772 Tillman Ave · West End-Cobb Town, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new home! This charming home greets you with a welcoming foyer featuring a brick accent wall. The spacious main level offers a large living room, dining room, bright sunroom, and an office that's perfect for working from home. The master bedroom is conveniently located on the main floor, accompanied by a full bathroom that also serves as the laundry area. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious kitchen with a pantry for extra storage, three additional bedrooms, and another full bathroom. This inside of this home offers plenty of space for family or guests. Outside, enjoy a hot cup of coffee or fresh sweet iced tea and relax on the covered front patio or take advantage of the workshop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. This home is the perfect space for you and your family! Call today and make this house your new home!
Key facts
- Brick accent wall
- Spacious kitchen
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Calhoun County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.75%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,924
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -25.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,539
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,225
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36201
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $666/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Carolyn Dr Anniston, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2480 | $1,400 | $0.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $150,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-02-27$159,900 Active 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming home greets you with a welcoming foyer featuring a brick accent wall. The spacious main level offers a large living room, dining room, bright sunroom, and an office that's perfect for working from home. The master bedroom is conveniently located on the main floor, accompanied by a full bathroom that also serves as the laundry area. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious kitchen with a pantry for extra storage, three additional bedrooms, and another full bathroom. This inside of this home offers plenty of space for family or guests. Outside, enjoy a hot cup of coffee or fresh sweet iced tea and relax on the covered front patio or take advantage of the workshop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. This home is the perfect space for you and your family! Call today and make this house your new home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $666 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $666 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$666
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$70
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun County
- NCES district ID
- 0100540
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,891
- Composite
- 28.91/100
- National rank
- #6635
- State rank
- #46 of 129 in AL
Livability — West End-Cobb Town
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West End-Cobb Town, AL
- City population
- 17,406
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,406
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,765 people
- By 2030
- 105,708 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 96,192 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 86,413 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 63,467 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 44,704 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 46% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.92%
- Current HPI
- 59.1512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $159,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $666 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…