Duplex
4540 Evangel Ave NW · Massillon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$340,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Very nice Duplex in Tuslaw schools. Easy to rent. A very good investment property in a nice neighborhood. BRAND NEW 50 year roof put on in 2016.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Tuslaw schools
- Duplex
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-69/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.9% in Massillon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#306 in OH, #4,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tuslaw Local (rural): math 78% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #88 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,571/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 231% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.75%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-64,012
- Equity at exit
- $50,695
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-67,422
- Equity at exit
- $29,397
Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44647
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 22.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,571 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,944/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $-139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $-43 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-235 | +10% $-331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-342 | -5% $-240 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-37 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $32 | -0.5pp $-52 | base $-139 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-317 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,570 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,285 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,285 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,571 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,000
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,944 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,124 · $344/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,180/yr (+$98/mo · 40.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$2,944
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,468
- − Management
- −$2,468
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable loss
- −$7,664
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,839
- After-tax cash flow
- $173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuslaw Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904995
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,863
- Composite
- 64.61/100
- National rank
- #529
- State rank
- #88 of 656 in OH
Livability — Massillon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #4928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Massillon, OH
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 65,858
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,117
- Household income
- $67,140
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 231.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.61%
- Current HPI
- 207.6115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,944 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…