11 Constitution Ct · Broad Creek, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$477,820
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pre-Sale. No showings!! The Catherine is a two-story home with four bedrooms and three and half baths. This home features a large great room living space, formal dining room, breakfast area, and full guest suite downstairs that can double as a second owner's suite. The kitchen with bar top seating, island, and prep space is open to the dining room and spacious family room. The upstairs master bedroom includes a private bath and two large walk-in closets. Three secondary bedrooms, all with walk-in closets, are also located upstairs along with the spacious loft and laundry room. Options for this home include a fireplace in the great room, rear covered or screened back porch, Carolina Room, lu
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Full guest suite
- Island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $478k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($78k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $478k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#340 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Newport Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #542 of 1,410 statewide, top 39%, 645 students, 100% FRL); Newport Middle (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #140 of 475 statewide, top 30%, 378 students, 98% FRL); West Carteret High (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A-, #89 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 1,146 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,455/mo this rent would consume 213% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $134k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.41%
- DSCR
- 3.60
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $534,912
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Ballantine Grove Ln | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,295 (+4%) | 4mo | $600,000 | $182 | 62 |
| 153 Ballantine Grove Ln | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,746 (-14%) | 11mo | $462,500 | $168 | 38 |
| 290 Bay Run | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 2,718 (-15%) | 17mo | $450,000 | $166 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $337,555
- Equity at exit
- $71,245
- IRR
- 61.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $828,857
- Equity at exit
- $41,313
Cash invested: $133,790 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28570
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,506
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$597 /mo · $7,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$199
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,616
- Net cashflow
- $6,512
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $6,843 | -5% $6,678 | +0% $6,512 | +5% $6,347 | +10% $6,182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5,528 | -5% $6,020 | +0% $6,512 | +5% $7,004 | +10% $7,496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6,753 | -0.5pp $6,634 | base $6,512 | +0.5pp $6,389 | +1.0pp $6,263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,455
- Closing costs
- $14,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2026-03-10$477,820 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $149,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,765
- − Property taxes
- −$7,167
- − Insurance
- −$2,389
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,957
- − Management
- −$11,957
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$13,900
- Taxable income
- $75,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$18,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $60,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home requires extensive repairs and updates, including a new roof, exterior siding and paint, flooring, interior walls and paint, and HVAC and mechanical systems. Significant investment is needed to bring the property up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — No visible roofing material, indicating a major repair is needed.
- Major exterior — No visible siding or paint issues, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material.
- Major flooring — No visible flooring issues, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material.
- Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior wall or paint issues, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material.
- Major systems — No visible HVAC or mechanical systems, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Resale exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint would enhance curb appeal and value.
- Resale flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value.
- Resale interior wall and paint — New interior walls and paint would improve the home's appearance and value.
- Resale HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's functionality and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · No visible roofing material, indicating a major repair is needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior · No visible siding or paint issues, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · No visible flooring issues, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No visible interior wall or paint issues, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| systems · No visible HVAC or mechanical systems, but the satellite image shows a large footprint with no visible roofing material. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint would enhance curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale interior wall and paint — New interior walls and paint would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's functionality and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carteret County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700630
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,330
- Composite
- 50.92/100
- National rank
- #1786
- State rank
- #31 of 178 in NC
Livability — Broad Creek
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #13718
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Broad Creek, NC
- County
- Carteret County · 52,389 people
- City population
- 22,197
- Metro
- Morehead City, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,197
- Household income
- $70,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 461.0
Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,443 people
- By 2030
- 75,344 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 78,142 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 80,091 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 86,120 · +17.3%
- By 2100
- 89,408 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carteret
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.54%
- Current HPI
- 276.6589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Morehead City, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $477,820 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…