194 Naples Ln · Bluefield, WV
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3BR/3BA split foyer offering 1,539 finished sqft above grade with an additional 1,539 sqft partially finished below. Upper level - Functional layout with generous living space. Master bedroom with on suite full bath, 2 additional bedrooms and 1 full bath with laundry hook up. Lower level - features 1 full bath, a wood-burning fireplace, bar area, room for a pool table or second living space, additional bedrooms or garage /workshop. Situated at the end of a dead-end road with a nice, usable backyard. Home is a fixer-upper, ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Cash or conventional financing only. Sold AS IS. Strong potential for renovation, value-add, or customization.
Key facts
- Usable backyard
- Bar area
- Fixer-upper
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public and private well water options; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Built with block, brick, and frame materials
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Finished and unfinished full basement; Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.2% in Bluefield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#265 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.60%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $39,575
- Equity at exit
- $52,107
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $104,363
- Equity at exit
- $82,424
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24701
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $538/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $437 | -5% $406 | +0% $375 | +5% $344 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $323 | +0% $375 | +5% $427 | +10% $479 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $430 | -0.5pp $403 | base $375 | +0.5pp $346 | +1.0pp $317 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $119,000
-
2026-05-01price $128,500
-
2026-04-17$139,900 Active
-
2004-06-09soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $538 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 20.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$538
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$684
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mercer County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,064
- Composite
- 25.98/100
- National rank
- #7325
- State rank
- #28 of 55 in WV
Livability — Bluefield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #22470
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mercer County · 33,615 people
- City population
- 17,117
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,117
- Household income
- $50,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 302.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,860 people
- By 2030
- 55,781 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,365 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 47,476 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 38,851 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 30,053 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Current HPI
- 215.9682
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+58.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $119,000 MTCBOR
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $128,500 MTCBOR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $139,900 MTCBOR
- 2004-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $538 · -13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…