🏷️ Likely Rental
3706 E 7th St · Springfield, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful three bedroom, two bath plus office now available! As you enter the home, you will immediately appreciate the open and bright floor plan and the interesting architectural features. The spacious great room is open to the kitchen and eating area. The split bedroom floor plan has two bedrooms on one side of the home and the master suite and office on the other. The kitchen features a large island with double sink and microwave. Stainless appliances also include the oven/stove and large refrigerator with in-door water and ice. In the master bedroom, the wave architectural motif is once again showcased in the tray ceiling. Other features include a new roof, double car garage with opener, separate laundry room. Call your Realtor for your private tour today!!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2015
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Construction materials: see remarks; Built in 2009
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof
Interior
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 316.8% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 33.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 316.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1108.93%
- DSCR
- 50.34
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,021
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Helen Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,484 (-2%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $108 | 74 |
| 636 Helen Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,608 (+7%) | 12mo | $272,500 | $169 | 70 |
| 714 School Ave Unit A | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-4%) | 17mo | $228,000 | $157 | 63 |
| 534 Powell Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-14%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $58 | 51 |
| 807 Flight Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,444 (-4%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $208 | 47 |
| 3753 E 4th | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (-12%) | 19mo | $241,000 | $182 | 47 |
| 4623 E 3rd St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,590 (+5%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $119 | 45 |
| 4002 E 9th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+3%) | 23mo | $292,000 | $188 | 45 |
| 3514 E 8th St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-14%) | 20mo | $264,000 | $204 | 44 |
| 503 Springfield Ave | 0.41mi | 2/3.5 (-1) | 1,728 (+14%) | 14mo | $197,500 | $114 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 56.29×
- Total profit
- $77,408
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 113.29×
- Total profit
- $157,208
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $1,294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,297 | -5% $1,295 | +0% $1,294 | +5% $1,292 | +10% $1,290 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,161 | -5% $1,227 | +0% $1,294 | +5% $1,360 | +10% $1,427 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,296 | -0.5pp $1,295 | base $1,294 | +0.5pp $1,292 | +1.0pp $1,291 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3719 E 8th Ct Panama City, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 906 Kevin Ct Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1401 Transmitter Rd Unit 15 Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5101 Willow St Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 222 N Gray Ave Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1953 | $1,650 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 208 North Highway 22 A Unit 33 Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 526 Camellia Ave Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 129 Seneca Ave Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 420 Raven Ln Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2623 E 16th St Unit A Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,625 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4141 E 15th St Panama City, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,825 | $1.69 | 13d | 9 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 299-char remark
-
2026-06-18$5,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $16,423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,942
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,947
- Household income
- $52,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.12%
- Current HPI
- 290.3312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-97.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2019-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $187,500 Public Records
- 2019-04-09 Sold (MLS) $187,500 CPARMLS
- 2019-02-18 Listed $187,500 CPARMLS
- 2017-07-10 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2017-02-14 Listed $170,000 CPARMLS
- 2015-09-01 Sold (MLS) $170,000 ECAR
- 2015-09-01 Sold (MLS) $170,000 NAMLS
- 2015-08-25 Sold (MLS) $170,000 CPARMLS
- 2015-03-23 Listed $174,000 CPARMLS
- 2015-03-23 Listed $174,000 ECAR
- 2015-03-23 Listed $174,000 NAMLS
Property tax history
+31.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,825 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…