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21 Harvey Dr
B Composite 71.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

21 Harvey Dr · Westbrook Center, CT 06475
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1971 $618/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

It's time to own your beach home in the heart of Old Saybrook! This well-maintained mobile home is located within a 55+ coastal community. The home features two spacious bedrooms and an open-concept living and dining area. The kitchen boasts ample cabinets and vibrant color. Step through the sliding door to a bright built-in porch, perfect for relaxing. Recent updates include a new roof and a stackable washer and dryer, offering comfort and convenience in a move-in ready home. Enjoy easy single-level living, low maintenance, and close proximity to shopping, dining, highways, and Old Saybrook's shoreline attractions. Call today - this home won't last! Purchase contingent on buyer approval by

Key facts

  • Built-in porch
  • Beach home
  • Single-level living

Tags

BEACH HOMEOPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGBUILT-IN PORCHNEW ROOFSTACKABLE WASHER AND DRYERSINGLE-LEVEL LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#69 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Old Saybrook School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #66 of 153 in CT (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Kathleen E. Goodwin School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #159 of 553 statewide, top 31%, 401 students, 24% FRL); Old Saybrook Senior High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #80 of 194 statewide, top 44%, 347 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.66%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$523,512
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Stone Hedge Rd 0.72mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 5mo $165,000 $208 62
39 Sagamore Terrace Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 825 (+4%) 3mo $545,000 $661 59
6 Tucker Rd 0.66mi 2/1.5 780 (-2%) 14mo $630,250 $808 53
33 Green Acres Park Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 728 (-8%) 21mo $66,500 $91 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$35,410
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$115,973
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06475

Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $941/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$618
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$1,021

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,207
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 Thompson Ln Old Saybrook, CT 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,500 $3.18 44d 1 0.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$618 · $7,416/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-15
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-03-08
    listed $185,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$941 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,450 · $204/mo
Expected delta
+$1,509/yr (+$126/mo · 160.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,000
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$941
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,360
− Management
−$3,360
− HOA
−$7,416
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$10,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,461
After-tax cash flow
$9,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Old Saybrook School District
NCES district ID
0903180
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$74,710
Composite
48.81/100
National rank
#2090
State rank
#66 of 153 in CT

Livability — Westbrook Center

Score
73/100
State rank
#69
US rank
#5086

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,515

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.11%
Current HPI
301.8614
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-15 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $185,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $941 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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