14 | 0.65mi |
| 13808 NE 12th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $2,067 | $2.40 | 0d | 8 | 0.67mi |
| 13831 NE 8th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,700 | $2.05 | 0d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 1100 112th Ave NE Unit 1280462P Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $6,236 | $10.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11130 NE 10th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 856 | $2,505 | $2.92 | 0d | 11 | 1.02mi |
| 958 111th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 645 | $3,037 | $4.71 | 0d | 25 | 1.02mi |
| 11011 NE 9th St Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $3,436 | $4.09 | 3d | 12 | 1.05mi |
| 688 110th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 2159 | $8,980 | $4.16 | 0d | 24 | 1.06mi |
| 317 112th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $3,605 | $3.98 | 0d | 21 | 1.06mi |
| 211 112th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | — | 1.0 | 580 | $1,500 | $2.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11101 NE 12th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $2,451 | $4.21 | 0d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 938 110th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $2,170 | $2.60 | 0d | 6 | 1.08mi |
| 11000 NE 10th St Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $3,214 | $3.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11115 NE 2nd St Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 546 | $2,195 | $4.02 | 3d | 6 | 1.11mi |
| 35 112th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $4,096 | $4.77 | 3d | 20 | 1.13mi |
| 308 108th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $2,529 | $3.88 | 0d | 8 | 1.22mi |
| 14111 SE 6th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,033 | $2.09 | 0d | 26 | 1.27mi |
| 10688 NE 10th St Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $2,858 | $3.37 | 0d | 9 | 1.32mi |
| 290 106th Pl NE Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 485 | $2,140 | $4.41 | 0d | 11 | 1.35mi |
| 111 108th Ave NE #411 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1100 106th Ave NE #801 Bellevue, WA | — | 1.0 | 485 | $1,975 | $4.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1100 106th Ave NE #801 Bellevue, WA | — | 1.0 | 485 | $1,975 | $4.07 | 9d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10708 Main St Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 604 | $2,000 | $3.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 118 107th Ave NE Unit B105 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 657 | $2,295 | $3.49 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 288 106th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1203 | $4,020 | $3.34 | 0d | 27 | 1.38mi |
| 991 118th Ave Se Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,156 | $2.97 | 0d | 21 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $468 · $5,616/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $330,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $330,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $364,950 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $364,950 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $364,950 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $364,950 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $364,950 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $364,950 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $364,950 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $364,950 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $364,950
-
2026-04-07price $379,950
-
2026-02-05$389,950 Active
-
2005-11-23soldstatus $136,500 Closed
-
2005-11-23soldstatus $136,500
-
2005-10-26historical
-
2005-10-20price $132,800
-
2005-10-17$139,000
-
1999-11-04soldstatus $89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,234 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- +$988/yr (+$82/mo · 44.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$2,246
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,357
- − Management
- −$2,357
- − HOA
- −$5,616
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$12,846
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,083
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellevue School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300390
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,676
- Composite
- 69.36/100
- National rank
- #622
- State rank
- #7 of 291 in WA
Livability — Bellevue
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellevue, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 156,686
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,846
- Household income
- $160,849
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1163.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 44% White 42% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Chinese 12% Other Indo-European 12% Other Asian/Pacific 11%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.90%
- Current HPI
- 476.2876
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.20%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+310.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $364,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $379,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $389,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $136,500 Public Records
- 2005-11-23 Sold (MLS) $136,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-26 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-20 Price Changed $132,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-17 Listed $139,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,246 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…