138 Teakwood St · Pocatello, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$12,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1983 Liberty Manufactured home. This one is a fixer and will need to be moved. The price is cheap enough you can restore this and have a nice property. It does have a membrane roof, newer Hi tech gas furnace, plumbing and electrical seem to be in pretty good shape.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1983
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (manufactured without land); Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding; Above-grade finished area: 784
- Exterior features: Rubber roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Interior features: Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $12k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($973 rent vs $12k).
- Recommended offer: $12k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
- Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 357 statewide, top 74%, 343 students, 66% FRL); Irving Middle School (math 33% / reading 54%, grade D, #60 of 109 statewide, top 56%, 712 students, 39% FRL); Pocatello High School (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #25 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,352 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 73.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 240.25%
- DSCR
- 11.69
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.48×
- Total profit
- $41,921
- Equity at exit
- $1,789
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.56×
- Total profit
- $95,951
- Equity at exit
- $1,038
Cash invested: $3,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83204
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $973 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$63
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $341/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $673
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,000
- Closing costs
- $360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $12,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $12,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $12,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $12,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $12,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $12,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $12,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $12,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $12,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $12,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 265-char remark
-
2026-06-07$12,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,682
- − Mortgage interest
- −$672
- − Property taxes
- −$341
- − Insurance
- −$60
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$349
- Taxable income
- $8,390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocatello District
- NCES district ID
- 1602640
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,478
- Composite
- 43.46/100
- National rank
- #3003
- State rank
- #26 of 92 in ID
Livability — Pocatello
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocatello, ID
- County
- Bannock County · 82,995 people
- City population
- 58,482
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,580
- Household income
- $57,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 435.0
Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,173 people
- By 2030
- 86,575 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 86,235 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 86,090 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 85,032 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 85,103 · -1.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bannock
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.01%
- Current HPI
- 232.7208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.01%
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $12,000 PCTMLS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $341 · -13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…