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4540 Evangel Ave NW Duplex
D- Composite 39.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$340,000

4540 Evangel Ave NW · Massillon, OH 44647
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,100 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2003

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Very nice Duplex in Tuslaw schools. Easy to rent. A very good investment property in a nice neighborhood. BRAND NEW 50 year roof put on in 2016.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Tuslaw schools
  • Duplex

Tags

DUPLEXTUSLAW SCHOOLSINVESTMENT PROPERTYBRAND NEW 50 YEAR ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-69/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (7.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (24.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.9% in Massillon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#306 in OH, #4,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tuslaw Local (rural): math 78% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #88 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,571/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 231% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $257,100 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.75%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-64,012
Equity at exit
$50,695
10-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-67,422
Equity at exit
$29,397

Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44647

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
22.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,571 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,783
Tax from tax record
$245 /mo · $2,944/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$-139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,747
Max offer price $315,465
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $54 -5% $-43 +0% $-139 +5% $-235 +10% $-331
Rent -10% $-342 -5% $-240 +0% $-139 +5% $-37 +10% $64
Rate -1.0pp $32 -0.5pp $-52 base $-139 +0.5pp $-227 +1.0pp $-317

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,571

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,000
Closing costs
$10,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,944 · $245/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,124 · $344/mo
Expected delta
+$1,180/yr (+$98/mo · 40.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,852
− Mortgage interest
−$19,045
− Property taxes
−$2,944
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,468
− Management
−$2,468
− Depreciation
−$9,891
Taxable loss
−$7,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,839
After-tax cash flow
$173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuslaw Local
NCES district ID
3904995
Math proficiency
78% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$56,863
Composite
64.61/100
National rank
#529
State rank
#88 of 656 in OH

Livability — Massillon

Score
74/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#4928

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Massillon, OH
County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
65,858
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,117
Household income
$67,140
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
231.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.61%
Current HPI
207.6115
Rent YoY
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,944 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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