901 6530 Rd #3007 · Montrose, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this spacious and stylish 2021 home in Cimarron Creek! Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this well-designed layout includes both a great room and a living room, plus a dedicated space for an office—perfect for work-from-home flexibility. The kitchen is a chef’s dream with a large island with seating, gas range/oven, dishwasher, refrigerator, microwave, and a single-basin sink, and a large walk-in pantry. The primary suite is a true retreat with a freestanding soaking tub, walk-in shower, and walk-in closet with a sliding barn door. You'll also enjoy a large laundry/mudroom with extra space for coats, shoes, and storage.
Key facts
- Gas range oven
- Walk in closet
- Walk in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Cimarron Creek); Community playground; Community park
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cellular phone reception available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Modular/prefab construction; One story; Skirted, HUD-approved non-permanent foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Modular/prefab construction; Composition roof; HUD-approved, not permanent foundation with skirt
- Exterior features: Shed; Cleared lot; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Partially carpeted
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Kitchen/dining combo; Main level primary bedroom; Pantry; Unfurnished; Partially carpeted floors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 1.9% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.34%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,536
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 6530 Rd #1006 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,052 (0%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $58 | 87 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1112 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,775 (-14%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $68 | 68 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1301 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,834 (-11%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $115 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-14,325
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $12,673
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81401
- Active inventory
- 375
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,014 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,116/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $310
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $429 | -5% $370 | +0% $310 | +5% $251 | +10% $191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $151 | -5% $231 | +0% $310 | +5% $390 | +10% $469 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $416 | -0.5pp $364 | base $310 | +0.5pp $256 | +1.0pp $201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,900 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $209,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,900 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $209,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $209,900 Active 339 DOM
-
2025-08-07price $209,900
-
2025-07-26price $217,900
-
2025-07-15price $224,900
-
2025-06-25$234,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$39/yr (+$3/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,174
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$1,116
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,934
- − Management
- −$1,934
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable income
- $277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$66
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montrose County School District Re-1J
- NCES district ID
- 0805790
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,650
- Composite
- 24.9/100
- National rank
- #7577
- State rank
- #55 of 86 in CO
Livability — Montrose
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #9310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montrose, CO
- County
- Montrose County · 24,228 people
- City population
- 24,228
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,228
- Household income
- $71,286
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 682.0
Population outlook (Montrose County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,229 people
- By 2030
- 37,791 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 33,829 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 29,530 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 20,559 · -47.6%
- By 2100
- 12,144 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montrose
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.6% · R 65.2% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+29.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.94%
- Current HPI
- 373.4909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
-10.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $209,900 cren
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $217,900 cren
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $224,900 cren
- 2025-06-25 Listed $234,900 cren
Property tax history
+25.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,116 · +68.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…