39273 Wright Rd · Badin, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the perfect retreat at 39273 Wright Road! This charming 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is nestled on a spacious, approximately 0.5-acre corner lot, offering both privacy and room to add or build additional structures. While this home needs some TLC, offers a 3/4 deck, new HVAC, a private wooded lot, and is within a few miles of Badin Lake and other recreational facilities. This property is also an excellent investment opportunity, as it has previously been used as a rental property. CASH ONLY
Key facts
- New hvac
- Private wooded lot
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 2.5% in Badin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#329 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Stanly County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #113 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 367 units permitted in Stanly County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stanly County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 610 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (55%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 610 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.27%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,104
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40420 Martin Rd | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 646 (-3%) | 19mo | $136,000 | $211 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $30,287
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $78,898
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28127
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,312 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $329/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $678 | -5% $660 | +0% $641 | +5% $623 | +10% $604 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $537 | -5% $589 | +0% $641 | +5% $693 | +10% $745 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $674 | -0.5pp $658 | base $641 | +0.5pp $624 | +1.0pp $607 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-03-14status Pending
-
2025-11-08price $65,000
-
2025-11-03status Active
-
2025-11-03price $70,000
-
2025-10-06status Pending
-
2025-07-07price $90,000
-
2025-06-18status Active
-
2025-04-22price $99,500
-
2024-11-26price $110,000
-
2024-09-24status Active
-
2024-08-21price $127,500
-
2024-05-01$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $329 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$204/yr (+$17/mo · 62.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$329
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,260
- − Management
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,039
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,689
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,004/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stanly County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704320
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,802
- Composite
- 33.9/100
- National rank
- #5343
- State rank
- #113 of 178 in NC
Livability — Badin
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #13419
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,343
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,684
Population outlook (Stanly County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 60,082 people
- By 2030
- 59,485 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 57,407 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 54,051 · -10.0%
- By 2075
- 45,384 · -24.5%
- By 2100
- 34,694 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stanly
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.9) · D 24.2% · R 75.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -50.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.9 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.16%
- Current HPI
- 250.9235
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-55.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $65,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $70,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-06 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $90,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $99,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-26 Price Changed $110,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-24 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-21 Price Changed $127,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-01 Listed $145,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $329 · +31.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…