820 W Virginia Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! This property must be purchased as part of a 3 pack along with 3325 N Leroy Ave, Peoria IL PA1265325 and 2317 W Hudson St, Peoria IL PA1265326. See associated docs for rental information.
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.02%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,103
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- 62.40%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 W Virginia Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 748 (-4%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $80 | 83 |
| 816 W Nowland Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (+2%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $93 | 80 |
| 2318 N Flora Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-1%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 76 |
| 1017 W Gilbert Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+5%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $25 | 70 |
| 929 W Brons Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 736 (-6%) | 2mo | $44,900 | $61 | 70 |
| 2332 N Ellis St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+8%) | 2mo | $24,000 | $29 | 69 |
| 2318 N Ellis St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 842 (+8%) | 3mo | $31,000 | $37 | 67 |
| 2222 N Ellis St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 704 (-10%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $50 | 61 |
| 1214 W Brons Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+11%) | 2mo | $34,900 | $40 | 56 |
| 1126 W Gilbert Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 878 (+13%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $102 | 55 |
| 2124 N Bourland Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 864 (+11%) | 4mo | $83,500 | $97 | 53 |
| 400 W Corrington Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (+14%) | 4mo | $43,000 | $48 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $6,715
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $27,217
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,029 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,472/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $795 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 903 W Brons Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $995 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $550 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $999 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 13d | 4 | 1.21mi |
| 811 W Purtscher Dr Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2610 N Renwood Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4020 N Bryer Pl Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2920 N Rockwood Dr Apt B Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4010 N Brandywine Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $1,082 | $1.36 | 13d | 17 | 1.45mi |
| 2511 W Wardcliffe Dr Unit H Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3629 N Leroy Ave Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $70,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 285-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $75,000 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This property must be purchased as part of a 3 pack along with 3325 N Leroy Ave, Peoria IL PA1265325 and 2317 W Hudson St, Peoria IL PA1265326. See associated docs for rental information.
-
2026-04-10price $83,334 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This property must be purchased as part of a 3 pack along with 3325 N Leroy Ave, Peoria IL PA1265325 and 2317 W Hudson St, Peoria IL PA1265326. See associated docs for rental information.
-
2026-04-02$91,668 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This property must be purchased as part of a 3 pack along with 3325 N Leroy Ave, Peoria IL PA1265325 and 2317 W Hudson St, Peoria IL PA1265326. See associated docs for rental information.
-
2023-06-26soldstatus $143,370
-
2023-06-23soldstatus $44,000 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
SOLD ON ONE TIME SHOW.
-
2023-05-24$44,000 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
SOLD ON ONE TIME SHOW.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,472 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$59/yr (+$5/mo · 4.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,351
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,472
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$988
- − Management
- −$988
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,596
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$623
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,313
- Household income
- $52,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 165.8838
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+70.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $83,334 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $91,668 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $143,370 Public Records
- 2023-06-23 Sold (MLS) $44,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-24 Listed $44,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,472 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…