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64 Saint Joseph Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 83.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

64 Saint Joseph Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,417 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1878 3,936 sqft lot Est $140k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Don't miss this affordable cash-flowing opportunity at 64 St. Joseph, a legally recorded duplex being used and enjoyed as a spacious single family home. Whether you're an investor seeking immediate returns or an owner-occupant ready to plant roots, this property offers rare flexibility at an accessible price point. The home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms across two floors, with the layout functioning seamlessly as one cohesive living space. The same reliable tenant has called this property home since 2014, a powerful testament to its livability and the kind of stability every landlord hopes for. No vacancy gaps, no guesswork, just proven rental demand built right in. Recorded as a

Key facts

  • 3,936 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1878

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building with separate electric meters for each unit and a single gas meter; Operating expenses include water
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; water is included in rent/operating expenses

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or on-property garage with 2 spaces; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Home design: 2-story multi-family building; Resale property
  • Construction: Composite siding; Copper plumbing; Stone foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Existing construction (year built details listed as existing)
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total in the building; Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Space heater
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Other interior features (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: At least one unit includes in-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $75,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$140,283) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,964/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $75k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1878 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1878 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
24.10%
Cash-on-cash
63.60%
DSCR
3.83
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,283
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Koons Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,421 (+0%) 1mo $80,000 $56 78
355 Longnecker St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,369 (-3%) 4mo $152,000 $111 55
43 Fay St 0.08mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,238 (-13%) 19mo $92,000 $74 54
587 Goodyear Ave 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,362 (-4%) 9mo $135,000 $99 46
395 Ideal St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,592 (+12%) 17mo $235,000 $148 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.4%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$76,197
Equity at exit
$29,782
10-year hold
IRR
67.7%
Equity multiple
9.41×
Total profit
$176,689
Equity at exit
$43,040

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,964 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $168/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$1,113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $555
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 38%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,964

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 0.48mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 23d 1 0.63mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 3d 1 0.63mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 19d 1 0.65mi
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 1d 1 0.89mi
24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 43d 1 1.01mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 43d 1 1.02mi
1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1100 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 1.13mi
65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,500 $0.92 1d 1 1.19mi
1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 17d 1 1.30mi
216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1690 $1,150 $0.68 23d 1 1.33mi
408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 14d 1 1.35mi
249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 43d 1 1.40mi
61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-10
    historical
  4. 2026-04-09
    listed $75,000 Active
  5. 2013-11-04
    soldstatus $18,500
  6. 2013-11-04
    soldstatus $18,500
  7. 2013-06-27
    listed $24,900
  8. 2013-06-19
    listed $33,000
  9. 2011-07-01
    soldstatus $33,000
  10. 2011-02-20
    soldstatus $6,605
  11. 2011-01-06
    listed $4,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$168 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$718 · $60/mo
Expected delta
+$550/yr (+$46/mo · 326.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,568
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$168
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,885
− Management
−$1,885
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$12,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,089
After-tax cash flow
$10,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1566.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $75,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $75,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 2013-11-04 Sold (MLS) $18,500 CNYIS
  • 2013-06-27 Listed $24,900 CNYIS
  • 2013-06-19 Listed $33,000 CNYIS
  • 2011-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 2011-02-20 Sold (MLS) $6,605 UNYREIS
  • 2011-01-06 Listed $4,500 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $168 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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