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3706 E 7th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

3706 E 7th St · Springfield, FL 32401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,509 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2015 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful three bedroom, two bath plus office now available! As you enter the home, you will immediately appreciate the open and bright floor plan and the interesting architectural features. The spacious great room is open to the kitchen and eating area. The split bedroom floor plan has two bedrooms on one side of the home and the master suite and office on the other. The kitchen features a large island with double sink and microwave. Stainless appliances also include the oven/stove and large refrigerator with in-door water and ice. In the master bedroom, the wave architectural motif is once again showcased in the tray ceiling. Other features include a new roof, double car garage with opener, separate laundry room. Call your Realtor for your private tour today!!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2015

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Construction materials: see remarks; Built in 2009
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$255,021) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 316.8% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
33.63%
Cap rate
316.79%
Cash-on-cash
1108.93%
DSCR
50.34
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$255,021
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
510 Helen Ave 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,484 (-2%) 11mo $160,000 $108 74
636 Helen Ave 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,608 (+7%) 12mo $272,500 $169 70
714 School Ave Unit A 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-4%) 17mo $228,000 $157 63
534 Powell Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-14%) 10mo $75,000 $58 51
807 Flight Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,444 (-4%) 9mo $300,000 $208 47
3753 E 4th 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,325 (-12%) 19mo $241,000 $182 47
4623 E 3rd St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,590 (+5%) 11mo $190,000 $119 45
4002 E 9th St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,554 (+3%) 23mo $292,000 $188 45
3514 E 8th St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-14%) 20mo $264,000 $204 44
503 Springfield Ave 0.41mi 2/3.5 (-1) 1,728 (+14%) 14mo $197,500 $114 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
56.29×
Total profit
$77,408
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
113.29×
Total profit
$157,208
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32401

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,681 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$1,294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 18%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,297 -5% $1,295 +0% $1,294 +5% $1,292 +10% $1,290
Rent -10% $1,161 -5% $1,227 +0% $1,294 +5% $1,360 +10% $1,427
Rate -1.0pp $1,296 -0.5pp $1,295 base $1,294 +0.5pp $1,292 +1.0pp $1,291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3719 E 8th Ct Panama City, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 950 $1,300 $1.37 21d 1 0.36mi
906 Kevin Ct Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,795 $1.42 21d 1 0.81mi
1401 Transmitter Rd Unit 15 Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 13d 1 0.94mi
5101 Willow St Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1099 $1,500 $1.36 13d 1 1.02mi
222 N Gray Ave Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1953 $1,650 $0.84 21d 1 1.06mi
208 North Highway 22 A Unit 33 Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,350 $1.25 21d 1 1.08mi
526 Camellia Ave Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1375 $1,950 $1.42 21d 1 1.15mi
129 Seneca Ave Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1449 $1,495 $1.03 13d 1 1.34mi
420 Raven Ln Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,750 $1.40 21d 1 1.37mi
2623 E 16th St Unit A Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,625 $1.30 21d 1 1.46mi
4141 E 15th St Panama City, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1082 $1,825 $1.69 13d 9 1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 299-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $5,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,177
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,614
− Management
−$1,614
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$16,423
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,942
After-tax cash flow
$11,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Springfield

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20265

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, FL
County
Bay County · 163,593 people
Metro
Panama City, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,947
Household income
$52,523
Rent vs Own
39.7% rent · 60.3% own
Severe rent burden
935.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.12%
Current HPI
290.3312
Rent YoY
▲ 0.45%
Metro
Panama City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-97.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2019-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $187,500 Public Records
  • 2019-04-09 Sold (MLS) $187,500 CPARMLS
  • 2019-02-18 Listed $187,500 CPARMLS
  • 2017-07-10 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2017-02-14 Listed $170,000 CPARMLS
  • 2015-09-01 Sold (MLS) $170,000 ECAR
  • 2015-09-01 Sold (MLS) $170,000 NAMLS
  • 2015-08-25 Sold (MLS) $170,000 CPARMLS
  • 2015-03-23 Listed $174,000 CPARMLS
  • 2015-03-23 Listed $174,000 ECAR
  • 2015-03-23 Listed $174,000 NAMLS

Property tax history

+31.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,825 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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