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Aspen Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 38.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$249,990

Aspen Plan · Santee, SC 29142
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily · 126 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Somerset! A new home community where you can feel confident in owning a new home with simple living and space to relax in Santee. The Aspen has it all. Enter the huge great room and immediately feel at home. The first floor's open concept means you are never far from the action. A cozy kitchen features an optional island; add a powder room for convenience. The entry off the 2-car garage provides a convenient spot for coats, so clutter is never an issue. Upstairs all 3 bedrooms are large and boast ample closet space. A half bath and laundry room provide total comfort. The owner's suite is the star of the home, with an en-suite bathroom and huge walk-in closet. Experience all that

Key facts

  • Huge walk-in closet
  • Open concept
  • Future pool

Tags

ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDEDFUTURE POOLOPEN CONCEPTAMPLE CLOSET SPACEEN-SUITE BATHROOMHUGE WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price provided

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Has cooling (central air)
  • Home design: Plan name: Aspen; Inventory type: Plan
  • Exterior features: Living area of 1,440 (provided)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central Air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $249,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $280,800.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-361 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
  • Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $200,000 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.75%
Cash-on-cash
-5.50%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
188 Fargo Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,348 (-6%) 14mo $313,990 $233 78
632 Mulligan Way 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,307 (-9%) 11mo $254,990 $195 65
9148 Ace Dr 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,307 (-9%) 11mo $254,990 $195 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$17,993
Equity at exit
$133,813
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$87,699
Equity at exit
$212,297

Cash invested: $78,624 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29142

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,473
Tax est. 1.5%
$351 /mo · $4,212/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$-361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,456
Max offer price $228,628
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-166 -5% $-264 +0% $-361 +5% $-458 +10% $-555
Rent -10% $-519 -5% $-440 +0% $-361 +5% $-282 +10% $-203
Rate -1.0pp $-219 -0.5pp $-289 base $-361 +0.5pp $-433 +1.0pp $-507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,200
Closing costs
$8,424
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
764 Striped Bass Ct Santee, SC 3.0 2.0 1183 $2,000 $1.69 25d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $249,990 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $249,990 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,990 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,990 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,990 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,990 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,990 Active 117 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $249,990 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,990 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,990 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,990 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,990 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,990 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,990 Active 106 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,990 Active 105 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,990 Active 104 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,990 Active 103 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,729
− Property taxes
−$4,212
− Insurance
−$1,404
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$8,169
Taxable loss
−$9,354
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,245
After-tax cash flow
$-2,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Santee

Score
61/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#17354

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santee, SC
Population (ZIP)
4,658

Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,698 people
By 2030
78,615 · -4.9%
By 2040
69,308 · -16.2%
By 2050
60,629 · -26.7%
By 2075
42,678 · -48.4%
By 2100
28,136 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 31% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.47%
Current HPI
193.5623
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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