881 N Lake N #301 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this beautifully maintained turn-key 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, perfectly situated in a desirable 55+ community. Move-in ready and thoughtfully cared for, this property offers comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Enjoy a whole-house water purification system. The interior and carpet have been professionally cleaned, ensuring a fresh and welcoming atmosphere from day one. Major components have been updated as well, including a water heater that’s approximately 2 years old. In the past two years, the stove, oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher have all been replaced with new appliances, adding value and modern efficiency. Additionally, new cable lines have been installed within the last several years for reliable connectivity. Outside, the carport features two oversized storage units with built-in shelving—perfect for additional storage, hobby space, or special projects. This home truly reflects pride of ownership and is ready for its next chapter.
Key facts
- New appliances
- Built-in shelving
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.44%
- DSCR
- 3.69
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,132
- List price
- $78,000
- Delta
- -14.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 881 N Lake St #204 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $56 | 94 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #63 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $39,000 | $29 | 91 |
| 880 Lake St N #81 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 8mo | $98,000 | $73 | 88 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #66 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $97 | 86 |
| 880 N Lake St #49 | 0.16mi | 2/2.5 | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $77 | 85 |
| 881 Lake Street Space 253 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $67 | 80 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #20 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 77 |
| 24600 Mountain #58 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $56 | 75 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #97 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 7mo | $89,000 | $62 | 74 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #103 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $63 | 73 |
| 24770 Wendell Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $180 | 62 |
| 43334 Ballew | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $222 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.80×
- Total profit
- $61,247
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 66.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.32×
- Total profit
- $159,862
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92544
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,973 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $200/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $1,100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,144 | -5% $1,122 | +0% $1,100 | +5% $1,078 | +10% $1,056 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $944 | -5% $1,022 | +0% $1,100 | +5% $1,178 | +10% $1,256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,139 | -0.5pp $1,120 | base $1,100 | +0.5pp $1,080 | +1.0pp $1,059 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 Rue Chenin Blanc San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1939 Hooper Dr San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 43435 Nola St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 43170 Wall St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,895 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave Unit 43 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave Unit 43 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,450 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 43816 C St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,250 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 26123 Anawood Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,680 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 26097 Doverwood Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1019 | $1,849 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 26111 Doverwood Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,849 | $1.48 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 41818 Acacia East Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $78,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $78,000 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained turn-key 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, perfectly situated in a desirable 55+ community. Move-in ready and thoughtfully cared for, this property offers comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Enjoy a whole-house water purification system. The interior and carpet have been professionally cleaned, ensuring a fresh and welcoming atmosphere from day one. Major components have been updated as well, including a water heater that’s approximately 2 years old. In the past two years, the stove, oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher have all been replaced with new appliances, adding value and modern efficiency. Additionally, new cable lines have been installed within the last several years for reliable connectivity. Outside, the carport features two oversized storage units with built-in shelving—perfect for additional storage, hobby space, or special projects. This home truly reflects pride of ownership and is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-04-01price $85,000 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained turn-key 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, perfectly situated in a desirable 55+ community. Move-in ready and thoughtfully cared for, this property offers comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Enjoy a whole-house water purification system. The interior and carpet have been professionally cleaned, ensuring a fresh and welcoming atmosphere from day one. Major components have been updated as well, including a water heater that’s approximately 2 years old. In the past two years, the stove, oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher have all been replaced with new appliances, adding value and modern efficiency. Additionally, new cable lines have been installed within the last several years for reliable connectivity. Outside, the carport features two oversized storage units with built-in shelving—perfect for additional storage, hobby space, or special projects. This home truly reflects pride of ownership and is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-02-19price $89,900 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained turn-key 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, perfectly situated in a desirable 55+ community. Move-in ready and thoughtfully cared for, this property offers comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Enjoy a whole-house water purification system. The interior and carpet have been professionally cleaned, ensuring a fresh and welcoming atmosphere from day one. Major components have been updated as well, including a water heater that’s approximately 2 years old. In the past two years, the stove, oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher have all been replaced with new appliances, adding value and modern efficiency. Additionally, new cable lines have been installed within the last several years for reliable connectivity. Outside, the carport features two oversized storage units with built-in shelving—perfect for additional storage, hobby space, or special projects. This home truly reflects pride of ownership and is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-02-10price $92,000 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained turn-key 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, perfectly situated in a desirable 55+ community. Move-in ready and thoughtfully cared for, this property offers comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Enjoy a whole-house water purification system. The interior and carpet have been professionally cleaned, ensuring a fresh and welcoming atmosphere from day one. Major components have been updated as well, including a water heater that’s approximately 2 years old. In the past two years, the stove, oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher have all been replaced with new appliances, adding value and modern efficiency. Additionally, new cable lines have been installed within the last several years for reliable connectivity. Outside, the carport features two oversized storage units with built-in shelving—perfect for additional storage, hobby space, or special projects. This home truly reflects pride of ownership and is ready for its next chapter.
-
2025-11-13$97,000 Active 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained turn-key 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, perfectly situated in a desirable 55+ community. Move-in ready and thoughtfully cared for, this property offers comfort, convenience, and peace of mind. Enjoy a whole-house water purification system. The interior and carpet have been professionally cleaned, ensuring a fresh and welcoming atmosphere from day one. Major components have been updated as well, including a water heater that’s approximately 2 years old. In the past two years, the stove, oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher have all been replaced with new appliances, adding value and modern efficiency. Additionally, new cable lines have been installed within the last several years for reliable connectivity. Outside, the carport features two oversized storage units with built-in shelving—perfect for additional storage, hobby space, or special projects. This home truly reflects pride of ownership and is ready for its next chapter.
-
2023-12-13soldstatus $83,000 Closed Sale 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
In this 55 + community we will find this turn key, ready to move in 2 bedroom 2 bath home. It offers an excellent water purification system through out the home and has been continuously serviced and maintained. All new paint through out, carpet has been professional cleaned, water heater is brand new and has been replaced in the last 3 months, new cable lines have been installed within the last couple of years. Also included 2 extra large storage units in carport for storage with multiple shelving and or for special projects.
-
2023-11-10status Pending Sale 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
In this 55 + community we will find this turn key, ready to move in 2 bedroom 2 bath home. It offers an excellent water purification system through out the home and has been continuously serviced and maintained. All new paint through out, carpet has been professional cleaned, water heater is brand new and has been replaced in the last 3 months, new cable lines have been installed within the last couple of years. Also included 2 extra large storage units in carport for storage with multiple shelving and or for special projects.
-
2023-09-08$85,000 Active 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
In this 55 + community we will find this turn key, ready to move in 2 bedroom 2 bath home. It offers an excellent water purification system through out the home and has been continuously serviced and maintained. All new paint through out, carpet has been professional cleaned, water heater is brand new and has been replaced in the last 3 months, new cable lines have been installed within the last couple of years. Also included 2 extra large storage units in carport for storage with multiple shelving and or for special projects.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $200 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $593 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$392/yr (+$33/mo · 195.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$200
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,894
- − Management
- −$1,894
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $12,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,037
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,751
- Household income
- $73,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1518.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 40% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.06%
- Current HPI
- 391.972
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-8.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $78,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $85,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $89,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $92,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $97,000 CRMLS
- 2023-12-13 Sold (MLS) $83,000 CRMLS
- 2023-11-10 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-09-08 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $200 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…