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39273 Wright Rd
B- Composite 69.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

39273 Wright Rd · Badin, NC 28127
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 664 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 610 Days on market
Built 1930 0.51 ac lot ↓ 55% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the perfect retreat at 39273 Wright Road! This charming 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is nestled on a spacious, approximately 0.5-acre corner lot, offering both privacy and room to add or build additional structures. While this home needs some TLC, offers a 3/4 deck, new HVAC, a private wooded lot, and is within a few miles of Badin Lake and other recreational facilities. This property is also an excellent investment opportunity, as it has previously been used as a rental property. CASH ONLY

Key facts

  • New hvac
  • Private wooded lot
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW HVACPRIVATE WOODED LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 2.5% in Badin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#329 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Stanly County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #113 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 367 units permitted in Stanly County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stanly County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 610 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (55%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 610 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
18.13%
Cash-on-cash
42.27%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,104
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
40420 Martin Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (+1) 646 (-3%) 19mo $136,000 $211 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$30,287
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
5.34×
Total profit
$78,898
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28127

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,312 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $329/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$641

Break-even live

Break-even rent $500
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $678 -5% $660 +0% $641 +5% $623 +10% $604
Rent -10% $537 -5% $589 +0% $641 +5% $693 +10% $745
Rate -1.0pp $674 -0.5pp $658 base $641 +0.5pp $624 +1.0pp $607

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-03-14
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-08
    price $65,000
  3. 2025-11-03
    status Active
  4. 2025-11-03
    price $70,000
  5. 2025-10-06
    status Pending
  6. 2025-07-07
    price $90,000
  7. 2025-06-18
    status Active
  8. 2025-04-22
    price $99,500
  9. 2024-11-26
    price $110,000
  10. 2024-09-24
    status Active
  11. 2024-08-21
    price $127,500
  12. 2024-05-01
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$329 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$533 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$204/yr (+$17/mo · 62.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,744
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$329
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,260
− Management
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,689
After-tax cash flow
$6,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stanly County Schools
NCES district ID
3704320
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,802
Composite
33.9/100
National rank
#5343
State rank
#113 of 178 in NC

Livability — Badin

Score
65/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#13419

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,343
Population (ZIP)
7,684

Population outlook (Stanly County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
60,082 people
By 2030
59,485 · -1.0%
By 2040
57,407 · -4.5%
By 2050
54,051 · -10.0%
By 2075
45,384 · -24.5%
By 2100
34,694 · -42.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stanly

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.9) · D 24.2% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -50.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.9 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.16%
Current HPI
250.9235
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-55.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $65,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-03 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $70,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-06 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $90,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-18 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-22 Price Changed $99,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-26 Price Changed $110,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-24 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-21 Price Changed $127,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-01 Listed $145,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $329 · +31.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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