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1213 N Elson St
B- Composite 69.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,500

1213 N Elson St · Kirksville, MO 63501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1920 10,803 sqft lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Remarks-Looking for a charming bungalow in Kirksville, MO? Look no further than 1213 N Elson. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is situated on a double lot, providing ample outdoor space for all your needs. This home boasts a newer roof and furnace/central air system, ensuring that you'll stay comfortable no matter the weather. Inside, you'll find a fully applianced clean house that's move-in ready. Don't miss your chance to own this delightful property. Only $59,900. MIKE LABETH, CRS LISTING AGENT 660-216-7144 or www. KirksvilleRealEstate.com

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Listed 132 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot of about 0.248 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Full and partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $349 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
18.23%
Cash-on-cash
42.62%
DSCR
2.90
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$23,610
Equity at exit
$7,530
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$60,960
Equity at exit
$4,366

Cash invested: $14,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63501

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,034 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$265
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $347/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$502

Break-even live

Break-even rent $398
Max offer price $50,500
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,625
Closing costs
$1,515
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,500 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,500 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,500 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 383-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,500 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    remarks 134-char remark
  7. 2026-06-15
    listed $50,500 Active 129 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$347 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$490 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$143/yr (+$12/mo · 41.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,410
− Mortgage interest
−$2,829
− Property taxes
−$347
− Insurance
−$252
− Repairs & maintenance
−$993
− Management
−$993
− Depreciation
−$1,469
Taxable income
$5,527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,326
After-tax cash flow
$4,700/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirksville R-III
NCES district ID
2916740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,570
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6037
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kirksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirksville, MO
County
Adair County · 21,218 people
City population
21,218
Metro
Kirksville, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,218
Household income
$60,729
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,570 people
By 2030
25,728 · +0.6%
By 2040
25,556 · -0.1%
By 2050
25,811 · +0.9%
By 2075
29,164 · +14.1%
By 2100
31,846 · +24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.58%
Current HPI
168.7332
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Kirksville, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Relisted NECAR
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $50,500 NECAR
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $55,000 NECAR
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) NECAR
  • 2023-04-28 Pending NECAR
  • 2023-04-17 Listed $59,900 NECAR

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $347 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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